OKpowdah Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 no drysluts thank you and don't you dare forecast one for me. ha One very dry slut coming right up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 you and Ray been doing shots? Welcome to this summer, LOL. Garth we need to GTG bro for a couple. When ya bringing the kids down? lol - I thought I saw it earlier, but really didn't think anything of it. I suppose part of me assumed that Phil already had the tag. Football for my son is finised soon, so anytime after the next week or so. We should figure something out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 no drysluts thank you and don't you dare forecast one for me. ha Haven't even looked at storm 2 as storm 1 is happening now. Looks like this could be better. It would be cool to hold tonights snow through until ths possible snow.lol Could happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Been in class. Holy Crap!!! Wish this wasn't a 18z run...but WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 It's going to snow, it's a law of nature when I buy new cars during the cold season. In 2004 we picked up a Subaru and we got buried every week for three months culminating with the 1/2005 debacle. In 2009 I picked up a new car and we had those mega hailstones here that dented the hood the next day. I pick up the new car tonight, it will snow tonight if the precip is still around and no doubt it'll snow Saturday. Laws of nature. Some 16.6 year old girl tweeting herself while driving in the snow Saturday will smash into the car while a car coming the other way containing a 17 year old kid looking at porn on his cell hits me from the front. Law of nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 If this is all snow for you, you might see your second 20 before a year is up. Not likely but for our historical look backs, here is an epic weenie QPF output from the NAM. If this happens, Ryans winter forecast would be in serious trouble in one storm. LOL Do the People have any stories of big October snowstorms?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Do the People have any stories of big October snowstorms?? there were none Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Been in class. Holy Crap!!! Wish this wasn't a 18z run...but WOW We're getting close enough to where you can put more into the 6z/18z runs. It seems like the 18z NAM is finally catching onto the idea of digging the trough a bit deeper and getting better phasing so it's come around to the solutions of the other models. This is definitely good. We now have all the biggies showing something potentially historic. If this were to not happen this would be a MAJOR model bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Been in class. Holy Crap!!! Wish this wasn't a 18z run...but WOW Was Colby weenieing out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Dry slot would seem like a minor concern at this point. Everything shows the 700mb low closing just south of New England...which is where you want it. Nothing has really showed it tucked way towards NJ like Boxing Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Do the People have any stories of big October snowstorms?? Oct. 4, 1987, when I lived in the Albany area. Total surprise, and highly localized. Major, long-lasting power outages due to heavy wet snow and fully foliated trees. Thundersnow to boot. I think it's been discussed here on the board in the past.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 oh okay thanks .. really considering going home for this event > halloween festivities in lowell , yes I am that much of a weenie lol anyways .. I noticed last night (0z) looking at the 500 mb maps how different the models were handling the s/w that was the kicker in the north pac .. it really goes to show how the sparse data network in the north pacific always can throw a curveball in 3-5 day forcasts / model solutions I could barely make it through the day today without checking what was up. I had a few chances to check at lunch/etc. but not much time. Tomorrow I have school from 730-2, then practice, then work 6-11. Man, its going to be rough not to know what's going on with the storm. Also, wow at the 18z nam. Just a little different from 12z haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 What snowNH was posting was no worse than what a lot of folks (red taggers included) were posting... Anyway, awaiting the next model runs... Ha I agree. I've found him hilarious the past week or so. He means well and just loves snow like the rest of us. He also seems to make a good effort to learn. Thanks guys for the earlier posts about the 5/posted... I've actually learned a lot from a day on the sidelines from posting. What an exciting day of models. If I could some it up in one word it would be . I think tonight's models runs in some ways will be similar to the 12/26 boxing day model thread. I might even set my alarm to wake up for the euro tonight. I really don't know how you can go against the Euro and its ensembles at this point. I thought the NAM would come west but not that far west. Its remarkable how much its shifted since 00z last night. Something like 700 miles probably lol. To what Sam said, I was talking to some people at work today about their plans for the weekend. One person said "Gonna do a lot of yard work this weekend to get ready for the winter". At that point I started laughing on the inside. People in the region (They'll probably find out tonight) don't really know the magnitude of the storm thats upcoming. And I know for sure that utilities aren't ready for the widespread outages that will take place. I think Kevin's heavy heavy damage post of this morning will be right. generally, One thing I did notice all day were the MBY posts from newer posters. Please try to refrain from that. Its really annoying. CTsnowstorm628, everyone is selfish about snow and no one cares about a little town in the NEK of Vermont. Time for the GFS!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Great temp drops occurring in E and SENY right now. Right in advance of a healthy batch of precipitation. Notice the smooth, wintry look to the radar returns in NY. I think a widespread area in SNE has a taste of winter incoming for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Do the People have any stories of big October snowstorms?? Let's see... Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Just took my first peek at the 18Z NAM I love years in which the first serious freeze is immediately followed by a snowstorm... Thing is, I'm used to that happening in NYC or Boston in early Dec! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam038 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Just 10/4/87 in eastern New York (northern Columbia County). I was only in 5th grade at the time, but I remember going to sleep and waking up with more than a foot of snow on the ground, no power, and the sounds of trees snapping from the snow weight on the leaves. I think we got all of our news for the next three days (until we got power back) from WGY---Don Weeks and school closings anyone? I remember on Wednesday morning we got word that school was out for the week. Most of the snow was gone within a few days, but some of my friends didn't get power back for two weeks. I lived on 22 acres of woodlands, and you can still see the damage. Sure, snow is great, but that was a little too ugly for my liking. Do the People have any stories of big October snowstorms?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 We're getting close enough to where you can put more into the 6z/18z runs. It seems like the 18z NAM is finally catching onto the idea of digging the trough a bit deeper and getting better phasing so it's come around to the solutions of the other models. This is definitely good. We now have all the biggies showing something potentially historic. If this were to not happen this would be a MAJOR model bust. What an amazing bust this would be if it didn't happen. I'm getting very excited and I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Thanks guys for the earlier posts about the 5/posted... I've actually learned a lot from a day on the sidelines from posting. What an exciting day of models. If I could some it up in one word it would be . I think tonight's models runs in some ways will be similar to the 12/26 boxing day model thread. I might even set my alarm to wake up for the euro tonight. I really don't know how you can go against the Euro and its ensembles at this point. I thought the NAM would come west but not that far west. Its remarkable how much its shifted since 00z last night. Something like 700 miles probably lol. To what Sam said, I was talking to some people at work today about their plans for the weekend. One person said "Gonna do a lot of yard work this weekend to get ready for the winter". At that point I started laughing on the inside. People in the region (They'll probably find out tonight) don't really know the magnitude of the storm thats upcoming. And I know for sure that utilities aren't ready for the widespread outages that will take place. I think Kevin's heavy heavy damage post of this morning will be right. generally, One thing I did notice all day were the MBY posts from newer posters. Please try to refrain from that. Its really annoying. CTsnowstorm628, everyone is selfish about snow and no one cares about a little town in the NEK of Vermont. Time for the GFS!!!! I thought were over this whole situation..I was just trying to add some different viewpoints considering there are some people here from NNE because the NNE thread is boring as hell....anyway whatever..gfs time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Oct. 4, 1987, when I lived in the Albany area. Total surprise, and highly localized. Major, long-lasting power outages due to heavy wet snow and fully foliated trees. Thundersnow to boot. I think it's been discussed here on the board in the past.... I was there dude. 17 years old. Lived right next to I-90. I think we picked up 15" or so. I was out on the highway giving motorists gasoline. Lost a week of school. Of course the rest of the winter was rather weak as the whole wad seemed to be blown with that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Just 10/4/87 in eastern New York (northern Columbia County). Myself as well - Chatham area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Do the People have any stories of big October snowstorms?? My friends and I drove back to Buffalo for October 12-13, 2006. We left at around 5pm on the 12th...We didn't get there until about 3am. It's normally a 2 1/2 hour drive. We could see lightning from Weedsport, NY...about 100 miles away from Buffalo. We saw the transforming blowing and limbs falling off trees in the evening in the eastern suburns of Buffalo on I-90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 ive seen a foot of snow in mid october in the eastern townships of quebec but nothing for around here Do the People have any stories of big October snowstorms?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam038 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Really---that's where I'm from (Spencertown actually,)! Myself as well - Chatham area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 What an amazing bust this would be if it didn't happen. I'm getting very excited and I like it. At this point you have to expect the storm to happen. NAM/GFS/Ukie/Euro...they all have it. While the 18z NAM is the first run of the NAM to actually be a hit even the past runs you have an idea based on the mid level features it would be much closer and now we've seen the 18z NAM shift towards the other consensus. If this doesn't happen it's a major bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Thanks guys for the earlier posts about the 5/posted... I've actually learned a lot from a day on the sidelines from posting. What an exciting day of models. If I could some it up in one word it would be . I think tonight's models runs in some ways will be similar to the 12/26 boxing day model thread. I might even set my alarm to wake up for the euro tonight. I really don't know how you can go against the Euro and its ensembles at this point. I thought the NAM would come west but not that far west. Its remarkable how much its shifted since 00z last night. Something like 700 miles probably lol. To what Sam said, I was talking to some people at work today about their plans for the weekend. One person said "Gonna do a lot of yard work this weekend to get ready for the winter". At that point I started laughing on the inside. People in the region (They'll probably find out tonight) don't really know the magnitude of the storm thats upcoming. And I know for sure that utilities aren't ready for the widespread outages that will take place. I think Kevin's heavy heavy damage post of this morning will be right. generally, One thing I did notice all day were the MBY posts from newer posters. Please try to refrain from that. Its really annoying. CTsnowstorm628, everyone is selfish about snow and no one cares about a little town in the NEK of Vermont. Time for the GFS!!!! And, I'm sure 90% people dont care about certain areas people live in and they dont get bashed for asking questions about the EURO that they cant access... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Just took my first peek at the 18Z NAM I love years in which the first serious freeze is immediately followed by a snowstorm... Thing is, I'm used to that happening in NYC or Boston in early Dec! Made me laugh ... . just saw the 18z nam and GULP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Really---that's where I'm from (Spencertown actually,)! Funny stuff. You were in 5th grade I was a senior at the time at CHS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Trough is digging a little further west on the GFS early into the run...this may mean a slightly more amped/further west track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 0543 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011 ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT HARTFORD CT... A RECORD SNOWFALL OF TRACE INCH(ES) WAS SET AT HARTFORD CT TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF TRACE SET IN 1962. DUE TO ONGOING WINTRY PRECIPITATION...IT IS EXPECTED THAT HARTFORD MAY SEE MORE SNOW ACCUMULATION. CHECK BACK AFTER THE EARLY MORNING CLIMATE FOR THE TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR TODAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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