ChrisM Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 low is a good bit east and 1mb weaker at 12hrs. Euro wins I can't tell if this is a joke post or not lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 -3 line 5-10 miles inland from the CT shore at 18.. basically the same as the euro maybe a hair warmer. How does that compare to the 0z NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 low is a good bit east and 1mb weaker at 12hrs. Euro wins GFS still winning down here. Even warmer at 850 for the M/A! Weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Definitly east from 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 How does that compare to the 0z NAM? I think just a hair warmer basically shift the 0 and -3C lines 20 miles SE and it would be the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 GFS still winning down here. Even warmer at 850 for the M/A! Weird As the system approached(s) it doesn't surprise me that the warmer solutions are winning down there. Not sure it'll carry north though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 GFS is a bit east.. not sure about BL or temps.. but at the surface its east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The conservative map has me at 8"-10". In reality I am hoping just to get my temp below 40f during the course of this storm. And thats how much attention you should pay to those CoolWX graphics. All snowfall graphics suck. I can walk up a mountain and go from nothing to 10" in 2 miles. No way a 500 mile map image can show that kind of resolution. And CoolWX isn't one of the best. But speaking to your situation... I see lots of upper 30s in your area on Mesonet. And the meat of the storm is still several hours away. You have plenty of time to cool below 35F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 A ton colder than the 12z. So does the Euro trickle east now too or does it stay the course? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I know the GFS is rolling in, but precip should start sometime in the afternoon.....do we think that there can be any accumulation during the daylight hours or do we have to wait till nightfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Also interesting to see the GFS shrink the 24 hour QPF in WPA and CPA. Kind of a common thing as it focuses more on the most intense dynamics which will be over Will and Pete's head. Very happy to see the GFS stop going west. This is a decent bump east from the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 A ton colder than the 12z. So does the Euro trickle east now too or does it stay the course? Being slightly east should be colder definitly it will help coastal areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 LOL even with a tick east this thing still gives almost 20" for the NWCT/GC/SNH corridor. My weenie...so...sore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Check out 33 hours on the GFS. EMA is/just got crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I know the GFS is rolling in, but precip should start sometime in the afternoon.....do we think that there can be any accumulation during the daylight hours or do we have to wait till nightfall? The higher terrain should start accumulating pretty quickly after it starts...once it becomes mod/heavy. CP will have to wait a little longer, but I suspect the western CP near 495 will still def be snow pretty fast...probably by 4 or 5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 LOL even with a tick east this thing still gives almost 20" for the NWCT/GC/SNH corridor. My weenie...so...sore. grossss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Being slightly east should be colder definitly it will help coastal areas Won't matter for me, but for the area around I95 it's the difference between a few sloppy inches and a major, major devastating snowstorm. I'm looking at the rough graphics but the GFS must crucifiy even EMA at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Check out 33 hours on the GFS. EMA is/just got crushed. I saw this and literally went "Holy Sh*t" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Looking at the NAM (GFS soon), and, its close on surface temps, but potentially, Boston is rocking. And the winds... I'm jelly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 As the system approached(s) it doesn't surprise me that the warmer solutions are winning down there. Not sure it'll carry north though. Things seem to be in line with the NAM thought here... several degrees colder than GFS forecasted at stations.. Also.. CHO over to snow already... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Just a smidge E. An incredible gradient is going to set-up. Logan airport to Newton. WOW, Outside of 495 will Blizzard criteria be achieved? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The higher terrain should start accumulating pretty quickly after it starts...once it becomes mod/heavy. CP will have to wait a little longer, but I suspect the western CP near 495 will still def be snow pretty fast...probably by 4 or 5pm. Ok. That is what I have been telling everyone. Good to know I wasn't just talking out my rear end. Over/Under how long snow pack lasts......3 days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I think this run is better for ORH area than the previous one. Looks like less dry slot issues as the 700mb low is a bit more consolidated to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 1.5'' of QPF...hell yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Things seem to be in line with the NAM thought here... several degrees colder than GFS forecasted at stations.. Also.. CHO over to snow already... I may be wrong but weren't you closer to home at college last year or was that another guy? Will, the GFS...is that a wicked hit even in Boston and Taunton at the end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I may be wrong but weren't you closer to home at college last year or was that another guy? Will, the GFS...is that a wicked hit even in Boston and Taunton at the end? I was at Bridgton Academy in N Bridgton ME last year for a post grad prep year. Now I am down here for the next four years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I think this run is better for ORH area than the previous one. Looks like less dry slot issues as the 700mb low is a bit more consolidated to the south. I think dryslot issues should be fairly brief anyway...if they occur at all, they would def be pretty early in the game right after the initial WCB burst...but as the system starts mushroom clouding south of LI everything will become more compact and want to converge towatd the center of the deepening low so the DS would probably get chewed up pretty quickly and fill back in to the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
highways1 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 After seeing the NAM and GFS i feel like we could see 4-8" in my area, I realize it's still marginal but it appears that a consensus is forming. West of 128 will really get smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Also interesting to see the GFS shrink the 24 hour QPF in WPA and CPA. Kind of a common thing as it focuses more on the most intense dynamics which will be over Will and Pete's head. Very happy to see the GFS stop going west. This is a decent bump east from the 12z. Stays course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I was at Bridgton Academy in N Bridgton ME last year for a post grad prep year. Now I am down here for the next four years. Shawnee! Great mountain. I'm thinking of the guy at Stonehill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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