powderfreak Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Are you tugging something else with each tug east?? LOL...I think messenger thinks this is going east but I'm not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 38.9\32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 FYP, not even close bro, expect this to continue come lat Novie Dec, Jan. Feb You my friend are in for the ride of your life, persistence, persistence. GINXXX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Are you tugging something else with each tug east?? I'm pretty sure 6 hours before the Chicago blizzard last winter he was posting maps showing how in fact his house would be getting 2 feet with raging thundersnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 theres never been a winter storm warning nevermind a blizzard warning im sure some places will see the criteria met anyone hearing about blizzard warnings? I mean you have the winds for more than 3+ hrs. and now it seems this is trending colder, so the snow.. what are we missing? also has there ever been a blizzard warning for SNE this early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Everything looks good. I'm kind of mad that I only got 5-6 hours of sleep the past few night because of things I needed to do. I hope I can still stay up most of the night, however. I wouldn't want to miss this haha. BOX map gives me 11-12". I might need to try coffee for the first time, or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 theres never been a winter storm warning nevermind a blizzard warning im sure some places will see the criteria met true.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 anyone hearing about blizzard warnings? I mean you have the winds for more than 3+ hrs. and now it seems this is trending colder, so the snow.. what are we missing? also has there ever been a blizzard warning for SNE this early? GYX addressed this in their early-AM AFD for their CWA. Said they'd held off on blizzard warnings only because the wet nature of the snow would likely prevent the visibility threshold from being met. So they've gone with the WSW and High Wind Warning instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I'm pretty sure 6 hours before the Chicago blizzard last winter he was posting maps showing how in fact his house would be getting 2 feet with raging thundersnow. I'm just kidding with messenger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Starting to think Will and HubbDave are getting close to being the winners. That DS may make it into I-95 region or a bit west, but I think we'll have low level frontogenesis going to town at the same time. Scott or Will. Haven't really heard anything about the Southern NH area. Do you think my area looks good to get that band? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 ACK td still 34 with those sst's. Testament to how cool it is aloft. Logan 070 wind and will slowly back around later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 But what's odd is that the Euro is the least dynamic solution Right, which is largely due to the delayed intensification because of the interference from the south. Which other models seem to be grabbing now. Euro may correct back towards the more dynamic models, or it may be leading the charge we'll know tonight. Are you tugging something else with each tug east?? It could go 100 miles east and it won't matter for me. I have 55 degree water 150 feet from my feet, not going to help until the backside bomb tonight. Yep, wouldn't be a winter storm with Messenger flaunting his RUC and southeast trend fetishes There isn't a data set that we have that's rapid updating right now that isn't SE. Not a fetish, just reality. Doesn't mean it's right. Albany NWS made a clear mention of it too. This was not yet their forecast and they've given the 12z NAM more credence, but "OTHERWISE...LATEST NEAR-TERM RUC13/HRRR...AND SFC OBS DEPICT TWO SOMEWHAT DISCONCERTING TRENDS FOR TODAY/TONIGHT. BOTH MODELS INDICATE BEST FORCING TRANSLATING ACROSS S/E AREAS ONLY...WITH STRONGEST FGEN ACROSS MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NW CT...WITH MUCH WEAKER FORCING FURTHER N/W. SHOULD RADAR TRENDS BEGIN TO INDICATE THAT THIS MAY COME TRUE...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS MAY NEED TO BE TRIMMED BACK...PERHAPS SIGNIFICANTLY...ACROSS AT LEAST NORTHERN VALLEY PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. IN ADDITION...LATEST SFC OBS INDICATE MAINLY RAIN OCCURRING THUS FAR ACROSS EASTERN PA. THIS MAY BE RELATED TO THE RELATIVELY WEAKER PRECIP RATES THUS FAR...AND ALSO SOME SLIGHTLY WARMER BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS. AS FORCING INTENSIFIES...DYNAMICAL COLUMNAR COOLING MAY LEAD TO MORE SNOW. AGAIN...BOTH OF THESE TRENDS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AS EITHER OR BOTH COULD ULTIMATELY LEAD TO LESS SNOWFALL ACROSS AT LEAST VALLEY PORTIONS OF THE REGION." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Even ISP RS with a ne wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Scott or Will. Haven't really heard anything about the Southern NH area. Do you think my area looks good to get that band? Thanks. You look to be in a good spot. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Scott or Will. Haven't really heard anything about the Southern NH area. Do you think my area looks good to get that band? Thanks. Still 5 posted....unbelievable...FREE SNOWNH!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 This storm will overperform in many areas that were borderline. Valleys, even close to the shore in CT could get crushed with heavy snow and tree damage. Gibbs is ripping snow in the Bronx now. HPN is 35/28. wtf???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 theres never been a winter storm warning nevermind a blizzard warning im sure some places will see the criteria met BZWs are hard to verify period in this area. With the coastal sites being the most likely to verify wind criteria, boundary layer warmth will probably prevent the snow from reaching the 1/4SM visibility criteria. I wouldn't be surprised to see some sites flirt with it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Just read the latest NWS message for my forecast area...10-14" really. Don't get me wrong, I'm pumped for any snow this early, but I'm having trouble with these numbers. I haven't had a chance to look at any models since last night.What kinda of QPF is expected for western CT? 37.5 /29..wind picking up and smelling like snow out there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The hills later on tonight might be in the 20s with wind whipped powder...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The hills later on tonight might be in the 20s with wind whipped powder...lol. Tree damage kind of snow may move into the areas most vulnerable for it in the first place... valley locales and places more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 This storm will overperform in many areas that were borderline. Valleys, even close to the shore in CT could get crushed with heavy snow and tree damage. Gibbs is ripping snow in the Bronx now. HPN is 35/28. wtf???? Longitude FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Sleet bangin off the dorm room window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Still 5 posted....unbelievable...FREE SNOWNH!!!! Wow let the poor guy enjoy the storm by posting and weenie-ing out with the rest of you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I keep thinking....foiled again by the east wind. Then I remember the east wind in October.... Thinking just about all of us break our October record when all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 This storm will overperform in many areas that were borderline. Valleys, even close to the shore in CT could get crushed with heavy snow and tree damage. Gibbs is ripping snow in the Bronx now. HPN is 35/28. wtf???? wow, update snow totals ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Wow let the poor guy enjoy the storm by posting and weenie-ing out with the rest of you guys. Hear hear. Free the weenie to be like the rest of us today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Watching the traffic cams a couple miles west of NYC, big fat snow flakes. Still can't get over that this is happening in October!!! Link for those who are curious : http://www.trafficland.com/city/ISP/camera/6306/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 wow, update snow totals ? You will get 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Been out and about this morning. In barber shop now. Nobody believes this will be a big deal since they are focused on paltry snow estimates. Wind is what they should be thinking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The hills later on tonight might be in the 20s with wind whipped powder...lol. We will never, EVER see this happen again, prehallowenie. This hills can keep that.....blue-paste, cf bomb me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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