nutmegfriar Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Supermarkets will be busy in the morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 another great run.. board will be very quiet on Sunday. No kidding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Good Lord this run is amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 You never see this much theta-e at 850 get injected into the system like this. Look how close those high values are to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 What the heck is this thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Running out of ways to talk about how impressive some aspects of this system should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 the NAM continues with very high qpf's.. do we still cut them in 1/2 at this point? only 24hrs away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 That convection is probably at the heart of a lot of the struggle. Thicknesses are definitely warmer in SE areas on this run when comparing to the 12z. It's a tiny difference, but it's there. It's also probably inconsequential because the areas most effected are already going to be in the rain at that point anyway. IE, this isn't January and the areas near those CT's are raining anyway. I just ran my soundings, much colder, wait until the clown maps come out I will be back in the 12-18 clown paint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 You can tell that convection is messing with it a bit as the low tries to elongate east a bit. Dynamics through the roof. That convection is probably at the heart of a lot of the struggle. Thicknesses are definitely warmer in SE areas on this run when comparing to the 12z. It's a tiny difference, but it's there. It's also probably inconsequential because the areas most effected are already going to be in the rain at that point anyway. IE, this isn't January and the areas near those CT's are raining anyway. Are you questioning the solution because of the convection and that the elongation is suspect? If so, what would you expect? Thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The air aloft does dry above 700mb, but the forcing at 700 and below is so strong, it will probably keep the party going for sure. Maybe a brief lull or more showery type precip, but there is a ton of VV at 700 and below here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Running out of ways to talk about how impressive some aspects of this system should be. You might want to stay on the first floor during the storm...air could get thin on the 2nd floor as the 5h low rips overhead. The chase vehicle might get blown to ACK on north winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I still can't believe we are seeing QPF values like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Not to get to far off topic, but i am in construction and this has been the year of the anomalous event. Rain that falls to fast, winds that blow from the wrong direction and drive water into nooks that have never had leaks, snow that piles to quickly. I continually explain to out people that we are comparing events today to things that have never happened in the history of record j=keeping (not to say it has not happened), 2011 has been extreme. But even though all these people are pains in the ass, 2011 is king! Steve we should get a good Italian meal in Westerly some day. You got it bro. There is only one place I go for Italian and that's Moms and you are invited any time. Holy QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Are you questioning the solution because of the convection and that the elongation is suspect? If so, what would you expect? Thx. No it could happen like that. It;s more of a testament that this system, will be one potent bugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 You never see this much theta-e at 850 get injected into the system like this. Look how close those high values are to the coast. Yep. Basically smashing the sub-tropics into cP air...and over the distance of about 75 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 You might want to stay on the first floor during the storm...air could get thin on the 2nd floor as the 5h low rips overhead. The chase vehicle might get blown to ACK on north winds. LOL, Phil blasted with ozone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Yep. Basically smashing the sub-tropics into cP air...and over the distance of about 75 miles To those who might not know what I mean...think of it as a combo of warmth and moisture. Those values are really high to have so far north and that close during a snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 No it could happen like that. It;s more of a testament that this system, will be one potent bugger. If you have time, what effect does elongation have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 To those who might not know what I mean...think of it as a combo of warmth and moisture. Those values are really high to have so far north and that close during a snow event. is this a good explanation? http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/162/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 No it could happen like that. It;s more of a testament that this system, will be one potent bugger. MPM is trying to be stealthy but he's just wondering about his QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Ginx... if you get north of one foot before Halloween, I expect you to break out the top shelf booze... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I wonder if I get WSW for my area after the 0Z runs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 No it could happen like that. It;s more of a testament that this system, will be one potent bugger. Thanks. And for the record, I can't believe how many qpf comments people are making. Damn pissed I'm not in the middle of the 1.5 instead of the fringe. 151 users at 10:30 on a Friday night. Are we weenies, losers, parents, or all of the above? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Yep. Basically smashing the sub-tropics into cP air...and over the distance of about 75 miles Also the Oceans quite a bit warmer then december, we don't need the Carribien to feed this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I just ran my soundings, much colder, wait until the clown maps come out I will be back in the 12-18 clown paint. At 30hr, 0z NAM it's not colder at KTAN or close to that area vs the 12z, it's warmer at the surface. It's warmer at 850mb too in that general area. This is based on the maps that I can see. This is several runs in a row that have slightly shifted the most borderline areas on the front end NW. It changes everywhere as it collapses SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 LOL, Phil blasted with ozone. Blasted with ozone, and then 60 knots sustained from the north right after that. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Yep. Basically smashing the sub-tropics into cP air...and over the distance of about 75 miles Is there really an analogy? White hurricanes of years past? I can not find one, been looking for four days, not even close to the time of year, SSTS, CP air. Oh yea tides are nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 is this a good explanation? http://www.theweathe.../habyhints/162/ Well yeah if you understand what he means in some of that text. I gave you the very quick and dirty explanation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Blasted with ozone, and then 60 knots sustained from the north right after that. LOL. I can see him waving through the hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Is there really an analogy? White hurricanes of years past? I can not find one, been looking for four days, not even close to the time of year, SSTS, CP air. Oh yea tides are nuts. sat should be epic from 8pm on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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