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Second Winter Storm Threat - Oct 29/30


Baroclinic Zone

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Yeah it would be NE CT and S ORH county and NW RI...but that is the furthest SE model...GFS is is the berks. So a middle ground is central MA to Socks in S NH. Thats where the Euro has been pegging it.

OK I would have thought it was a bit south of there on the NAM but I am not so good at guessing the p-type and ratios from the maps in an earlier season event like this

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OK I would have thought it was a bit south of there on the NAM but I am not so good at guessing the p-type and ratios from the maps in an earlier season event like this

max qpf won't always mean the max snow...there will be some elevation dependency

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the instability in this storm will be high...good chance of thundersnow...almost likely I would say. The -EPV is very good and the ML frontogenesis is ridiculous. Where those two line up, it will be thunder snow almost guaranteed.

Definitely just made Paul's birthday complete haha

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the instability in this storm will be high...good chance of thundersnow...almost likely I would say. The -EPV is very good and the ML frontogenesis is ridiculous. Where those two line up, it will be thunder snow almost guaranteed.

I've never seen an October profile so cold for a coastal like this....ever. It looks like December except the SSts are like upper 50s.

Still having trouble believing it, the what can go wrongs keep falling by the wayside, hour by hour, run by run. I agree with you, best comma head snows Pete to Hunchie to Dryslut

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