N. OF PIKE Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day2_psnow_gt_08.gif 8 inch probs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 KEvin--what are you going to do about all your leaves???? The one's currently on the ground - He rakes them everyday, even in the dark, and disposes them in a secure location. The complicated part will be dealing with the fallen leaves and limbs on Sunday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 KEvin--what are you going to do about all your leaves???? Well they are buried in snow today..so can't clear them..and tomorrow is too busy with soccer, 10 mile early am run and storm tracking...then neighborhood Halloweenie party starting at 3:00..so they'll sit there....however...it doesn't bother me..because I can't see them... Plus I figure I'll be out of power for some time..so it'll give me something to do next week when the snow melts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 He'll be spreDing lime on his snow to neutralize the acidity of decaying leaves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 ill take NW CT norfolk over to MRG for a SNE jackpot ....i'm thinking 20-30 inches at 1200' plus poconos and S catskills may get 3 feet at 2k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 28, 2011 Author Share Posted October 28, 2011 GFS ensembles go over ACK. How do they compare to the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Well they are buried in snow today..so can't clear them..and tomorrow is too busy with soccer, 10 mile early am run and storm tracking...then neighborhood Halloweenie party starting at 3:00..so they'll sit there....however...it doesn't bother me..because I can't see them... Plus I figure I'll be out of power for some time..so it'll give me something to do next week when the snow melts Holy crap..you really got 1.1"? Pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Oh man...do not want power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 ill take NW CT norfolk over to MRG for a SNE jackpot ....i'm thinking 20-30 inches at 1200' plus poconos and S catskills may get 3 feet at 2k We should find a campsite in Norfolk and just out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Hard to believe all the dynamics are in place for this to happen on OCT 29th. One for the history books here or what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 My non-professional thought is that this will tick slightly back east...I think as we have seen in the past the models come in too amplified only to tick back east a little... Could be wrong...but just a thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Hard to believe all the dynamics are in place for this to happen on OCT 29th. One for the history books here or what? That's the rub. Talk about a historic event. One has to wonder what the odds are that we don't see changes today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Holy crap..you really got 1.1"? Pics? Here http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/28304-second-winter-storm-threat-oct-2930/page__view__findpost__p__1070064 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 CAn someone post a visible satellite shot this morning..I think the snowcover would look very interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 How do they compare to the Euro? The GFS ensembles tuck in a little closer to the coast. You would think the other way around given the resolution. Also, the GFS ensembles might not be able to resolve the dynamic cooling like the euro ensembles so hence they are warmer. It's a tough call. What the euro and it's ensembles do, is really intensify it and wrap it in off of NJ, but then move it ene. The GFS sort of keeps going ne closer to ACK. The GFS dynamics flip to snow close to BOS believe it or not for a good part of the storm, before finally turning over after 03z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsean Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 We should find a campsite in Norfolk and just out. I still have the camper out in front of my house.... not winterized yet..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 The elbow track after all? Expect that's too amped. That said, Albany was holding with the GFS after 00z run. You should be more powdery at your lofty 1000' but I am testing the generator and filling the tanks today. We're still at least 75% leaf on the trees down here. Might get ugly for the power infrastructure. ot: I took a drive this morning and the snow/no line from last night is amazing on Rt 2. In places there is literally white ground on one side of the road and nothing on the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 This is a forecast nightmare for the cities. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 gfs has mostly rain in pvd...but it's the most tucked in and warmest of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 28, 2011 Author Share Posted October 28, 2011 The GFS ensembles tuck in a little closer to the coast. You would think the other way around given the resolution. Also, the GFS ensembles might not be able to resolve the dynamic cooling like the euro ensembles so hence they are warmer. It's a tough call. What the euro and it's ensembles do, is really intensify it and wrap it in off of NJ, but then move it ene. The GFS sort of keeps going ne closer to ACK. The GFS dynamics flip to snow close to BOS believe it or not for a good part of the storm, before finally turning over after 03z. Thanks I'm honestly going to side with the Meso/Euro models on this one. I may very well be wrong but as has been discussed, I think the dynamic nature of this thing will lend itself better to those models rather than the coarser GFS. jmho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Woke up got out bed. Nah, still a dream. Love to read these topics. Bob you gut ju-ju magic man. Nothing to be dissapointed about. regardless of what shakes out. It's only October and will keep that in mind moving forward. The Octobomb of 11 Chuckin 8"+ everywhere outside of 495 and this is "conservative" NUTS !!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Here http://www.americanw...ost__p__1070064 Wow, I'm impressed. Makes me wish I was at 1000' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 This is a forecast nightmare for the cities. Wow. Makes you tags earn your money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 This is a forecast nightmare for the cities. Wow. NAM has nearly all snow in Boston...GFS nearly all rain. GFS keeps NE winds until 06z...the NAM makes them 020 to 360 around 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 You should be more powdery at your lofty 1000' but I am testing the generator and filling the tanks today. We're still at least 75% leaf on the trees down here. Might get ugly for the power infrastructure. ot: I took a drive this morning and the snow/no line from last night is amazing on Rt 2. In places there is literally white ground on one side of the road and nothing on the other. I work in Maynard which is 30mi E of my home, no snow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 The GFS ensembles tuck in a little closer to the coast. You would think the other way around given the resolution. Also, the GFS ensembles might not be able to resolve the dynamic cooling like the euro ensembles so hence they are warmer. It's a tough call. What the euro and it's ensembles do, is really intensify it and wrap it in off of NJ, but then move it ene. The GFS sort of keeps going ne closer to ACK. The GFS dynamics flip to snow close to BOS believe it or not for a good part of the storm, before finally turning over after 03z. That's an epic red flag to me. IE, the GEFS being closer to the coast. We see this periodically in the off hour runs too with jogs west. I think it's impossible to say what this means yet as none of us that are here have seen this situation transpire before...so early in the year. Are the GEFS somehow picking up on dynamics that will cause the storm to form closer to the coast? IE, warm water and cold air clashing on the CP when it's normally out a few hundred miles? I don't know, but either the GEFS/GFS will cave east, or the regionals are going to rock west. Rina is unwound now and that should help too, especially tonight as the m/l rocket NE. The NAM wanted to hold onto the m/l center near the Yucatan, the GFS shot it NE. GFS is probably right. Is that part of the later differences? We'll know soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 NAM has nearly all snow in Boston...GFS nearly all rain. GFS keeps NE winds until 06z...the NAM makes them 020 to 360 around 00z. But even NYC. We're talking maybe 40kt winds, heavy rain possibly going over to paste. All these guys in aviation are worried about stupid Rina and we're telling them that it's the least of their problems. Nobody has a clue. I'm not on terminal duty, but it's a nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 This is a forecast nightmare for the cities. Wow. Yeah to say the least. I'm pretty stoked that I am decently far W of the city in this situation. But it's going to be a total disaster as this thing develops. To see the Euro/ens and NAM on the cooler side is here is comforting. GFS is an electric bath. Looking forward to a few hrs of CCB ownage as the dynamics get going. Should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 in other news....the GFS has the great Appalachian nov 1950 storm at 168-180 hours lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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