The_Global_Warmer Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 BEARS Good luck with a pass or a kick... maybe set the modern day NFL record for runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 This will definitely be an example of how you don't always need excessively deep surface low pressures to generate powerhouse winds. The 955mb Superbomb for example. No, a 1000 mb low in eastern Iowa with a 1030+ mb high nosing into western Iowa will do the trick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 BEARS I'll probably find that game since the Chiefs QB is out and they'll probably lose. Who has the better running game? since conditions for passing probably won't be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Any word on the Ukmet? IIRC someone has been posting it around this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 BEARS This game could end up being about as memorable as the infamous Fog Bowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 place your bets....has the south trend stopped or will it adjust south a tad next run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2010&model_mm=12&model_dd=11&model_init_hh=00&fhour=66¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Is the heavier located there in NW Ohio being overdone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 place your bets....has the south trend stopped or will it adjust south a tad next run? It's done. FWIW Milwaukee thinking 4-8 along the ILL border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I see this and this and think serious snow. Agree. Plus, amazingly enough, it appears that the gfs is still playing catch-up. My focus from here on out will be the high res models that initialize correctly. Sounds obvious, but it helps me work through the noise and abundance of info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 The south trend is just gettin started! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Tomorrow sounds like a good day to cut a Christmas tree from a local park... heavy snow should cover the tracks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 place your bets....has the south trend stopped or will it adjust south a tad next run? Good question. We've now had three runs in a row that have bumped south. I would guess maybe a little tweak south on the 06z and 12z, but probably not too much. Of course I pretty much wrote this storm off late last night so what do I know lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 00z UKMET is over northern IL at 24 hours and a hair north of IND at 30 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 If it continues trending south, JB may yet have his victory. Just kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 00z UKMET is over northern IL at 24 hours and a hair north of IND at 30 hours. Then near Fort Wayne at 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 If it continues trending south, JB may yet have his victory. Just kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 00z UKMET is over northern IL at 24 hours and a hair north of IND at 30 hours. how does that compare with the previous run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 place your bets....has the south trend stopped or will it adjust south a tad next run? South trend on gfs has stopped, imo...perhaps a bit more to go on the nam. FYI - decent N-S temp gradient along I-35 at 10PM CST: DSM 47F, MSP 22F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Hey guys, sorry for the "imby" question, but I'm on limited access that is costing me money for every kilobyte I use. I'm on the Michigan border right now just south of Port Huron, how are the updated models/forecasts looking for southeast Michigan? I'd really love to read back through the last few pages, but I can only afford to hit refresh a couple of times before I need to log off. Any input would be much appreciated! Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 LOT has me hitting 39 tomorrow, i was thinking we might make a run at 40 earlier today, but now, i think we top out around 36-37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Does anyone have a link that gets Ukmet QPF outside of the 6 hr intervals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 The south trend will slow and this will turn east/ne. Remember what baroclinic has been teaching us about the effect of the polar vortex and feedback systems? Plus we have no southern secondary. But it has gone farther se than I would have initially expected from the earlier model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Have you seen the latest GFS that's rolling in? It has shifted the low south! Could the trend be our friend? Right now it still has us changing over to rain, but still... i just saw it, as the storm passes our region, the GFS is a good 150 miles northwest of the 12z euro. that is a huge difference and will be all the difference for YOW. hopefully the 00z euro and ukie stick to their guns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Good luck with a pass or a kick... maybe set the modern day NFL record for runs you're forgetting the browns and bills game in buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Dudes- My wife's secretary thinks she is driving from La Crosse to Milwaukee tomorrow afternoon in a Sonata for her honeymoon... I told her to bring a blanket and wine, because they are spending it in the ditch along I 94... I'm so nice This must be the nightmare of every met and forecaster when all this work goes into producing a forecast and the public doesn't pay attention to what is most likely going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 i just saw it, as the storm passes our region, the GFS is a good 150 miles northwest of the 12z euro. that is a huge difference and will be all the difference for YOW. hopefully the 00z euro and ukie stick to their guns. I'm guessing that the ukie is good for Ottawa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 This storm is plain weird. Doesn't really matter what the models have right now for the short-term though. GFS trends the surface low a tad SE through central IA from here on out, NAM trends it a tad NE. Current position is N of GFS, surface pressure fall map is developing an isallobaric trough into northern IA. Pressure down to 1001.5 at Norfolk NE and dropping a mb per hour. Shall be fun to watch nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 This is one of the funkiest precip type maps I've ever seen: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 First flakes starting here. Man that is one intense band south/west of the metro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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