weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:48 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't have much wiggle room.....the EURO is a yawner here and the GFS is epic; I know how this usually ends. I dunno Ray...Euro is close to mostly snow for YOU...not me but even for me some decent on the front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:50 AM, weathafella said: I dunno Ray...Euro is close to mostly snow for YOU...not me but even for me some decent on the front end. I didn't care to examine it closely, but it was probably about 5", followed by rain and sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:48 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't have much wiggle room.....the EURO is a yawner here and the GFS is epic; I know how this usually ends. I hope the Euro comes into something like the GFS showed...I didn't see the 12z euro but it sounds like the 0z GFS was kind of similar to it? If that continues to be the case tonight well than at least it's something positive. Just by what has gone on this year I'm expecting to see a Euro solution which is generally over our region or just off to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:46 AM, weathafella said: Dr. No said yes at 12Z aside from some details (mixing etc). Yep, it's great to see Dr No say yes, along with the GFS. It almost feels too good to be true.. especially at this time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:51 AM, weatherwiz said: I hope the Euro comes into something like the GFS showed...I didn't see the 12z euro but it sounds like the 0z GFS was kind of similar to it? If that continues to be the case tonight well than at least it's something positive. Just by what has gone on this year I'm expecting to see a Euro solution which is generally over our region or just off to the west The EURO was awesome for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:50 AM, weathafella said: I dunno Ray...Euro is close to mostly snow for YOU...not me but even for me some decent on the front end. Worrying about details at this time range is silly and a completely unnecessary stress. Its certainly possible it cuts the HV...but its every bit as possible this stalls over the BM or only grazes us. We aren't dealing with a day 4 system here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:53 AM, ORH_wxman said: Worrying about details at this time range is silly and a completely unnecessary stress. Its certainly possible it cuts the HV...but its every bit as possible this stalls over the BM or only grazes us. We aren't dealing with a day 4 system here. I shouldn't but I always worry about details. It's in the weenie handbook on preparation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Most METS on other threads seems to be pretty positive on this set up, usually we get lots of disagreement, so we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:51 AM, weatherwiz said: I hope the Euro comes into something like the GFS showed...I didn't see the 12z euro but it sounds like the 0z GFS was kind of similar to it? If that continues to be the case tonight well than at least it's something positive. Just by what has gone on this year I'm expecting to see a Euro solution which is generally over our region or just off to the west 12z showed a weenie's wet dream over here. measuring with a yardstick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:54 AM, weathafella said: I shouldn't but I always worry about details. It's in the weenie handbook on preparation. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:52 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: The EURO was awesome for you. Seriously? Wow...hmmm well maybe I should generate a bit more interest in this! I hope the 0z EURO continues that tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:54 AM, weathafella said: I shouldn't but I always worry about details. It's in the weenie handbook on preparation. Lol, I suppose so. But I'd wait until at least inside of 5 days to start worrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:55 AM, weatherwiz said: Seriously? Wow...hmmm well maybe I should generate a bit more interest in this! I hope the 0z EURO continues that tonight. Yeah you and I get hammered on the ECM Paul. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I have to be up at 8, but now I still have to stay up and see the EURO track the low up my tush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:55 AM, ORH_wxman said: Lol, I suppose so. But I'd wait until at least inside of 5 days to start worrying. Incidentally the signal is decent for some small measurable snow Wed night now. GFS/UK on board now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:56 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have to be up at 8, but now I still have to stay up and see the EURO track the low up my tush. sleeping in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:56 AM, nzucker said: Yeah you and I get hammered on the ECM Paul. Looking closer on the 0z GFS it looks like our area would get hit pretty well on this solution as well! Great H5 setup with low closing off...looked like great low pressure tracks as well from 850-700mb...can't see what 925mb looks like...gotta wait for UCAR to get out that far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:56 AM, nzucker said: Yeah you and I get hammered on the ECM Paul. You and I have an uncanny match in our musical tastes as well as movies and books considering we're 40 or more years age different. I think you get big snows next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:55 AM, weatherwiz said: Seriously? Wow...hmmm well maybe I should generate a bit more interest in this! I hope the 0z EURO continues that tonight. Yeah Euro and GFS are now 12"+ easy. Chances are neither will verify so enjoy how they look now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 GFS ensemble mean has the storm except 150 miles outside the benchmark...nothing surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:58 AM, ORH_wxman said: GFS ensemble mean has the storm except 150 miles outside the benchmark...nothing surprising. Not a bad place for it to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:58 AM, Bostonseminole said: sleeping in? No.....up at 8AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:58 AM, ORH_wxman said: GFS ensemble mean has the storm except 150 miles outside the benchmark...nothing surprising. Good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:58 AM, ORH_wxman said: GFS ensemble mean has the storm except 150 miles outside the benchmark...nothing surprising. That's good. If it was near the OP or NW of the OP (God forbid), we'd be preparing for weenie suicides even with this still being 7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:58 AM, ORH_wxman said: GFS ensemble mean has the storm except 150 miles outside the benchmark...nothing surprising. This storm has been signaled for 5 days it seems and that was way out in fantasy land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:59 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: No.....up at 8AM. yeah,.. that's what I meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:56 AM, weathafella said: Incidentally the signal is decent for some small measurable snow Wed night now. GFS/UK on board now. Yeah that general signal has been there for days, but it looks more and more like Wed night is the specific time to look for the snow this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:58 AM, weathafella said: You and I have an uncanny match in our musical tastes as well as movies and books considering we're 40 or more years age different. I think you get big snows next weekend. Are you looking at my Facebook, Jerry? On 12/13/2010 at 4:58 AM, CT Rain said: Yeah Euro and GFS are now 12"+ easy. Chances are neither will verify so enjoy how they look now. I'd say you and I get even more on these models...the GFS just destroys CT with the deformation band. I might get a little bit more on the ECM though....12z ECM and 0z GFS are 20"+ for me... On 12/13/2010 at 4:58 AM, ORH_wxman said: GFS ensemble mean has the storm except 150 miles outside the benchmark...nothing surprising. Right where we want it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 4:58 AM, weatherwiz said: Looking closer on the 0z GFS it looks like our area would get hit pretty well on this solution as well! Great H5 setup with low closing off...looked like great low pressure tracks as well from 850-700mb...can't see what 925mb looks like...gotta wait for UCAR to get out that far. You shouldn't have had to look that closely to glean that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 On 12/13/2010 at 5:00 AM, Bostonseminole said: yeah,.. that's what I meant. 8AM is early for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.