dendrite Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 EC ensembles same latitude but a a little west by maybe 40 miles? Just south of the BM by a hair. 40mi west of the op or 00z ens mean? I'm only out to 36hr so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherEmperor Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Does anyone have data on the last time SNE got a 6"+ snowstorm in October? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Man, you are thinking with the glass half full, arent ya!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 wow..mt. holly already with the winter storm watches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 this afternoon or tonight taunton should do the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 So from what I can see it look like SE MA will be mostly Rain on Saturday? I have party in the Carver Middleboro area on Saturday night so I need to plan for tents and snow removal or just tents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 P.S. I moved into Brookline. Your snow is now my snow. Welcome! I'm in Fella's neighborhood as well... Brookline GTG sometime this winter? What an epic year... historic Jan-Feb snow cover, an F3, an earthquake, Irene... Recalling the debate during Irene in which the fascination with extreme weather was criticized given the damaging impact on people, I think this thread is testimony to our fascination with deviation from the norm rather than injury and damage to property. As Ray put it, just as doctors are fascinated by peculiar disease but obviously don't wish it on patients, we are fascinated by extremes of nature. And this weekend certainly is gunning for that! Euro depictions are certainly unchartered territory, and I do wonder how much dynamics will be able to overcome any easterly component within 5 miles of 55F SSTs. But Boston metro will have plenty of CCB cranking once vector is more NNE and sun has set. Can anyone remind me SSTs during 4/1/97 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 this afternoon or tonight taunton should do the same They wouldn't until morning most likely. Still nearly 48 hours away for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Welcome! I'm in Fella's neighborhood as well... Brookline GTG sometime this winter? What an epic year... historic Jan-Feb snow cover, an F3, an earthquake, Irene... Recalling the debate during Irene in which the fascination with extreme weather was criticized given the damaging impact on people, I think this thread is testimony to our fascination with deviation from the norm rather than injury and damage to property. As Ray put it, just as doctors are fascinated by peculiar disease but obviously don't wish it on patients, we are fascinated by extremes of nature. And this weekend certainly is gunning for that! Euro depictions are certainly unchartered territory, and I do wonder how much dynamics will be able to overcome any easterly component within 5 miles of 55F SSTs. But Boston metro will have plenty of CCB cranking once vector is more NNE and sun has set. Can anyone remind me SSTs during 4/1/97 ? Chilly. Low 40's ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 How are the euro ensembles in relation to the op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 water temperature is 63 degrees off of Delaware Bay...and near 60F in Newport. I wonder how much role that will play in the dynamics and the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Does anyone have data on the last time SNE got a 6"+ snowstorm in October? Max Snowfall BOS - 1.1" (2005) Blue Hill - 6.8" (1979) CON - 2.1" (1969) Hartford - 1.7" (1979) ORH - 7.5" (1979) PVD - 2.5" (1979) Source So last 6"+ was in 1979 and only hit the favored SNE snow spots - Blue Hills and ORH. From what I could tell, there were no other years that had 6"+. Next highest for ORH was 4.7" in 1962 Edit: Obviously this excludes many elevated areas which probably have reported much more snow than the climo stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 How are the euro ensembles in relation to the op? Very similar. There's actually a little bit more QPF for us on the ens mean so there has to be some members a bit NW of the op track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 sref snow probabilities are very impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 water temperature is 63 degrees off of Delaware Bay...and near 60F in Newport. I wonder how much role that will play in the dynamics and the track. How do SSTs affect track? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 water temperature is 63 degrees off of Delaware Bay...and near 60F in Newport. I wonder how much role that will play in the dynamics and the track. i was wondering if that's part of the reason some guidance has such explosive precip totals on the immediate western flank of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 sref snow probabilities are very impressive yes they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Very similar. There's actually a little bit more QPF for us on the ens mean so there has to be some members a bit NW of the op track. Do you think there's hope for accumulating snowfall up our way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 sref snow probabilities are very impressive Many of the members absolutely crush up here. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 sref snow probabilities are very impressive Congrats Kev Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Congrats Kev 25% for 12"+. Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 About a half hour ago we have a 10 minute period where snow was mixed in, a few were even big aggregates... Seems to have relaxed back to just cold rain though. Westborough Mass Hey John...we have an obs thread for the current system. Just an fyi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Congrats Kev Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Hey John...we have an obs thread for the current system. Just an fyi. http://www.americanw...ns-and-reports/ OH, k - feel free to move that over ...or delete it, whatever... Did you guys see the D9 Euro? Wow, that is dynamic bomb that ends as snow too - wtf is going on around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 How do SSTs affect track? Thanks All things being equal, a stronger system due to latent heat release from warm SSTs would want to track a bit closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 NAM is trying to come around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 NAM is trying to come around. Yeah...that shortwave/vort are a lot more amplified/juiced compared to 12z so far. The precip explodes over W VA/NC with a lot of snow in the mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I will be pissed if I can't watch the Pats comes Sunday due to power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 18z nam has snow basically into DC metro on sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Yeah...that shortwave/vort are a lot more amplified/juiced compared to 12z so far. The precip explodes over W VA/NC with a lot of snow in the mtns. Way amped, And west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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