Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 8-12 from lower to higher in elevation...with possibility of spot 15". I just called to say I love you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Yeah I'm torn with them and Kevin. I should probably just stay low to get you know who all riled up. How come you're torn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 How come noone is throwing out 18-20 inch lolli amts? Ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Does this have the potential to rip gusts over 100mph on the CApe like Dec 05? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 How come you're torn? I'm more confident in Litchfield County of 12+ amounts... you guys are a bit more of a wild card. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 This is about the point where Phil will be sniffing ozone His carbon monoxide detector will be going off just becuase.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I'm more confident in Litchfield County of 12+ amounts... you guys are a bit more of a wild card. For what reason? Are you thinking wetter snow..less favorable ratios??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 How come you're torn? Natalie Imbruglia stayed over last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Heavy heavy ozone for Phil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 LOL...its even stronger with the LLJ now on the back end...75 knots at 950mb with those lapse rates Phil's house might be blown into ACK sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Natalie Imbruglia stayed over last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 For what reason? Are you thinking wetter snow..less favorable ratios??? Looks like the best mesoscale banding sets up in the Litchfield Hills... a bit to the NW of the 700mb low. I could see them ripping with great snow growth why we dry out a bit above 700 and go to crappy snow growth with some mesoscale subsidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Natalie Imbruglia stayed over last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Some in the Azores is going to see an H2 floating ashore with a Capecodweather.net sticker on it...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Looks like the best mesoscale banding sets up in the Litchfield Hills... a bit to the NW of the 700mb low. I could see them ripping with great snow growth why we dry out a bit above 700 and go to crappy snow growth with some mesoscale subsidence. But..that last` deathband should also help make up for what we lose in what you are talking about..They may not get in on that like HFD` east will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Even the hi res models (HRW-NMM and ARW) aren't really hugging the coast so I could see areas east of GC perhaps get clocked...or at least have higher confidence. Still looks like a good GC death band sets up, but stuff will go to town east of that as everything crashes ese. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 But..that last` deathband should also help make up for what we lose in what you are talking about..They may not get in on that like HFD` east will The deathband will probably be more transient for you and not quite as intense as it will be to your northeast...you should still get it. But that would be enough for you not to beat out Litchfield county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 to the Mets, question that's been raised multiple times before but maybe hard to answer: we're seeing 3-6 hours (at least) of 1-3" / hr rates and likely < 1/4 visibilities, sustained winds 30-40 mph with higher gusts between I-84 and the Mass coast why are Blizzard criteria not being discussed? warmer surface temps not part of criteria, but might improve visibilities? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Will, Ryan, Scoot, Eck,,,are we still thinking power issues or does colder tick mean less wet..more powder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 But..that last` deathband should also help make up for what we lose in what you are talking about..They may not get in on that like HFD` east will No they will and I think they stay under it longer than we do. Not to mention they will be a bit colder to start in the boundary layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Those LLJ numbers on the NAM are starting to look very similar to Dec '05...maybe still just a shade weaker. But having gotten stronger by 10-15 knots on this run, its def a lot closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The deathband will probably be more transient for you and not quite as intense as it will be to your northeast...you should still get it. But that would be enough for you not to beat out Litchfield county. Well then the same could be said for your area as well I guess. Who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Question for you guys again...I am looking at the text wording in the forecast for ORH. It appears that they are saying that winds will be gusting up to 44MPH tomorrow. Would that merit a blizzard watch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Well then the same could be said for your area as well I guess. Who knows You don't have to jackpot every storm. With the mid level low track it just has a NW CT kind of jackpot feel for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I'll post the euro maps when I get in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Stinger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Stinger. Beware of NAM a bit.. LWX noted a cold bias with a recent upgrade.. not sure what to make of it in relation to that death band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 You don't have to jackpot every storm. With the mid level low track it just has a NW CT kind of jackpot feel for me. I don't care if I do or not. That's not what I'm saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 34.9/29 Should start as snow I would think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Those LLJ numbers on the NAM are starting to look very similar to Dec '05...maybe still just a shade weaker. But having gotten stronger by 10-15 knots on this run, its def a lot closer. phil's got problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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