Ji Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 we hit 83 18 days ago...i think we can work with that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:15 AM, BaltimoreWxGuy said: The NAM never left this crowd no? To an extent, no, but the new map gets the heavier snow to and slightly east of DC, for example. They are now much less "on the edge". But its just a map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 gotta love weather channel, notice at top for se baltimore county is Winter Weather Advisory 5-8 inches in next 36 hours. Then this for DUndalk, MD tomorrow: Windy with rain... mixing with and changing to snow in the afternoon. Snow possibly heavy at times. Cold. Morning high of 44F with temps falling to near freezing. Winds N at 20 to 30 mph. 4 to 6 inches of snow expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:15 AM, Ian said: yeah that came up a few days ago.. seemed like a stretch. would be kinda cool. when do we ever break those kind of records anymore? According to ThreadEx, we hit 39 in Oct '02, but I have 10/30/02 as 41/39 and that's what the daily record page indicates. Sept '84 and Jan '94 are the only two that are even in the recent past, with many of the min maxs in the 1800s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:18 AM, Ji said: we hit 83 18 days ago...i think we can work with that.... that doesnt sound nearly as good as the initial post but sure why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Off topic, but congrats to the Cardinals, they just won. What a Series! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:21 AM, MN Transplant said: According to ThreadEx, we hit 39 in Oct '02, but I have 10/30/02 as 41/39 and that's what the daily record page indicates. Sept '84 and Jan '94 are the only two that are even in the recent past, with many of the min maxs in the 1800s. I have the same as you. Threadex might be an error.. Low by accident? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Is the RGEM taking forever tonight? Usually its at least partially done by the time the GFS starts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:25 AM, Always in Zugzwang said: Off topic, but congrats to the Cardinals, they just won. What a Series! Poor Yoda A couple others for posterity LWX WRF-ARW 21z LWX WRF-NMM 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 This storm might destroy march 2001 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 GFS digging stronger than 18z... more energy rounding out through hour 9.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 850's look warmer through 15.. low is a bit further NE than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 And 00z GFS holds to its torch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 GFS holds. No snow for the metro. edit - actually warmer for longer. DCA flirts with freezing at 900mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I'm sorry, but the GFS looks off here, I was talking to a friend who believes there could be some convective feedback with that entity down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Gfs is colder west of dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:43 AM, ddweatherman said: I'm sorry, but the GFS looks off here, I was talking to a friend who believes there could be some convective feedback with that entity down south. Is your friend a 14 year old weenie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:42 AM, MN Transplant said: GFS holds. No snow for the metro. edit - actually warmer for longer. DCA flirts with freezing at 900mb. Looks like the 850 0C line crosses the DC area around 20z... could be some snow after I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The vort track is pretty ugly for mby. The NAM is such a tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:13 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: If anyone believes in the clown maps, the new NAM map brought the DC and Balt crowd back in big time. Can you post a link to the clown maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:46 AM, yoda said: Looks like the 850 0C line crosses the DC area around 20z... could be some snow after I guess Yeah, more snow at the back compared to 18z... not much at all though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:45 AM, Ian said: Is your friend a 14 year old weenie? lol Easternuswx haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:46 AM, Ian said: The vort track is pretty ugly for mby. The NAM is such a tease. tho it's still kinda weird.. passes then digs with another closer. i guess that supports a superband to close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 29, 2011 Author Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:45 AM, Ian said: Is your friend a 14 year old weenie? It's never a real storm until we get the convective feedback mention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:46 AM, Ian said: The vort track is pretty ugly for mby. The NAM is such a tease. Really weird to see such polar opposites... GFS probably a dusting... NAM at least 2" of snow around DCA. As Zwyts said, HUGE bust potential. Though it is snowing in CHO right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:46 AM, Ian said: The vort track is pretty ugly for mby. The NAM is such a tease. Pretty much time to pick one I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:49 AM, yoda said: Really weird to see such polar opposites... GFS probably a dusting... NAM at least 2" of snow around DCA. As Zwyts said, HUGE bust potential. Though it is snowing in CHO right now... Yeah... I don't like throwing out the world nowcast but this is definitely a situation for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:49 AM, yoda said: Really weird to see such polar opposites... GFS probably a dusting... NAM at least 2" of snow around DCA. As Zwyts said, HUGE bust potential. Though it is snowing in CHO right now... nothing really changes i guess. we need some hefty luck around here but weird things happen a lot these days. the gfs just makes so much more sense than the nam looking at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:49 AM, PhineasC said: Pretty much time to pick one I think. i think most are dismissing the nam... but this is super low confidence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 On 10/29/2011 at 3:49 AM, yoda said: Really weird to see such polar opposites... GFS probably a dusting... NAM at least 2" of snow around DCA. As Zwyts said, HUGE bust potential. Though it is snowing in CHO right now... that makes no sense looking at any model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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