Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 also looks to be stretching further into Sunday now, we could have flakes into early afternoon in EMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Almost want to up to 8-14'' IMBY but I know that's silly. 6-12'' still looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 After seeing the NAM and GFS i feel like we could see 4-8" in my area, I realize it's still marginal but it appears that a consensus is forming. West of 128 will really get smoked. 6-8 for my area i think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I think dryslot issues should be fairly brief anyway...if they occur at all, they would def be pretty early in the game right after the initial WCB burst...but as the system starts mushroom clouding south of LI everything will become more compact and want to converge towatd the center of the deepening low so the DS would probably get chewed up pretty quickly and fill back in to the SE. yeah, I agree. I'm just looking at the pivot point...max areas. Obviously SNE would do well in both scenarios...but I think the more amped 18z GFS would put it's max banding potential over the Berkshires while this run would be closer to the ORH Hills down to higher elevations of northern CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Stays course Euro won to this point. Now let's see if it also makes a subtle shift east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Won't matter for me, but for the area around I95 it's the difference between a few sloppy inches and a major, major devastating snowstorm. I'm looking at the rough graphics but the GFS must crucifiy even EMA at the end. You would need a NE shift not a tick NE.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 MET snow numbers are robust......how did it come up 8 for BOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 MET snow numbers are robust......how did it come up 8 for BOS? take it and run jerry... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 also looks to be stretching further into Sunday now, we could have flakes into early afternoon in EMA. Yeah the band from hell over E MA late in the game might be slow to move east as Phil is sniffing ozone on the Cape...thats the point in the storm where it might get captured back to the W for an extra 3-6 hours. Sort of the same phenomenon that kept the steady snow going into the afternoon hours in the Jan 12 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Euro won to this point. Now let's see if it also makes a subtle shift east. if it does it's meaningless... but i bet it's within 50 miles, i.e., pointless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 You would need a NE shift not a tick NE.. Doesn't matter for me....water is too warm. Only way I get more than flakes falling here is the situation Will describes where the back band from hell clobbers us. Winds have to be NNW or NW here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Ah, guys and gals, Rina's mid level ejecta is fusing in with this - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Yeah the band from hell over E MA late in the game might be slow to move east as Phil is sniffing ozone on the Cape...thats the point in the storm where it might get captured back to the W for an extra 3-6 hours. Sort of the same phenomenon that kept the steady snow going into the afternoon hours in the Jan 12 storm. Thanks Will, sounds like fun times ahead, going to get some rest and be ready for a fun 24 hrs starting 4 tomorrow.. good night all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Ah, guys and gals, Rina's mid level ejecta is fusing in with this - Hey Tip, what kind of implications does that have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Euro won to this point. Now let's see if it also makes a subtle shift east. If the Euro ticks east then things start to get serious around here.. huge gradient just to my north. Eastern MA will still have issues due to the wind off the water but my area may have the most to gain/lose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Ah, guys and gals, Rina's mid level ejecta is fusing in with this - more moisture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jack Suslak Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Warnings up for E Mass by Morning you think guys?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
highways1 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 6-8 for my area i think... After that I think you could be getting near 10, insane. This storm would be notable in January but to occur in October is something we'll never see again. Question though, is the fact that this occurring in October with those warm SST's aiding the amounts? If this was in the middle of winter would we talking 2" QPF with this setup because I really wonder if that's the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Ah, guys and gals, Rina's mid level ejecta is fusing in with this - This Phraseology conjures some odd things..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 MET snow numbers are robust......how did it come up 8 for BOS? jerry, call me crazy but i'm starting to feel warning criteria materializing in our hood if Euro holds tnite... this is absolutely incredible and historic. and for the records, clear NAM/Euro vs. GFS battle in <24 hour timeframe, and GFS finally caved. hasn't always in the past, but it sure has in a huge way tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Warnings up for E Mass by Morning you think guys?? I'd be surprised if Middlesex county didn't have a warning at some point and perhaps even western Norfolk county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 more moisture? Would be enhacement but also warm the core? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 94 people at midnight in October viewing right now...just historic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I'd be surprised if Middlesex county didn't have a warning at some point and perhaps even western Norfolk county. My area doesn't have one right now...just shy... a little more to the west.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 94 people at midnight in October viewing right now...just historic... AMWX viewing #s should be part of the storm summaries in the next KU book. It could replace NESIS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 This Phraseology conjures some odd things..... I want it to spark some interest. Huge theta-e ... anomalous inject Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 GFS...wow, close to destroying EMA but I think it doesn't. Dry slot and then it moves kind of quickly NE. Good punch of snow though. Note the 2+ in QPF totals that pop up near EMA and move NE. Glad to see that, think it leaves some wiggle room east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I want it to spark some interest. Huge theta-e ... anomalous inject Sounds like a good case study at least maybe thesis topic OT, but interesting non the less! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I'd be surprised if Middlesex county didn't have a warning at some point and perhaps even western Norfolk county. Fox 25 has me at 2-5"..boo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 well the cold air is here huh? 32/29 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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