Sidewinder Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 If everyone wonders where I am look up Viola,WI on google maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyrys Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Getting more reports cracking the 2" barrier around the MSP metro with a 4.5" report in Delano. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Getting more reports cracking the 2" barrier around the MSP metro with a 4.5" report in Delano. 1.5 unofficial measurement here and I'm north metro. Direct hit for the downtowns. What a mess that'll be for a week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 badger whats your take on this....My link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyrys Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 1.5 unofficial measurement here and I'm north metro. Direct hit for the downtowns. What a mess that'll be for a week... I'm just glad I don't have plans tomorrow. If I did, I'd probably cancel them. I'm in a protected area, but we're probably sitting at 3" or more in Chaska. Think I'll be calling it a night soon and see what daylight brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 FWIW...Through 15hrs, the 6z NAM is a bit further south/slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 someone in west central wisconsin is going to get 2 feet of snow. Good luck everyone enjoy the storm, i hope you all get more than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 finally home, was with a lady friend since 5 30 and got to glance at the 0z NAM/GFS but that was it so I was kinda going through withdrawl and now catching up on things. also a good win for the bulls. tomorrow will def be interesting to watch and I might even stay up to see the new AFD's also watched skilling, don't agree with his high totals....yet. but if things keep trending south we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2119 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0147 AM CST SAT DEC 11 2010 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN SD...SRN MN AND WRN WI CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 110747Z - 111345Z BANDS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING FROM ERN SD...SRN MN INTO WRN WI WITH RATES LOCALLY FROM 1 TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR LIKELY AND UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE. THIS MORNING A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM SURFACE LOW OVER NWRN IA SEWD INTO CNTRL IL WITH A COLD FRONT STRETCHING SWWD FROM THE LOW THROUGH ERN NEB INTO CNTRL KS. PROGRESSIVE VORT MAX OVER ERN NEB WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG FRONTOGENETIC FORCING ALONG E-W BAROCLINIC ZONE LOCATED OVER THE UPPER MS VALLEY. VERTICAL TEMPERATURE PROFILES ARE WELL BELOW ZERO...AND THIS ZONE OF DEEP ASCENT WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF SNOW. PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME ORGANIZED AS BANDS WITHIN THE E-W FRONTOGENETIC ZONE FROM ERN SD...SRN MN INTO WRN WI. SNOWFALL RATES WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO 1-1.5 INCHES PER HOUR WITHIN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. SOME DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE LOW MAY OCCUR AS IT MIGRATES EWD THROUGH NRN IA. A TIGHTENING GRADIENT BETWEEN THE LOW AND SWD ADVANCING ARCTIC HIGH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WINDS STRENGTHENING TO 40-50 KT IN THE SFC-850 MB LAYER...INDICATING SOME LOCATIONS FROM ERN SD INTO SWRN MN MAY EXPERIENCE BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS LATER THIS MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 i think the max measured snow out of this from someone in the western wisconsin/southeast mn area is gonna come in around 25 inches of snow, we need a time lapse webcam from that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 700mb and 850mb lows further south at 24hrs then the 0z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 NAM looks like its coming in juicier this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettman320 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Do you think we'll get any decent snows stebo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 lowest pressure i could find at this hour is around sioux city, ia 1000mb or 29.53 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Do you think we'll get any decent snows stebo? Based upon trends plus the wind factor I'd probably shift the watches at least to 8 mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 finally home, was with a lady friend since 5 30 and got to glance at the 0z NAM/GFS but that was it so I was kinda going through withdrawl and now catching up on things. also a good win for the bulls. tomorrow will def be interesting to watch and I might even stay up to see the new AFD's also watched skilling, don't agree with his high totals....yet. but if things keep trending south we'll see. Looks like another event where there's going to be a big gradient somewhere around southern WI/northern IL. Model trends have been slightly slower/south on recent runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettman320 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Based upon trends plus the wind factor I'd probably shift the watches at least to 8 mile. I was thinking the same thing, should be pretty fun around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Is it me or is the 6Z NAM trying to develop a secondary even further south this run? Looks kinda Ukie'ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 just have an uneasy feeling about this one....i hate change over events. the change takes longer and the backside never pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 These 500mb maps are quite exciting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 I know it's been said but man, the trowal on this thing is amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Storm is now in the 999 hpa range and continues to slow and head NW. Models are not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I know it's been said but man, the trowal on this thing is amazing. As it stands right now, I would think the NAM might be on to something with the QPF. Because it is pretty certain this will have a great trowal, and models tend to underdo the qpf from trowals. Someone in MI might walk away with near a foot maybe more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 Storm is now in the 999 hpa range and continues to slow and head NW. Models are not even close. The only thing that seems to be close on strength is the RUC but even it's not quite deep enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Storm is now in the 999 hpa range and continues to slow and head NW. Models are not even close. Ray of flipping sunshine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 Check that. The new RUC is a few mb too weak as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Storm is now in the 999 hpa range and continues to slow and head NW. Models are not even close. You mean NE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 la crosse NWS put out a graphic around 1 saying 1-3" south of the dells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Storm is now in the 999 hpa range and continues to slow and head NW. Models are not even close. NW. I know what you meant though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 The strength looks more off to me than the location right now. Of course we'll see what the following hours bring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.