jm1220 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Imo looks like precip will shutoff in the afternoon. I hope it fills in. As the storm develops it will start to pivot around our area. From NYC east it should be going until maybe midnight or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 NAM says snowing KNYC 2pm and coming down good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Read on accuforums snow in westchester 10 miles from Bronx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 NAM is beautiful, no warm punch at 925 this time. Its gonna snow heavy as soon as it switches. Earthlight gets destroyed, we may not hear from him today as all the cables in his town fall down from the plastering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 It seemed to me that the 0Z models did trend a bit south and east. I don't think they pull an April 9, 1996 though. Again, I still favor Feb 5, 2001 as a good analog. Saw you mention this the other day as well and I started wondering how this could be an analog to a storm that occurred in the heart of winter. Is it just the general 500 mb pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 NAM is beautiful, no warm punch at 925 this time. Its gonna snow heavy as soon as it switches. Earthlight gets destroyed, we may not hear from him today as all the cables in his town fall down from the plastering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 nam destroys us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Still a little bit of a dry punch at 12 hours from the mid level jet up to NYC, need to watch that, should go away after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 i only report what it shows, i dont make the maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Hammertime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Anyone else have butterflies in their stomach all night? Am I the only person that gets like that over snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Anyone else have butterflies in their stomach all night? Am I the only person that gets like that over snow? My heart is racing . I get like this with every winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Anyone else have butterflies in their stomach all night? Am I the only person that gets like that over snow? Nope, a true weenie always has those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Anyone else have butterflies in their stomach all night? Am I the only person that gets like that over snow? all the time no matter how much we get, never gets old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Snowing hard at 9:55am. All snow and 34.8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 NYC may only rain at the beginning, the freezing level gets down to 950 really quick and when the heavy stuff gets in, its snow. Can't comment on sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Nam keeps the heaviest and best dynamics NW of NYC and ends it much sooner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gzellf Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Just thought i would say, at 9:50 am, I switched over to all snow in Hope, NJ (10 minutes from the Delaware water gap). Temp outside is 37 and slowly dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Check out the classic CCB development with the NAM composite reflectivity. It lingers until after midnight. http://www.twisterda...e&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 38F here in Ewing (100 ft) with some sloppy wet snowflakes mixing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 dropping pretty good now, 37.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Nam keeps the heaviest and best dynamics NW of NYC and ends it much sooner its still snowing at 3z, like every other model run, its really no different. Impossible to nail banding, could setup anywhere, but there are plenty of dynamics over the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Sparta, NW NJ 10AM Elevation: 900' Temp: 37 DP: 30 Wind: N @ 2 Light snow. Just beginning to stick to a few non-paved surfuces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 NAM only has .25" of precip now after 8pm today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 dropping pretty good now, 37.7 HPN reporting light snow at 41/24...steep lapse rates! Most of Westchester should be all snow in this event judging from radar and upstream observations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 its still snowing at 3z, like every other model run, its really no different. Impossible to nail banding, could setup anywhere, but there are plenty of dynamics over the city. The 12z snowdepth map is horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 This. It's actually very much in line with the mtholly/okx forecast totals. No, the heaviest band is not going to set up right over NYC, but that is still significant snow coming down for an extended time. http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2011&model_mm=10&model_dd=29&model_init_hh=12&fhour=06¶meter=CREF&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false its still snowing at 3z, like every other model run, its really no different. Impossible to nail banding, could setup anywhere, but there are plenty of dynamics over the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Areas like high point NJ and N and E even could see a foot or more...kind of a quick moderate hit for us here and NYC snow wise, but MAJOR because it's October. A solid 1-3 inch snowfall here with crazy banding developing about 50-75 miles to our NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 HPN reporting light snow at 41/24...steep lapse rates! Most of Westchester should be all snow in this event judging from radar and upstream observations. Should be here any minute then! 41/28 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Annnnndddd just like that its snowing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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