Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Anyone zoom in and notice the GFS has a warm core....at least warmer than surrounding areas. http://www.twisterda...e&archive=false YOu can see the UKIE ain't buying that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I don't have a tractor. I have cows and a few goats. I'm eco-friendly. UK is cold as a witches ti*. teet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 good post SNOW NH your posts usually have a good natured humor in them and yes i think you hit the nail on the head w/ the boxing day storms shredded precip in the minds of some i think this storm will have a death band similiar to boxing day storm but i think the precip will have a much more impressive showing over the ORH-FIT area I think this is worth a post.... Lets put it this way... I don't see that dredded "V" that was showing up during that boxing day storm, which makes me a lot more confident in this storm. I have the confidence in this one like I did during 1/12. Should be a great looking radar with this one with Rina's/Gulf moisture literally fused with this. One thing I do know, W MA will see a band from hell with this one. I feel its all but guaranteed out there. Rule of thumb, Track close to ACK= Band from hell over MRG/PITS house. It should be a chapter in the northeast snowstorms book. I'm just hoping I can see one of those meso bands here for once. It seems like its been a long time. I fear the shredded "V"... Its not showing up here though which is awesome. I kinda wish I was still at school at WPI for this one although I think this would have been my scheduled fall break lol Here's some nice relaxing music to set the scene... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 If the often talked about theory is that the Euro is sometimes predicted by the ukie dokie, I think the euro is going to be cold..er Hope Will is going to do the play by play, i'll be tucked in bed reading on the ipad. Can't wait to see the photos, you guys are going to get crushed. If the winds pan out I may get to see the photos when they're blown 45 miles into my yard. EDIT: I95 (around sharon) is going to get clocked, probably at least over to Rte 24. I guess my question is now pending the Euro...will it get tucked down into interior SE MA like Middleboro? If the Euro is cold time to go full blast around Taunton, Easton etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Charlotsville , VA at 456 ft elevation has been 33 and snowing hard for the last hour in virginia FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Charlotsville , VA at 456 ft elevation has been 33 and snowing hard for the last hour in virginia FWIW A lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Awesome stuff guys. Tine to sleep now. Have to be up at 8, then try to stay up as much of the night tomorrow as I can. See ya'll tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 For the C NH crew...I think we still do well like in Boxing Day/Jan 12 with the possible deformation banding. The deep layer moisture with strong H5-H6 lift in the prime snow growth region should give us periods of heavy rates. The snow growth should be good at times, but where 2m temps are around 32F the ratios may get nullified. Anyone cranking under the banding with temps solidly below freezing may really see the snow pile up. The Euro drops a little over 0.75" imby. We may waste a bit of that on -RA or melting on contact to start. I think I like 5-8" here with 6-10" for the higher elevations to my west. Hopefully every stays safe and enjoys the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Congrats guys and gals, it looks like it's going to happen. Be careful around trees with leaves on them though, heavy wet snow will break them. Had a friend send me pics from Colorado with their snowstorm a few days ago, lot of downed limbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I've rarely seen such strong mid level frontogenesis aligned this nicely with low values of -epv. Impressive mesoscale banding along with +TSSN should be pretty crazy. This is the nam40 at 09z sunday...but it carries all the way through from the northern mid atlc through SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I've rarely seen such strong mid level frontogenesis aligned this nicely with low values of -epv. Impressive mesoscale banding along with +TSSN should be pretty crazy. This is the nam40 at 09z sunday...but it carries all the way through from the northern mid atlc through SNE. The upshot is that I don't think this is one of those years where winter ends in November. I'm journaling this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I've rarely seen such strong mid level frontogenesis aligned this nicely with low values of -epv. Impressive mesoscale banding along with +TSSN should be pretty crazy. This is the nam40 at 09z sunday...but it carries all the way through from the northern mid atlc through SNE. If that pans out like it shows, its going to be constant lightning bolts zapping under +SN like when you were in Needham during 12/9/05...the TV towers taking a punishing, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 If that pans out like it shows, its going to be constant lightning bolts zapping under +SN like when you were in Needham during 12/9/05...the TV towers taking a punishing, lol. haha, "severe thunderstorm warning" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 If that pans out like it shows, its going to be constant lightning bolts zapping under +SN like when you were in Needham during 12/9/05...the TV towers taking a punishing, lol. I can imagine a 2/12/06 like megaband developing if this verifies...just won't have the tremendous ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I can imagine a 2/12/06 like megaband developing if this verifies...just won't have the tremendous ratios. That's why I'm concerned about subsidence outside the band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I can imagine a 2/12/06 like megaband developing if this verifies...just won't have the tremendous ratios. The frontogenesis is ridiculous. Its longevity is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Euro looks a bit east...its closer to the benchmark for its track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Euro looks a bit east...its closer to the benchmark for its track. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Euro looks a bit east...its closer to the benchmark for its track. Will, what do you think of totals to the northwest of the ludicrous frontogenesis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Euro looks a bit east...its closer to the benchmark for its track. I'll take it, I know this storm is mostly a wash for me, but would like to see some sort of snow towards the end if possible. P.S. everyone must be getting their sleep, real quiet tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Will, what do you think of totals to the northwest of the ludicrous frontogenesis? That's probably where someone could pick up 15-18" lolli. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I don't know exactly what the 12z Euro looked like b/c of the 24hr increments but isn't the 0z a bit warmer with the 0C line over montauk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 euro FTW...nailed it from 3-4 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I don't know exactly what the 12z Euro looked like b/c of the 24hr increments but isn't the 0z a bit warmer with the 0C line over montauk? I didn't really compare the 850 temps since almost all of SNE stays -4C or colder except far SE areas...the WSI maps have the 0C line about 20 mi SE of MTK. The overall track though was a tad SE IMHO...it wasn't a big change though. I think its prob too far SE though...it was in 1/12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I didn't really compare the 850 temps since almost all of SNE stays -4C or colder except far SE areas...the WSI maps have the 0C line about 20 mi SE of MTK. The overall track though was a tad SE IMHO...it wasn't a big change though. I think its prob too far SE though...it was in 1/12. Ok Plymouth has it over MTK at 24hrs but that could just be plymouth. It looked kinda warm given the SLP placement so what you're saying makes sense. Track looked pretty far SE like you said. Phew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Ok Plymouth has it over MTK at 24hrs but that could just be plymouth. It looked kinda warm given the SLP placement so what you're saying makes sense. Track looked pretty far SE like you said. Phew. Check weatherunderground. Can't get better than that for free Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Just saw, warnings up from Gray now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The frontogenesis is ridiculous. Its longevity is impressive. Very impressive. Thanks for posting. Will, are these WSI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Very impressive. Thanks for posting. Will, are these WSI? Nope, FSU... http://moe.met.fsu.edu/banding/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Check weatherunderground. Can't get better than that for free Nice! I haven't used these before.. they are very different from the Plymouth maps, much better. Are they new? Are those real Euro precip maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.