janetjanet998 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I've pretty much lost interest in the dryslot, even if i miss the worst, it's not going to be cold enough for real snow around here until the defo pulls through. I'm not so sure about that..central IA is now moderate snow in the backend of the "squall line"precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 The new RGEM looks a bit quicker with the deform precip tomorrow, which doesn't make much sense. Think it may be moving things along a bit too quickly given the trend. a concerning run since i put all my eggs in that basket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaser Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Ahhh, what a beautiful sight out there. It's been awhile since I wasn't able to see more then 3 houses down my block! Can't even imagine what its like out in the country. Radar is blossoming with moisture especially in the last hour or so right over Mankato, If the 11z HRRR is right, then we will easily surpass the 10"+ mark..About 2.5 out there now in about 3 hours give or take.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Woke up to a winter weather advisory for 1-3 inches..not to bad. nam is more south it seems, that is far enough. Can anyone tell me where the SLP is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Quad Cities NWS is predicting 6-7 inches for Cedar Rapids, but I'm thinking more like 2 inches. The models show the bulk of the snow remaining along and north of hw20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Quad Cities NWS is predicting 6-7 inches for Cedar Rapids, but I'm thinking more like 2 inches. The models show the bulk of the snow remaining along and north of hw20. Yeah you're in the same boat as we are around the Quads. At least it will rip pretty good for awhile when that deform blows through. There's definitely going to be some blizzard conditions with that, even only with our 2-4" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Hey, I live in Norton Shores...I'm guessing close to where you lived then. Did you like this area? I moved here about a year and a half ago. Do you remember some good lake effect storms in the Muskegon area when you lived here? Unfortunately we haven't really had any good Southwest flow lake effect events which is when it seems we'd cash in the most. (We got about 8 to 10 inches from the lake effect last weekend though) and are expecting 1 to 2 feet this weekend! Yeah usually Muskegon cashes in nicely off of a SW flow...depending on if the les bands can hug the shoreline(which usually happens in a NNW flow) you might be getting some nice totals along with the sypnotic. There was a storm in the mid 90's that dropped about 40 inches in grand haven over a weekend. Houses had drifts to their rooflines out in the country...it can get crazy there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaser Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Having a Christmas party today, might just set up the laptop with the Minnesota St. - Mankato webcam running: http://www.mnsu.edu/...her/skycam.html Haha, there we go...Hell that's even nice for me..I live in the river valley, nice to see it blowing a bit better up on campus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyrys Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Shut off here for a little bit. She's really wrapping up on radar... Did you get much mixing? There was one hour where La Crosse reported a changeover, but other than that it looked like you got moderate to heavy snow all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 the backdoor cold front has just passed through ottawa with a windhshift from SW to WNW and the temp has fallen back 1C to an even freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Looks like the SLP is in Central Iowa. did it ever make it to Minnesota>? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Looks like the SLP is in Central Iowa. did it ever make it to Minnesota>? No, this thing was never going North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 If NAm and GFS are correct LSE is going to have to up totals from la crosse back to rochester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cromartie Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 SE WI gonna get the dry slut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Yeah usually Muskegon cashes in nicely off of a SW flow...depending on if the les bands can hug the shoreline(which usually happens in a NNW flow) you might be getting some nice totals along with the sypnotic. There was a storm in the mid 90's that dropped about 40 inches in grand haven over a weekend. Houses had drifts to their rooflines out in the country...it can get crazy there! Interesting.. Never hard of that one? I'll have to look it up. Anything else on it? Some of the big ones that come to mind is Jan 99 and Dec 2001 however i think the highest totals may have been a bit south of there? I believe Bloomingdale ( Van Buren ) got over 60" from the 2001 event. Hopefully at some point i'll end up out that way.. I am all for crazy as far as this goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 take a look at this foreast from a blog I visited! http://scglweather.blogspot.com/ lol. He must be dry humping the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 12z GFS is wetter in NE IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 lol. He must be dry humping the NAM. I noticed a disturbing trend for our folks holding out hope further east. The rgem and now the ukie want to open that closed ULL as the trough reaches ohio and the low escapes much more quickly northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Hammer time at the southern end of the lake in Indiana.. wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 GFS stills dumps about .75 inches at ORD after 00z should be all 75% snow...good ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 12z GFS is wetter Depends on the location. It's drier in most places where it was wetter on the 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 GFS stills dumps about .75 inches at ORD after 00z should be all snow...good ratios I think that's more like .5 all snow (i think we go to snow after 3z), still a nice hit though with nice ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Hammer time at the southern end of the lake in Indiana.. wow. That band makes it all the way down to my neighborhood! Im not quite sure if its believable but the models have been showing that for days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Depends on the location. It's drier in most places where it was wetter on the 00z. Meant over NE IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 no snow for LAF? Looks like maybe an inch at best for the LAF area.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I noticed a disturbing trend for our folks holding out hope further east. The rgem and now the ukie want to open that closed ULL as the trough reaches ohio and the low escapes much more quickly northeast I'm still trying to figure out what happened to the secondary development over VA/PA a lot of the models were indicating 36 hours ago. Seems like right now it's just the primary tracking through Lk Erie/NY and that's all she wrote. I know there's a bias with models for transferring energy from primaries too quickly, but the fact that this thing occluded so early would have made me think a transfer was more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I think that's more like .5 all snow (i think we go to snow after 3z), still a nice hit though with nice ratios. I think you and I will likely be dry slotted by then. It seems a bit aggressive on the radar over Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 NAM IS A LOT MORE JUICIER THN GFS...I wonder which model will be preferred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Final call...1-3" in my backyard. Maybe a little additional lake effect... Luckily I'm up in Gaylord, MI and will luckily miss out on what would have just been another dissapointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 NAM IS A LOT MORE JUICIER THN GFS...I wonder which model will be preferred. NAM usually goes hog-wild with QPF, and has a general tendency to bust at least a little bit high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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