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October 29/30 Snowstorm Disco - II


Baroclinic Zone

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Just looking at the mid levels on the GFS....a crushing for the Pete and MPM.

Yeah no kidding. The exceptionally tight thermal gradient means someone gets absolutely smoked.

I feel pretty good about my backyard now. My biggest question mark is Ginx's area down through HVN. I wouldn't be surprised with a sloppy inch or 10" in those areas.

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do you have a snow map yet?

Yeah no kidding. The exceptionally tight thermal gradient means someone gets absolutely smoked.

I feel pretty good about my backyard now. My biggest question mark is Ginx's area down through HVN. I wouldn't be surprised with a sloppy inch or 10" in those areas.

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If the GFS nudging west continues for another run or two this will end up being a historic storm but in areas that have seen significant early season snows at times. The GFS is scaring me, be interesting to see if the Euro rolls west.

The RGEM went WAY west compared to the 0z and is roasty too.

I think everything hinges on the Euro. If it holds, I'd consider--but mute--the western shifts here. If it nudges, well then I think serious weight needs to be lent to the GFS/NAM

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I'm thinking the final outcome is like the euro the other day..just se of ACK. Maybe the 12z goes east or holds firm, but that's my gut. In which case, a crushing for the interior in general. However, there will be little nuances perhaps like screw zones and jackpot areas.

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Yeah no kidding. The exceptionally tight thermal gradient means someone gets absolutely smoked.

I feel pretty good about my backyard now. My biggest question mark is Ginx's area down through HVN. I wouldn't be surprised with a sloppy inch or 10" in those areas.

you think I84 is pretty much the gradient? S and E of it sees less and N and W of it sees ALOT?

i recently moved to CT so still learning the microclimates and all, etc....

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Yeah no kidding. The exceptionally tight thermal gradient means someone gets absolutely smoked.

I feel pretty good about my backyard now. My biggest question mark is Ginx's area down through HVN. I wouldn't be surprised with a sloppy inch or 10" in those areas.

My climo agrees, all or nothing, although right now I'd lean like Phils said somewhere in between NAM and GFS. going to pull a Jerry and say antecedant day says , heavy heavy incoming. These wobbles west and East are always the final determing outcome. As I mentioned last night with such a tight thermal ribbon it will come down to a nowcast situation. Either way anyone West of ECT and 30 mile N of RT95 as it cuts thru CT should get crushed.

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My climo agrees, all or nothing, although right now I'd lean like Phils said somewhere in between NAM and GFS. going to pull a Jerry and say antecedant day says , heavy heavy incoming. These wobbles west and East are always the final determing outcome. As I mentioned last night with such a tight thermal ribbon it will come down to a nowcast situation. Either way anyone West of ECT and 30 mile N of RT95 as it cuts thru CT should get crushed.

Yup... makes sense to me. I struggled with you guys and down into HVN. I think I have you straddling 6-12 and 3-6 but I expect it will go one way or the other.

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