HKY_WX Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 http://www.examiner....ecast-2011-2012 Hopefully it's interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Looks good, Hopefully it'll pan out. Looks like a good old fashion cold winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 http://www.examiner....ecast-2011-2012 Hopefully it's interesting. Nice well thought out job. Very interesting. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevin67 Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 I think it's a very solid writeup! Agree with a likely cold and dry winter ahead. Time to buy a new coat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 1, 2011 Share Posted November 1, 2011 Pretty good stuff. I've recently been bringing up the same 2 analogs in the 60's and reading your forecast gives me a bit of confidence that I may actually know something. lol. Being a weenie is great though because you don't have to worry about busting. I was analyzing the tabular monthly ao/nao indexes today and the nao hasn't averaged negative during djf for 3 straight winters since the 60's. It is more common for the ao though. It averaged negative quite a bit in the 60's but the most recent 3 year span was djf was 84-85 to 86-87. That was a pretty decent period for the ec iirc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted November 3, 2011 Share Posted November 3, 2011 I always like seeing what other people have to say so thanks for taking the time. I will say though that I find your jet placement highly unlikely. No way the west(and esecially the pnw) is warmer and drier than average for dec, jan, feb. If you look at a composite map especially for -pdo and la nina it screams cold and wet. I doubt all three of those months have been warmer and drier than average in any la nina, but, prove me wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted November 3, 2011 Share Posted November 3, 2011 I have this nagging feeling that this winter is going to be just like last winter in terms of the number of predictions that wind up being wrong. Everyone thought last winter was going to be a dud and it was a bombshell. I feel the opposite is going to happen this winter. I hope I'm wrong! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 3, 2011 Share Posted November 3, 2011 I have this nagging feeling that this winter is going to be just like last winter in terms of the number of predictions that wind up being wrong. Everyone thought last winter was going to be a dud and it was a bombshell. I feel the opposite is going to happen this winter. I hope I'm wrong! Well Art, that depended upon where you lived last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 3, 2011 Share Posted November 3, 2011 Well Art, that depended upon where you lived last winter. Not at all mitch. Because the cooridor from Philly to Boston cashed in, we all did well, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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