ravensrule Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 i predict a range of emotions from euphoria to anger nw to se Smartest prediction i have seen all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I am just west of the town of Leesburg at 562 feet elevation. Snowfall amounts are usually higher here. Temp seems moderate considering forecast. There might be a big difference between just west of leesburg where elevations go up to like 600 feet and the town and parts east near the river. I am counting on my 1000 ft elevation to help me a lot with this. Still skeptical even up here but I think the ground will at least get white and I am totally happy with that for October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 i predict a range of emotions from euphoria to anger nw to se If you live in Hagerstown or Harpers Ferry, etc and it is a bust, there is justification for some mild anger......but if you live in the eastern/southern parts of the warning areas, how can you get angry?..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Smartest prediction i have seen all day. this is me you're talking about... of course. zwyts--check ur e-mail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 If you live in Hagerstown or Harpers Ferry, etc and it is a bust, there is justification for some mild anger......but if you live in the eastern/southern parts of the warning areas, how can you get angry?..... rationally it might be hard but it'll still happen. im never terribly happy when we get nothing and manchester gets 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 this is me you're talking about... of course. zwyts--check ur e-mail You know what they say, even a broken clock is right twice a day . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 with lollipops of disappointed disillusion? see ya tomorrow morning. i like cream in my coffee so plz get some if you dont have any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 yes...looks like the drying happens pretty rapidly late morning to early afternoon.....How much do you think the lower levels from say 925mb down to the surface will matter for someone like Ji or say Germantown?.....it looks like above that is pretty solid by early morning or even before Not so much, for us it probably matters quite a bit. Not sure about around Baltimore, Since, I'm not actually doing a forecast, I didn't bother to look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 rationally it might be hard but it'll still happen. im never terribly happy when we get nothing and manchester gets 6". the people who are fringed should just hop in their car and drive NW 5 miles or up a couple hundred feet.....If you live in say Gaithersburg, this is a pretty dumb event to get IMBY about......plus you get to keep your power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 We have a family member who lives in Alaska.arriving this evening for a weekend visit I'm hoping to make her feel at home tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 The snow threat I realize for south of Baltimore is slim but the fact that I'm even tracking something on October 28th is just crazy. I see a few flakes tomorrow that's good enough for me. Snow in October? I hope it's a sign of things to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 the people who are fringed should just hop in their car and drive NW 5 miles or up a couple hundred feet.....If you live in say Gaithersburg, this is a pretty dumb event to get IMBY about......plus you get to keep your power The Bull Run Mountain community in Haymarket (Prince William County) looks to cash in. Many homes up there are over 1,000 feet in elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 fat free land'o'lakes will be available. bring a sweater and a flashlight for when the power goes out. I feel pretty safe about it being merely conversational in the end because LWX went all in out here. 1.1" gives us the October record at MRB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Currently snowing at Wintergreen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Should go to Oakland. 10 inches or more there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Currently snowing at Wintergreen and at Dolly Sods and Big Meadow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Should be fun tomorrow in State College.....if I can get there, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Currently snowing at Wintergreen they had a nice temp drop i just checked it not long ago and they were 30.0 now 26.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 i predict a range of emotions from euphoria to anger nw to se Too early in the season for anger. Now jealousy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Just checked the verification of the 12z NAM, precipitation on radar is about 50 miles north of where the NAM had it. The low placement is pretty close though. 00z NAM was way off... EDIT: 00z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 this should be a good picture storm with all the leaves in various colors on the trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Just checked the verification of the 12z NAM, precipitation on radar is about 50 miles north of where the NAM had it. The low placement is pretty close though. 00z NAM was way off... storms are almost always faster in and out than modeled it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 storms are almost always faster in and out than modeled it seems It's weird though that the low placement is right and only the precip is shifted north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 18z RGEM at 24 hrs (18z tomorrow afternoon) -- http://www.weatherof...st/3293_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 18z RGEM at 24 hrs (18z tomorrow afternoon) -- http://www.weatherof...st/3293_100.gif Solid rainstorm for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 this might be the biggest one of the winter for NW of cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Looking at the NAM snowfall maps, 18z has a little more coverage of 6+ in down I 95. Take it FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Solid rainstorm for most. Yes, looks like the 12z GFS, maybe slightly better at the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 HPC probability charts seem a bit extreme. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf_24hr/wwd_24hr_probs_sn.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Yes, looks like the 12z GFS, maybe slightly better at the end not sure how you can tell without any temperature profiles and only a few thickness lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.