weatherMA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Man I can't wait until the probs come out. 50% for 8"? Maybe a 25% for 1' in favored areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Lots of spread to the nw too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Nam out to 9hr. No it's out to 14hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Yup...juicy for us. Wow. The snow probs will be nuts for the interior. Looks good brian, unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 What's the timing looking like? Be nice to have a healthy chunk of qpf coming after sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I'm not sure the synoptic setup can look any better for the interior of SNE...even the valleys like BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Lots of spread to the nw too. Unbelievable for october Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I don't think BM implies taint.......... thanks...wasn't sure w/ all this SST talk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Wow...Sref's way NW... .5" mean qpf up to K1V4.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I'm not sure the synoptic setup can look any better for the interior of SNE...even the valleys like BDL. Even the snow holes of snow holes... BDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 OT...just heard reports of thundersnow in Weston about an hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I'm not sure the synoptic setup can look any better for the interior of SNE...even the valleys like BDL. Will, what type of storm do you think this will be in terms of historical? Like once in a lifetime? Step back for a minute folks. Its snowing. I have a freaking inch of snow on my grass. I'm tracking a freaking monster noreaster. Its flipping October 27. Are you kidding me???? I can't help not to ask to be lifted from the 5/day. I just want to be part of this experience. Also, I posted this to scott the other night, but one of the top 5 outage moments for northeast utilities was a snowstorm in November of 1986.... http://www.nu.com/media/stormkit/compare.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 implied taint how far west on the SREFS? Well it would be a RASN mix going to snow at some point. There is almost no question it would start as at least a mix..if not straight rain for a little while along the coast. That's just how it is. But, the track would result in it going rather quickly to snow, or perhaps a cold rain then flipping in the final few hours...if the track gets close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Will, what type of storm do you think this will be in terms of historical? Like once in a lifetime? Step back for a minute folks. Its snowing. I have a freaking inch of snow on my grass. I'm tracking a freaking monster noreaster. Its flipping October 27. Are you kidding me???? Yes, for October, this is once in a lifetime on average. If many interior spots do see 8-12" of snow, that's never happened in over 100 years of records at a lot of sites. But rare storms can happen in just a few years...just look at NW NJ...they had never seen an Oct 2008 before and now they'll see it again just 3 years later. We still have to get it verify, but its looking like a 1 in 100 year storm right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Will, what type of storm do you think this will be in terms of historical? Like once in a lifetime? Step back for a minute folks. Its snowing. I have a freaking inch of snow on my grass. I'm tracking a freaking monster noreaster. Its flipping October 27. Are you kidding me???? I can't help not to ask to be lifted from the 5/day. I just want to be part of this experience. wow, I did not even know, you are already post limited? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiksports Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Well it would be a RASN mix going to snow at some point. There is almost no question it would start as at least a mix..if not straight rain for a little while along the coast. That's just how it is. But, the track would result in it going rather quickly to snow, or perhaps a cold rain then flipping in the final few hours...if the track gets close. That would be .25 to .5 inches in Ithaca; that would be 2.5 to 5 inches because of the cold temparatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 taint could become an issue in se areas per srefs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Wow...Sref's way NW... .5" mean qpf up to K1V4.. Wow, way up to St Johnsbury VT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Wow, way up to St Johnsbury VT! Yeah pretty big jump... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Good lord at the SREF 12" probs. >50% in SW CT interior highlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 This storm has a chance to be huge for those spots near 1,000' in eastern PA and nrn NJ. I can't believe that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Good lord at the SREF 12" probs. >50% in SW CT interior highlands. 2010-2011 redux. Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Will, what type of storm do you think this will be in terms of historical? Like once in a lifetime? Step back for a minute folks. Its snowing. I have a freaking inch of snow on my grass. I'm tracking a freaking monster noreaster. Its flipping October 27. Are you kidding me???? I can't help not to ask to be lifted from the 5/day. I just want to be part of this experience. Also, I posted this to scott the other night, but one of the top 5 outage moments for northeast utilities was a snowstorm in November of 1986.... http://www.nu.com/me...kit/compare.pdf Free the boy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 2010-2011 redux. Congrats! SW CT Winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I sure do love the srefs. Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Free the boy! Agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Good lord at the SREF 12" probs. >50% in SW CT interior highlands. SREF's at 48+ is like the NAM beyond about 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I don't see significant differences aloft on the NAM from 18Z @ 33hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Agreed! 3rded 00z nam looks same as 18z through 30hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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