ravensrule Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 come on let's focus on the potential dusting nw of the city overnight That's me baby, if you want to road trip to me i will set up a bed and you can roast marshmallows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 come on let's focus on the potential dusting nw of the city overnight The 18Z nam doesn't like it, not much precip and all rain. The gfs likes it and give BWI 0.056" all in the form of snow and gives dc 0.045 as snow. Oddly enough it likes Ji and the western guys the least. It will be interesting to see which model will win out. I don't trust snow with cold fronts but you pretty much have to mention a chance of rain changing to snow in a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 come on let's focus on the potential dusting nw of the city overnight What is this snow you speak of? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 The 18Z nam doesn't like it, not much precip and all rain. The gfs likes it and give BWI 0.056" all in the form of snow and gives dc 0.045 as snow. Oddly enough it likes Ji and the western guys the least. It will be interesting to see which model will win out. I don't trust snow with cold fronts but you pretty much have to mention a chance of rain changing to snow in a forecast. i'd be surprised if the gfs was right tho im not sure i'd even notice if it was other than looking at ob history in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 i'd be surprised if the gfs was right tho im not sure i'd even notice if it was other than looking at ob history in the morning. I would be too but it doesn't cost anything to mention the possibility. Like you, I won't be up to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I just posted a message onWXrisks facebook that he should have listened to JI and canceled winter in December. Awaiting his reaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Ji's Twitter avatar is awesome. come on let's focus on the potential dusting nw of the city overnight I'm intently watching my temperature drop and timing it in tenths of degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Last thread of hope for the winter of 2011-2012 is the Roger Smith's February 15-25 call. What do I have to lose...all in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I just posted a message onWXrisks facebook that he should have listened to JI and canceled winter in December. Awaiting his reaction. DT has basically cancelled winter. http://www.wxrisk.com/2012/01/pamela-anderson-comes-a-knockin/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 DT has basically cancelled winter. http://www.wxrisk.com/2012/01/pamela-anderson-comes-a-knockin/ Apple invented this thing called the iPod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 it was HM that called for 1-3" i think. he likes to get the weenies (you) excited And since he nailed the storm earlier in the week we fell hook line and sinker. LOL you guys are bad. I never called for 1-3"....step away from the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 LOL you guys are bad. I never called for 1-3"....step away from the models. I'm stepping away from this hobby. Bought a nice amp this week and I'm just going to play guitar in the basement till next el nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I'm stepping away from this hobby. Bought a nice amp this week and I'm just going to play guitar in the basement till next el nino Excellent idea. Which amp did you go with? The ECMWF is starting to trickle in; I'll let you know if it has anything worth coming out of the basement for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Amp =tech 21 power engine Euro--dry when cold but when 850 temps go above 1 it's wet right ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I see flakes on euro jan 20! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Amp =tech 21 power engine Euro--dry when cold but when 850 temps go above 1 it's wet right ? I could look it up but...is that a tube amp? The ECMWF has the cold blast Jan 18-20 with snow showers Thursday afternoon. It is poking that ridge again into Greenland but previous runs showed this failing miserably after the 20th. Our only hope before we blowtorch is if something can sneak in along the southern stream ahead of the heat and behind the cold air leaving with this temporary -NAO (transient ridge of course). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 That's almost an omega-block in the N. Atlantic at 186h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I could look it up but...is that a tube amp? The ECMWF has the cold blast Jan 18-20 with snow showers Thursday afternoon. It is poking that ridge again into Greenland but previous runs showed this failing miserably after the 20th. Our only hope before we blowtorch is if something can sneak in along the southern stream ahead of the heat and behind the cold air leaving with this temporary -NAO (transient ridge of course). We are holding you to your guarantee of 1-3" with the snow showers next Thursday . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 It's an amp used for modeling pre amps.... Sounds awesome. Sounds alot better than the winter forecast Maybe well get the early march storm this year that you always call for:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 We are holding you to your guarantee of 1-3" with the snow showers next Thursday . LOL .... I haven't seen any snow since Oct 29th outside of a car top dusting. I understand the frustration. Speaking of LOL...ECMWF likes this -NAO tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Hm also while you were gone ...roger smith became the boards Tim Tewbow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 It's an amp used for modeling pre amps.... Sounds awesome. Sounds alot better than the winter forecast Maybe well get the early march storm this year that you always call for:) Those model preamps can be prolific. I know Fender has a whole series of those styled amps that bring in every prior sound that's been developed. I know you can go in and manual change settings too and make your own models. Awesome stuff... When we blowtorch, I'll be sure to make a March Blizzard long range call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 LOL .... I haven't seen any snow since Oct 29th outside of a car top dusting. I understand the frustration. Speaking of LOL...ECMWF likes this -NAO tonight. According to today's weeklies that was not supposed to show up until early February, maybe we are getting an early present. Where do you live?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Hm also while you were gone ...roger smith became the boards Tim Tewbow Hey tell that to Glenn Hurricane Schwartz who claims some nutjob in the UK is the only person who gets the winter right. Yes, his forecast is doing great through mid-January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 According to today's weeklies that was not supposed to show up until early February, maybe we are getting an early present. Where do you live?. Prior runs of the ECMWF take this transient ridge out toward the longer term so it isn't quite an early present unless it trends to be more formidable. I live in NW NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Those model preamps can be prolific. I know Fender has a whole series of those styled amps that bring in every prior sound that's been developed. I know you can go in and manual change settings too and make your own models. Awesome stuff... When we blowtorch, I'll be sure to make a March Blizzard long range call. Yea man...you can go from. Fender twin reverb to a mesa boogie dual rectifier in one push of a button ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Yea man...you can go from. Fender twin reverb to a mesa boogie dual rectifier in one push of a button ! Yeah tube amps can be overrated for authenticity if you and anyone listening enjoys what is being heard out of a modeled amp. But there are some guys who swear the tones just can't be matched and they're probably right. Call me crazy but is there a threat Jan 29-31 per the GFS ensembles and possible wave breaking from IO convection? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I think BB should track this guy down and they can forecast together: Historic east coast blizzard end of Jan first few days feb.... followed by severe artic cold most of feb... cold march april. with something big poss early March... As for above I would go with Feb 2nd. (give a day or two) Peace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 So no one has faith in SNO anymore? pythium is the new hotness? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Sad things...pulling up the board from the overnite and seeing the banter thread active while the snow possibilities thread lies fallow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.