powderfreak Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Freezing ass off here at soccer. I like 16 or so for NE CT Would you be angry if you only get 8" or so? I do think you get 8-14"...likely the higher range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Flaunting my ass off here at soccer. I like 16 weenies for NE CT 14" incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Overperforming early wet bulb cooling and an overperforming dry slot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I missed this... BOX dropped things a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Hey everyone...any update or forecasts for max wind gusts on the south shore...not very often you see a high wind warning over such a large swath...overlapped with winter storm warnings...what will max winds be? Could have a few gusts to 50-60 mph. SNE could have heavy wind dmg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Anyone agree that these things tend to verify colder than most guidance usually portrays...thus bring the 3-6" into KBOS? ok...this totally made me lol...i'm trying to be kinder and gentler, but i would give you the big weenie tag for this post! i like your enthusiasm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I missed this... BOX dropped things a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I missed this... BOX dropped things a little more for me and colder AIT LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Overperforming early wet bulb cooling and an overperforming dry slot? I think it may be more indicative of the storm being a little east or wanting to go a little east. So more cold air is draining. If that is the case it should mute the dry slot for all of you. Note models like the HRRR continue the subtle shift SE. Not the back edge of the heavier stuff in just 1 hour. Also note the interaction with old rina way to the south. Placement of that system is messing with the mods too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I can't seem to find the web page...but dendritic snow crystal growth actually occurs at warmer temperatures when salt is the primary ice nuclei. Also, in the presence of significant moisture excess and lift you can get dendritic growth at warm temperatures than the typical -12 to -18c that is indicated in BUFKIT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 ya i've been lookin at echos in NPA and central NY drying up ....looks like Confluence.......eating away at it. and i say this regarding the shift in ALbany's discussion SE with less qpf nw....(all MPM jokes aside).....so i was thinkin on a hotel in gardner but i wonder if that is too far north for this one....perhaps i should look just west of ORH ? any one have any thoughts ideas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Starting to think Will and HubbDave are getting close to being the winners. That DS may make it into I-95 region or a bit west, but I think we'll have low level frontogenesis going to town at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 you know looking at the map Hubb posted, its time for all of SNE to be under one roof, screw the new yorkers, they can have Dobbs Ferry and NJ we want LLib , WeatherX on our maps dammit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 ya i've been lookin at echos in NPA and central NY drying up ....looks like Confluence.......eating away at it. and i say this regarding the shift in ALbany's discussion SE with less qpf nw....(all MPM jokes aside).....so i was thinkin on a hotel in gardner but i wonder if that is too far north for this one....perhaps i should look just west of ORH ? any one have any thoughts ideas Try the Marriot Courtyard on Rte 2 in Fitchburg (on the Prnceton line) They have an indoor water park (in case there is no snow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 ya i've been lookin at echos in NPA and central NY drying up ....looks like Confluence.......eating away at it. and i say this regarding the shift in ALbany's discussion SE with less qpf nw....(all MPM jokes aside).....so i was thinkin on a hotel in gardner but i wonder if that is too far north for this one....perhaps i should look just west of ORH ? any one have any thoughts ideas Starting to think Will and HubbDave are getting close to being the winners. That DS may make it into I-95 region or a bit west, but I think we'll have low level frontogenesis going to town at the same time. i hate nowcasting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I can't seem to find the web page...but dendritic snow crystal growth actually occurs at warmer temperatures when salt is the primary ice nuclei. Also, in the presence of significant moisture excess and lift you can get dendritic growth at warm temperatures than the typical -12 to -18c that is indicated in BUFKIT. Yeah salt particles can allow for growth at like -8C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Overperforming early wet bulb cooling and an overperforming dry slot? actually the 7H is further East on the 12Z than 6 by about 30 miles, the dry slot looks SE, reminds me of 1/12/11 a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Man, I really hope this doesnt under-perform... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 you know looking at the map Hubb posted, its time for all of SNE to be under one roof, screw the new yorkers, they can have Dobbs Ferry and NJ we want LLib , WeatherX on our maps dammit. Light rain 43 here Steve Winds are howling!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I think the high terrain may start as straight snow, and interior lower elevations will nearly do the same...maybe a short period of RA- RA/SN to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Man, I really hope this doesnt under-perform... pretty sure any snow in october is overperforming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Starting to think Will and HubbDave are getting close to being the winners. That DS may make it into I-95 region or a bit west, but I think we'll have low level frontogenesis going to town at the same time. I think so. Later HRRR of the 12z is out. Note the shift from the 11z. Again long into its range but it's consistent throughout. Tangle seems to be in handling old circulation with rina way south. How everything interacts in the next few hours is king. Definitely hints on the 12z HRRR that there will be that elongation the euro advertised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 pretty sure any snow in october is overperforming I understand that...just saying that with how the storm has been shown on the models I am hoping for death and destruction...anything short is a disappointment... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 actually the 7H is further East on the 12Z than 6 by about 30 miles, the dry slot looks SE, reminds me of 1/12/11 a lot. Well the whole thing is north a bit in the beginning. Either way the GFS/NAM at 6z showed some dry slot potential for a period of time S & E of I-84 even up to Will... or at least a period of time when the precip rates drop and snow growth craps the bed. Either way I think I may be snow wire to wire here in HFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Man, I really hope this doesnt under-perform... LOL yo Debbie actually things are evolving better for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I understand that...just saying that with how the storm has been shown on the models I am hoping for death and destruction...anything short is a disappointment... Can you bring a chainsaw and generator to my house? TIA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 LOL yo Debbie actually things are evolving better for you. I thought they have been and my hopes have been rising...I would love a heavy wet snow and high winds...just excited to see this in October... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Also just for bob, the Ruc continues to come in colder throughout the run and is arguably a nudge east versus the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I understand that...just saying that with how the storm has been shown on the models I am hoping for death and destruction...anything short is a disappointment... all weenies want maximum destruction...anything short of 5 trees lying across my yard tomorrow is a bust... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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