TheWeatherPimp Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Thought this was interesting out of Kansas: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 955 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010 .UPDATE... 812 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010 SERIES OF 50KT WIND GUSTS AS COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE AREA HAS COMPLICATED FORECAST FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. WINDS HAVE DONE SOME DAMAGE ALREADY AND WITH POTENTIAL FOR THEM CONTINUING BEHIND THE FRONT HAVE OPTED TO ISSUE A SHORT FUSE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE NEXT 2 HOURS. WITH ONGOING PRECIPITATION...HAVE EXPANDED AND INCREASED POPS TO THE SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA. WHILE COVERAGE ON RADAR APPEARS GOOD...DOESN`T APPEAR TO BE A LOT OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION SO WILL KEEP THINGS IN CHANCE RANGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I've stopped worrying about the dryslot (the qpf is gonna be there) and moved on to worrying about thermal issues. You know me, if it's not one thing, it's the other. lake will kill us my call is 1-3" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I am going to get blitzed ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyrys Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Driving home from rural parts of Carver County late this evening was more interesting than I thought it would be. Had about 1/2 an inch on roads with windblown snow going across the highways already though nothing all that significant at the time. There were already 3 cars off the roads at different points, but the roads really didn't seem to warrant sliding as long as you were driving somewhat cautiously. The visibility was more of a problem than anything causing me and the car in front of me to slow down to 35-40mph(on 55mph hwy) at spots. The car in front also couldn't figure out where the road was, as he drove on the shoulder for much of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I am going to get blitzed ... Just saw the 00z GFS... omfg. Almost a repeat of last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 what do you all think about the temp profiles in madison, i am thinking we could get into some decent freezing rain before noon tomorrow then switch pretty quick to snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Badger- I know. This is becoming some sort of December tradition around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I am going to get blitzed ... Me, too, but on, Schlitz while I read about everybody getting snow blitzed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Interesting trends here. Rapid intensification can result in some intense winds...and this is already showing. Models have nothing in Iowa right now....already G to 45 at KPRO/sustained at 39 with some RWIS sites reporting 40 G as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Bowme- I hear you. New GFS just KILLS your snow totals. That 45F+ lake is going to work its magic. Even Saukville looks to get boned on this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Badger- I know. This is becoming some sort of December tradition around here. Told you back in summer you would have close to 30" come January 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I'm ready for this storm, bring it on. Hopefully euro can continue the good trend. -15 - -25 for lows across WI next week, and then another storm at the end of the week? Jeez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Badger- I know. This is becoming some sort of December tradition around here. These sort of major storms are favored in December. Can't wait to see those first flakes soon, any there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Bowme- I hear you. New GFS just KILLS your snow totals. That 45F+ lake is going to work its magic. Even Saukville looks to get boned on this... Ain't a dam thing you can do with a ripping se and east wind a lot of the storm.. Low is just way to close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 0z ECMWF: 6hrs: 1004MB SLP in NE. Nebraska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 badger- Coming down good here. Driveway is totally covered... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 0z ECMWF: 6hrs: 1004MB SLP in NE. Nebraska. 12hrs: 1004MB SLP in the Fort Dodge, IA area. Nice precip from MSP down into NE. Nebraska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Interesting trends here. Rapid intensification can result in some intense winds...and this is already showing. Models have nothing in Iowa right now....already G to 45 at KPRO/sustained at 39 with some RWIS sites reporting 40 G as well. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 1046 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010 LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ALONG THE SOUTH DAKOTA AND NEBRASKA BORDER THIS EVENING...AND MOVE INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BY SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AROUND MIDNIGHT AND SPREAD INTO NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA TOWARD DAWN ON SATURDAY. THE HIGHEST SNOW AMOUNTS WILL AGAIN BE ACROSS SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...WITH DECREASING AMOUNTS BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST...BUT AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FROM THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL JAMES RIVER VALLEY IN SOUTH DAKOTA AND INTO NORTHWEST IOWA. AS THE LOW SHIFTS EAST...VERY STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP DRAGGING MUCH COLDER AIR SOUTH AND CREATING WIDESPREAD BLOWING SNOW WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA... SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA... AND NORTHWEST IOWA. IN ADDITION...THE STRONG WINDS AND ARCTIC AIR WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS FROM 10 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO MUCH OF SATURDAY. you think it's going that far n? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Ain't a dam thing you can do with a ripping se and east wind a lot of the storm.. Low is just way to close. That is terrible. I have had that happen to me many times as well. You get excited for the storm and then you are disappointed because it rains by the lake. Good luck to you anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 12hrs: 1004MB SLP in the Fort Dodge, IA area. Nice precip from MSP down into NE. Nebraska. 18hrs: Sub 1004MB SLP in East/Central Iowa, centered around Marshalltown, IA. Nice hit from Sioux Falls up into WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 badger- Coming down good here. Driveway is totally covered... Nice. Madison needs a winter storm warning asap judging by that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 18hrs: Sub 1004MB SLP in East/Central Iowa, centered around Marshalltown, IA. Nice hit from Sioux Falls up into WI. 24hrs: Sub 1004MB low from E. Iowa into E. Illinois. Centered around North/Central Illinois. Nice hit for parts of IA/MN/WI/IL. This is a bit further south than the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 24hrs: Sub 1004MB low from E. Iowa into E. Illinois. Centered around North/Central Illinois. Nice hit for parts of IA/MN/WI/IL. This is a bit further south than the 12z. 30hrs: 1000MB SLP at the southern tip of Lake Michigan. Nice hits for parts of IA/MN/WI/IL/MI. No dry slut for Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 24hrs: Sub 1004MB low from E. Iowa into E. Illinois. Centered around North/Central Illinois. Nice hit for parts of IA/MN/WI/IL. This is a bit further south than the 12z. South trend FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 30hrs: 1000MB SLP at the southern tip of Lake Michigan. Nice hits for parts of IA/MN/WI/IL/MI. No dry slut for Chicago. 36hrs: Sub 1000MB low from IN/Mi border down into KY. Nice hit for IL/WI/MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 1000MB SLP at the southern tip of Lake Michigan. Nice hits for parts of IA/MN/WI/IL/MI. No dry slut for Chicago. is that the 24 hour SLP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 36hrs: Sub 1000MB low from IN/Mi border down into KY. Nice hit for IL/WI/MI. 42hrs: Sub 996MB SLP centered along the Lake Erie/OH/PA shore area. Nice hit for parts of MI/OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 That is terrible. I have had that happen to me many times as well. You get excited for the storm and then you are disappointed because it rains by the lake. Good luck to you anyways. Yeah, it is unfortunate. I could see it coming the whole storm, but I thought the SE trend would allow us to overcome that warm east and southeast wind. This would be a perfect track if not for temps. Pretty similar to the December 9th storm last year, except the low tracked right through MKE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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