ChrisM Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Back in torrington. Nws has 10-18 here is this a dream? They're also talkinf about some rain so if we stay all snow I bet we can approach 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 LOL. I'm pretty sure the general public won't be able to escape the hype. Fox 25 will probably pre-empt the World Series tonight. They are all probably breathlessly working on their graphics, titles and theme music now. Fall Blitz! October Surprise! Pumpkin Punisher! Foliage F&cker! <------------------ Autumn Awesomeness! That would be awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Killington Thanks, has Pete chimed in on anything closer? SR opens Saturday, by Sunday it should be decent just don't know how aggressive they're going to get on trail openings. Man the SREFs are juicy... I'll eat my hat if the .5-.75" QPF zone gets all the way to BTV. Some of these members are really, really amped up and others are really, really flat. Look at the difference some of these have for ALB and BTV's county warning areas. Still a decent flux in the models in terms of that more sheared type system we saw in earlier OP runs which went away. Tonights it, 0z...really is one of the bigger runs of your lives. Most of us will probably never see a major snow on the table for October in our lifetimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Man the SREFs are juicy... I'll eat my hat if the .5-.75" QPF zone gets all the way to BTV. Some of these members are really, really amped up and others are really, really flat. Look at the difference some of these have for ALB and BTV's county warning areas. Everything is....I think the euro gives me the least qpf and it still gives me like 1.25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 12z's my favorite run of the NAM... N @ 40kts with .85" liq equiv up through hour 42, and temps right at 32F at Logan. unconscienable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Mt. Snow is planning on very limited rail jam terrain. I don't think anyone else is going for it this weekend. I'm contemplating driving up there Saturday (Sunday River) and crashing at the condo. May be as close as I come to snow. Soon as I go there the storm will Cantore me and turn SE crushing Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Follooowwww himm.....whheeeeeeee ryanhanrahan Ryan Hanrahan From NWS in Albany: THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL LIKELY PRODUCE MAJOR TO CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I normally don't copy and paste these but here's a good one from NWS in Albany. POWERFUL WINTER LIKE STORM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY AND AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS IT MOVES QUICKLY NORTHEAST. MODELS ARE GENERALLY IN AGREEMENT THAT THIS WILL BE A HISTORIC OCTOBER SNOWSTORM FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL LIKELY PRODUCE MAJOR TO CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES IN THE AREAS WHERE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED AND EXTENSIVE FOLLIAGE REMAINS ON THE TREES. FOR MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS WINTER STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED EVEN THOUGH THE 7 INCH SNOW CRITERIA MAY NOT BE MET...BECAUSE OF THE HIGH POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES. IN MANY WAYS THIS EVENT WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE OCTOBER 4 1987 STORM...BUT BECAUSE THIS STORM IS OCCURRING MORE THAN THREE WEEKS LATER...TREES ACROSS MANY HIGH TERRAIN AND NORTHERN AREAS HAVE ALREADY LOST THEIR LEAVES...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES MAY ACTUALLY BE LESS IN HIGH TERRAIN AREAS THAN IN VALLEY AND SOUTHERN LOCATIONS WHERE MOST OF THE FOLIAGE REMAINS ON THE TREES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 12z's my favorite run of the NAM... N @ 40kts with .85" liq equiv up through hour 42, and temps right at 32F at Logan. unconscienable That's the one I'm praying for, unfortunately the 18z NAM moved a tick west and pushed the cold boundary out to about 128 instead of MBY. Still have the euro giving the 128 corridor mostly snow but the more amped up solutions seem to be the likely bet at this point. Either way, I think the back end comma head could deliver a quick 2-5" for the boston area if the track ends up too far west for mostly snow. We basically can't have any east component at all to the wind because it's literally like a 10 degree jump if we're on the wrong side of the coastal front. Wondering if any of the mets agree/disagree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 That's the one I'm praying for, unfortunately the 18z NAM moved a tick west and pushed the cold boundary out to about 128 instead of MBY. Still have the euro giving the 128 corridor mostly snow but the more amped up solutions seem to be the likely bet at this point. Either way, I think the back end comma head could deliver a quick 2-5" for the boston area if the track ends up too far west for mostly snow. We basically can't have any east component at all to the wind because it's literally like a 10 degree jump if we're on the wrong side of the coastal front. Wondering if any of the mets agree/disagree? The 00z could also tick SE again... Wavers of 25 or even 50 miles are not that unheard of even at 36 hours out - Does anyone have a product that has DPs for central NE and NYS ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 That's the one I'm praying for, unfortunately the 18z NAM moved a tick west and pushed the cold boundary out to about 128 instead of MBY. Still have the euro giving the 128 corridor mostly snow but the more amped up solutions seem to be the likely bet at this point. Either way, I think the back end comma head could deliver a quick 2-5" for the boston area if the track ends up too far west for mostly snow. We basically can't have any east component at all to the wind because it's literally like a 10 degree jump if we're on the wrong side of the coastal front. Wondering if any of the mets agree/disagree? Any easterly component and the lowlands are doomed. The Euro may be on crack but I'm not sold the low is going a far NW as everyone else yet. Think the 0z tonight will deliver the near final verdict, IMO. Back end comma WIll mentioned is the big savior for the CP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 18z GFS is insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 can you tell us more ryan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 18z GFS is Gods Country slammer... bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 18z gfs looks a little stronger and colder.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Thanks, has Pete chimed in on anything closer? SR opens Saturday, by Sunday it should be decent just don't know how aggressive they're going to get on trail openings. Still a decent flux in the models in terms of that more sheared type system we saw in earlier OP runs which went away. Tonights it, 0z...really is one of the bigger runs of your lives. Most of us will probably never see a major snow on the table for October in our lifetimes. SR will only have rail jams open until Sunday at the earliest then probably only 1 run. Snowmaking just started and they build bases before they allow sking. I love SR for that reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 GFS edged colder..Jackpot is CT up into GC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 18z gfs looks a little stronger and colder.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Told the wife looks like we will be in the deformation band, She answers Taliban?..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 GFS edged colder..Jackpot is CT up into GC Edged warmer, actually. Absolutely crushes the I-84 corrdior in CT up to ORH points northwest. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 SR will only have rail jams open until Sunday at the earliest then probably only 1 run. Snowmaking just started and they build bases before they allow sking. I love SR for that reason. Looks like just T2 which is a leg breaker. Hoping if they get buried they can open U Sunday Punch. May have to take the hoof to Killington? Rime is open at 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Edged warmer, actually. Absolutely crushes the I-84 corrdior in CT up to ORH points northwest. Wow. I thought it looked like it nuged a tick colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Edged warmer, actually. Absolutely crushes the I-84 corrdior in CT up to ORH points northwest. Wow. looks about the same as 12z, but need to see better graphics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 1.5''+ QPF for pretty much all of SNE...insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I thought it looked like it nuged a tick colder Looks a bit warmer in SE CT (0c 850 approaches IJD) and warmer across RI, SE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I guess you have to expect the models to tick warmer as we move closer to the event especially since it is only October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Looks a bit warmer in SE CT (0c 850 approaches IJD) and warmer across RI, SE Mass It's all done if the trend continues in SE areas until the wrap around. I did notice the GFS gave a hint again at 18z of the low stretching east. Probably how the Euro is maintaining the cold. Thinking we see a jog that way tonight at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 1.5''+ QPF for pretty much all of SNE...insane. Great hit for Rindge; the last few runs have been steady with just shy of 1.5" QPF. Can't believe we could be talking about a blizzard after the 3.5" snowfall yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 18z GFS is insane Western CT/MA rock, rock, rock! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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