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October 29/30 Snowstorm Disco - II


Baroclinic Zone

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nice 12 hr/16 mb pressure drop there.

Yeah it bombs like 6 hours later than GFS. My gut tells me it bombs closer to the GFS time table given the baroclinic powder keg we're sitting on. I guess the Euro is just waiting a bit longer wih the s/w to close off upstairs to get the ball rolling.

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Yeah I agree. 18z NAM/GFS trends will be interesting but given the Euro I say they've probably stopped moving west.

it kind of shows it - almost looks like it was going to do that...but then kicks out ENE.

Yeah that's why I was like ...what the??? But don't forget we have that s/w on its heels too. I don't know..but it's a great track for SNE.

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So we are inside 36 hours....which model tends to do better? I think we could equally weight the Nam GFS and Euro now? Blend em and go with it? I must say I don't like words and phrases like "a little weaker" "outside the benchmark". I like words such as "historic" "trop fold" and "amazing" "unprecedented"

October

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