Walpole Joe Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 1:45 AM, Ginx said: LOL I still have snow on my deck a full day after 1 inch of snow in Oct after a day of full sun, epic. Steve, that is the one thing from today, my deck points south and in the summer is an inferno (hate staining) during daylight, yet tonite we still have snow on it after a day in partial sun - it is October 28! Looking forward to tomorrow, thanks to all for their great input and analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Nam looking colder or at least holding serve I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 NAM at 5h is rolling in a little slower compared to the 12z. Not sure how it plays out, just slightly WNW/NW of the old 12z position at 21h. Looking at the 9h 500mb 0z, it reminds me of what the older GFS looked like when it was close to the coast and mean while the others were east. IMO, NAM is going west I think. Looks east just a smidge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 1:56 AM, skierinvermont said: Nam looking colder or at least holding serve I think yeah, right now looks slightly east and weaker at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 1:53 AM, Walpole Joe said: Steve, that is the one thing from today, my deck points south and in the summer is an inferno (hate staining) during daylight, yet tonite we still have snow on it after a day in partial sun - it is October 28! Looking forward to tomorrow, thanks to all for their great input and analysis Hey Joe! This is nuts and thanks. Just looked at the -Sds on GEFs and had a flashback to Jan 12 th, man IDK how much to put stock in the high SST influence, it's one cold ass column, massive compression as Scoter says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 1:53 AM, CoastalWx said: Tough to see how it will break down here near the water. The good thing for this area, is that I don't stick out into the water like Cape Ann or Hull. Well, its an incredible storm, with many facets.....Im totally ****ing stoked:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 NAM is really shunting the NW edge of precip SE. And the surface low is a tad east and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I can't believe areas like High Point NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Deja model misanalysis from last winter, let it come out to where it matters boys and girls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 At 18 hours, CT 1000-850 are warmer this run by quite a bit. Check CT and RI along I95 versus the 12z 30h. Where it goes from there? At 21 it's def a smidge warmer too along the borderline areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 NAM looks a touch east and a bit cooler... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 2:05 AM, messenger said: At 18 hours, CT 1000-850 are warmer this run by quite a bit. Check CT and RI along I95 versus the 12z 30h. Where it goes from there? At 21 it's def a smidge warmer too along the borderline areas. are you looking at the 0Z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Its def east of 18z...it looks like the blocking to our north holds a little tougher this run. Could be some ridiculous convection too in there that affects these tracks when a storm is this dynamic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 If you dont like the NAm you dont like weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 2:03 AM, Ginx said: Deja model misanalysis from last winter, let it come out to where it matters boys and girls. On 10/29/2011 at 2:05 AM, messenger said: At 18 hours, CT 1000-850 are warmer this run by quite a bit. Check CT and RI along I95 versus the 12z 30h. Where it goes from there? At 21 it's def a smidge warmer too along the borderline areas. On 10/29/2011 at 2:05 AM, Chrisrotary12 said: NAM looks a touch east and a bit cooler... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 definitely a tick east...precip shield much more compact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Congrats Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 2:06 AM, Bostonseminole said: are you looking at the 0Z? On 10/29/2011 at 2:07 AM, litchfieldlibations said: If you dont like the NAm you dont like weather On 10/29/2011 at 2:07 AM, ORH_wxman said: Its def east of 18z...it looks like the blocking to our north holds a little tougher this run. Could be some ridiculous convection too in there that affects these tracks when a storm is this dynamic. Sick just sick, ran the generator, ready set go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 You can tell that convection is messing with it a bit as the low tries to elongate east a bit. Dynamics through the roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 1:59 AM, litchfieldlibations said: Well, its an incredible storm, with many facets.....Im totally ****ing stoked:) Still looks like a smash job for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 LOL Torrington gets SMOKED this run, what a good weekend to come home. 1 foot + easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 another great run.. board will be very quiet on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 iPhone crashed through the roof and sent into the stratosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 2:09 AM, NW CONNECTICUT said: LOL Torrington gets SMOKED this run, what a good weekend to come home. 1 foot + easy Congrats--you could be the SNE winner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 2:09 AM, CoastalWx said: You can tell that convection is messing with it a bit as the low tries to elongate east a bit. Dynamics through the roof. Man this is repeating Jan 12 with that kind of elongation east, that radar loop you posted might be repeated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 2' for NW CT/ GC/ SNH/ SVT?! :thumbsup: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 2:09 AM, CoastalWx said: You can tell that convection is messing with it a bit as the low tries to elongate east a bit. Dynamics through the roof. That convection is probably at the heart of a lot of the struggle. Thicknesses are definitely warmer in SE areas on this run when comparing to the 12z. It's a tiny difference, but it's there. It's also probably inconsequential because the areas most effected are already going to be in the rain at that point anyway. IE, this isn't January and the areas near those CT's are raining anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Phil might need his oxygen mask by 06z...atmosphere being ripped a new one over the Cape at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Walpole Joe Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 1:58 AM, Ginx said: Hey Joe! This is nuts and thanks. Just looked at the -Sds on GEFs and had a flashback to Jan 12 th, man IDK how much to put stock in the high SST influence, it's one cold ass column, massive compression as Scoter says. Not to get to far off topic, but i am in construction and this has been the year of the anomalous event. Rain that falls to fast, winds that blow from the wrong direction and drive water into nooks that have never had leaks, snow that piles to quickly. I continually explain to out people that we are comparing events today to things that have never happened in the history of record j=keeping (not to say it has not happened), 2011 has been extreme. But even though all these people are pains in the ass, 2011 is king! Steve we should get a good Italian meal in Westerly some day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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