ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Just wake up? And yes I bet they can. No, was really busy earlier with some non-weather stuff. But I did get a peek at the 12z runs earlier. The banding signature looks amazing...someone will get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Same here, Both my oaks are loaded I wish I could say "both" my Oaks. I have 15 or so around the lawn..and the woods behind me there are 100's.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Yup the Oaks are still fairly loaded with leaves..and considering they comprise about 80% of the trees in my hood..we might be in trouble..Other types are completely leafless I had oak branches just about touching the ground this morning with 3.5" of snow. Can't imagine what 10" would do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 No, was really busy earlier with some non-weather stuff. But I did get a peek at the 12z runs earlier. The banding signature looks amazing...someone will get crushed. Yes, I really like my area up toward you. I think the hills northwest of here will get demolished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 MET snow cats are 8 for just about everyone in the interior of SNE up to LCI including ORH and BDL. BOS even gets a 6. Looks like Gary Gray just signed up here. There's a blast to the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 yes Interesting scenario in that we should be clear enough to proficiently radiate through 1 or 2 am, prior to high thin veil.. Denser cap cloud arrives near dawn and it may very well be around 29-33F across a good chunck of the region right up to I-95... Low solar doesn't lend to moderating an onsetting N drift to the air mass... The MOS guidance AND the FRH never get the wind veered more than 03 at Logan, then backs it N.... This is not sufficient to transport ocean contamination much west of Arlington Heights/Winchester -Beverly... Waltham to KRAY is my bet for the coastal boundary as it is setting up, but then it immediately begins collapsing SE as the storm bombs and the super geostrophic vector is nearly cross-isobaric. In other words, I don't think I agree given modeling with their thoughts for I95. My own call - taken fwiw - is that the snow is less wet as is being emphasized for the 2nd half of the event in the interior, where most 2-meter analysis combined with the critical thickness levels are so darn cold, and that it is snowing sooner where they have rain. We'll see... Either way I like that they heavily emphasized the impact and damage potential because that's paramount for this system's threat type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I'd like to see some numbers from the mets if they would be so inclined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 nam comes even closer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 that mean is sw of ACK at 994? wow....and deepening. we are getting nailed. 8-14 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I'm pretty sure someone can and will. The western areas are looking really good, but it could just as easily be you or Hubb. Among others. STFU. No generator here... Even yesterday produced some damage to branches. Big chunk of a mature dogwood broke off I just found out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I wish I could say "both" my Oaks. I have 15 or so around the lawn..and the woods behind me there are 100's.lol I'm in an 'oak-free zone'. Obviously, Phil's going to be flown off to Oz in this, but any sense as to how the winds will play out this far from the center? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 MET snow cats are 8 for just about everyone in the interior of SNE up to LCI including ORH and BDL. BOS even gets a 6. Looks like Gary Gray just signed up here. There's a blast to the past. didn't think you were old enough to remember him. His Jan 96 discussions were epic both in detail and in revealing his personality. Gary, are you there?! come to the NE thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I wish I could say "both" my Oaks. I have 15 or so around the lawn..and the woods behind me there are 100's.lol I worry more about my 59 arborvitaes, I am right in the city........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 nam comes even closer! Obscene! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 STFU. No generator here... Even yesterday produced some damage to branches. Big chunk of a mature dogwood broke off I just found out There's a store near you.... www.homedepot.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I wonder if someone can pick up 15-18" out of this in a mesoscale band The answer will be yes. And it could be me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 nam sim radar is insane!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Obscene! Shanksville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Great great disco from HAyden today. Thankfully he was on shift. Only thing I don';t know about is the bolded if we go powder CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT HEAVY WET SNOW WILL AFFECT INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THEREFORE...THE WINTER STORM WATCH WILL BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING FOR A GENERAL 6 TO 12 INCHES OF WET SNOW. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE MOST LIKELY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH MANY LEAVES STILL ON THE TREES AND THE WET NATURE OF THE SNOW...TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED. THIS IS A SERIOUS SITUATION AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE AN AREA OF WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES...ESPECIALLY WITH THE GUSTY WINDS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EVEN IN THE INTERIOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 wow does that remind me of december 2005 i think it was!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Warmer on the 18z NAM. Kind of a clear trend I think aside of the Euro. More climatological realistic areas are in the strike zone, S&E of I95 will be pissing into the wind I think in terms of rain. I don't tihnk I'm buying the Euro at this stage but it's really hard to doubt the king. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 There's a store near you.... www.homedepot.com Lol. Seriously considering it. Of course then I need an electrician to make sure I don't burn the place down. 50% oaks here. Loaded with leaves You are welcome to have any you want for cordwood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 didn't think you were old enough to remember him. His Jan 96 discussions were epic both in detail and in revealing his personality. Gary, are you there?! come to the NE thread. I was at LSC in '96. Definitely old enough. NAM is going to hit you and I hard. +SN with -8 to -9C 850s. lol. We could be talking awesome snow growth in that deformation band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 The answer will be yes. And it could be me! You working this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 The thing I hate about those maps is that they don't allow for 1-2 day totals like the qpf ones. Very limitiing. The ones postied are 00z sunday, so anything before then is excluded. Yeah I noticed that too, but if you extrapolate where that nice blue color is representing >50% chance of 8" or more it looks to be surrounding you by a healthy margin in either direction. And me too, I'm really liking how things have been going. Almost thinking it's close enough to go get gas for the snowblower that I won't ginx it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 There's alot of folks that are going to get destroyed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I mean wow, if you step back and look at this. A day or so ago sunday river was going to miss entirely. Now the NAM crushes them. Ski areas get feet of snow. Can't have it that they get thta much and anyone near the coast gets much snow in October... Until we meet again this evening for the 0z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Warmer on the 18z NAM. Kind of a clear trend I think aside of the Euro. More climatological realistic areas are in the strike zone, S&E of I95 will be pissing into the wind I think in terms of rain. I don't tihnk I'm buying the Euro at this stage but it's really hard to doubt the king. Well--there was the question as to whether it was reacting to convective feed back which kept it from tucking (much like the 00z NAM did last night). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Great great disco from HAyden today. Thankfully he was on shift. Only thing I don';t know about is the bolded if we go powder CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT HEAVY WET SNOW WILL AFFECT INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THEREFORE...THE WINTER STORM WATCH WILL BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING FOR A GENERAL 6 TO 12 INCHES OF WET SNOW. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE MOST LIKELY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH MANY LEAVES STILL ON THE TREES AND THE WET NATURE OF THE SNOW...TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED. THIS IS A SERIOUS SITUATION AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE AN AREA OF WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES...ESPECIALLY WITH THE GUSTY WINDS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EVEN IN THE INTERIOR. Even if the snow turns powdery at in the 2nd half of the storm, it won't matter much because it will just stick to the wet snow already stuck on the trees. That's actually what Dec 1992 did here..the 2nd half of that storm was powder, but it had a sticky base to accumulate onto. Plus its only going to take about 3-6" of paste to get huge power outages...so that will likely be achieved before the snow turns drier if it ever does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 On the phone...qhat are the qpf totals on the nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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