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Central PA thread


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Reading Penn State's parking plan for the game. Didn't know they called them patrons.

The most famous Big 10 snow game was Michigan @ Ohio State in November 1950. Michigan won without throwing the ball once. The Ohio State head coach was fired after the game. His replacement: Woody Hayes.

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FWIW all of the models still showing .5-.75 for UNV

~5" or so still looks good for UNV.

Still a mix here in Port Matilda, but was all rain about an hour ago when I took the greyhound out.

35.2

511 traffic cams show snow on ground in Ebensburg, can't tell about Altoona, still too dark.

Link to cams

It' still has few rain drops mixed in, but most is just (light) snow. Now just to cool of a few degrees to get it to stick.

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From 4:58 CTP:

"Near term /until 6 PM this evening/... early season snow event now in its infancy across central PA. Light precipitation has overspread most of my area...falling as light rain and drizzle at the onset and changing over to snow when precipitation rates are slightly heavier and wet bulbing occurs. This should continue to be the case for the next few hours before coastal low undergoes more rapid deepening from 12z to 18z. At this time...areas of moderate to heavy snow will be prevalent over central and eastern portions of central PA...with accumulations starting to pick up and some 1"+ per hour rates coming to fruition. Accums in the 12z to 18z time frame should average 2 to 4 inches across the warning area...however southeast portions of York and Lancaster counties may see more rain than snow and lesser accumulations. Another 2 to 4 inches appear likely between 18z and 00z across the eastern half of central PA. The main wildcard remains snowfall rates...given marginally cold surface conds. 00z guidance hinted at slower deepening of the coastal low and a quantitative precipitation forecast field slightly farther to the east...limiting rates and quantitative precipitation forecast amounts on the northwestern edge of the storm. Have adjusted snowfall amounts slightly downward from State College northwestward...generally shaving 1-1.5 inches off storm totals. For State College...storm total just over 5 inches is indicated now... with amounts picking up in the heaviest band from the south central mountains through the middle susq River Valley where 5 to 8 inches and locally higher amounts are possible. "

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Still a light mist and 38 here. Wasn't it supposed to have changed/cooled down by now?

Whenever the heavier precip gets there that will likely change things.

I was thinking back to the October 15 2009 event, and it was 37 or so and then an area of heavy precip moved in like around 8 am or so, then it started to change over.

For our area, radar is currently looking pretty good. Precip expanding.

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Good morning,

I woke up about 20min ago and am quite happy at what is going on. Upper air dynamics (300mb) are now beginning to intermingle and will be starting to cool the column within the next 2 - 4 hours. Taking a look at 500mb, I do not see anything to get anxious over. The first energy center over Wisconsin is diving south and will be combining with the second short wave over Kentucky. Already a large area of snow is occurring from US 220 in PA/MD west. Again, do not freak out over every single update of the radar/satellite you will only make yourself sick to your stomach. Rather use this as an educational experience. On that note, SPC has issued a mesoscale discussion just to our south which reinforces my confidence that everything is going well. Check it out: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2276.html

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Good morning,

I woke up about 20min ago and am quite happy at what is going on. Upper air dynamics (300mb) are now beginning to intermingle and will be starting to cool the column within the next 2 - 4 hours. Taking a look at 500mb, I do not see anything to get anxious over. The first energy center over Wisconsin is diving south and will be combining with the second short wave over Kentucky. Already a large area of snow is occurring from US 220 in PA/MD west. Again, do not freak out over every single update of the radar/satellite you will only make yourself sick to your stomach. Rather use this as an educational experience. On that note, SPC has issued a mesoscale discussion just to our south which reinforces my confidence that everything is going well. Check it out: http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md2276.html

The voice of calm. You're like George with Lenny in Of Mice and Men. Tell us about the rabbits, Eskimo Joe. We want to hear about the rabbits.

Anyway, enough somewhat obscure literary fun, snowing here at a decent clip, cars getting accumulation, and temp has fallen a degree and a half in like 45 minutes to 33.6,

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Thanks for the kind words Jamie. Comparing the Sterling radar against local observations I note that Carroll County Airport, just south of York, has changed over to snow. The radar is beginning to snow working down to the surface along a line north of US-70/40. Give it a few more hours in PA folks. Wet bulb temperatures in western PA are almost completely AOB 32.

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