ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Well when you move well inland you gotta realize that probably only about 25% of the storms that nail SNE work out here ..or in northern VT. It's nice when we can share in it, but "our" storms tend to track from like NYC to Boston...so you gotta wish rain on the poor SNE folks. LOL I may get something here ...like on Boxing Day when I managed 7 inches and got to share in it a bit. True statement. Lived in CT all my life and I'm still getting used to N VT haha. All is well though..we'll get ours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Don't take this the wrong way, but you're really getting annoying. We know you're getting blue balled, you've posted about it 8 times. 1) It's October. 2) You're in the NEK of VT. You'll see plenty of snow. 3) Complaining about it isn't really going to make it snow this weekend. good day OT has made you bitter just like Pete and Steve, turn that frown upside down and understand a weenies heart is aching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 i think it'll be extraordinary tough to overcome 55F sst for a good chunk of the event (first 2/3rds?) but i'd expect at least some frozen precip even out here once the flow backs a bit given just how cold everything/everywhere else is. it's the lowest levels that are mild for this general area...like the bottom 1500 feet of the column or so and that'll be a snow-stopper until that layer can get beaten down some. i suppose if we have really extreme precip rates we could flip or mix earlier if we end up with a layer thats like 2 or 3C and not 5 or 6C. if it were even just a few weeks later in the season - like turkey day - i'd be more optimistic on primarily frozen precip. i think there's a pretty serious wind threat too...probably in the 00z to 08z time frame. Just noticed your red tag! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Race to see which media outlet is first with the headlines Kevin wrote this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Don't take this the wrong way, but you're really getting annoying. We know you're getting blue balled, you've posted about it 8 times. 1) It's October. 2) You're in the NEK of VT. You'll see plenty of snow. 3) Complaining about it isn't really going to make it snow this weekend. good day ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 As long as the forecast is back to low 50's by Monday and beyond - I'm not gonna be doing much snow clearing. Just shovel tracks for the car to get out or the end of the driveway etc. It's hardly worth it.... I tuned and started mine on saturday when Scott and Ryan were suggesting that snow was even a remote possibility. Most throwers the belt should be no more than a half hour job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 OT has made you bitter just like Pete and Steve, turn that frown upside down and understand a weenies heart is aching Thank you sir! everyone knows its tough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 any thoughts on the coastal front? should be pretty wicked given the warm SSTs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Lost in the shuffle of Storm 2, Storm 1 tracked a little better here on the 12z euro as it has me close to .50" qpf for the early evening into tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Don't take this the wrong way, but you're really getting annoying. We know you're getting blue balled, you've posted about it 8 times. 1) It's October. 2) You're in the NEK of VT. You'll see plenty of snow. 3) Complaining about it isn't really going to make it snow this weekend. good day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 OT has made you bitter just like Pete and Steve, turn that frown upside down and understand a weenies heart is aching Oh come on...I made a joke post two or so days ago about me and Kevin having to jump in the tub together with a toaster cause our area wasn't going to snow tonight and I got blasted for it. That was a joke. Life's tough...I understand you know his heartache though, being down there on the tropical shoreline and all. It can't be easy I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Lost in the shuffle of Storm 2, Storm 1 tracked a little better here on the 12z euro as it has me close to .50" qpf for the early evening into tonight No kidding! Good for you over there! ow far does the precip extend northward? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 any thoughts on the coastal front? should be pretty wicked given the warm SSTs. I'm trying to figure out why the models aren't driving it way inland. Looking at the Euro maps they make perfect sense in this situation. It's a classic late November early December snowstorm...but for some reason before Halloween? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 OT has made you bitter just like Pete and Steve, turn that frown upside down and understand a weenies heart is aching Bitter? I am estactic that your endless summer ends with 8 inches of paste thicker than Mama Leones. I had more fun in oT than here because the constant day to day droning on and on about Temps just got blah. This is a great day to be alive. Greatest Fall Euro run of Jerrys life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 True statement. Lived in CT all my life and I'm still getting used to N VT haha. All is well though..we'll get ours. were you in N VT last year? you guys got absolutely crushed while i was watching over the border waving (ahhh, 2007-08 LOL) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Oh come on...I made a joke post two or so days ago about me and Kevin having to jump in the tub together with a toaster cause our area wasn't going to snow tonight and I got blasted for it. That was a joke. Life's tough...I understand you know his heartache though, being down there on the tropical shoreline and all. It can't be easy I'm sure. It's not. It sucks for snow. Getting blue balled really brings back the memories of seeing hartford rip and it all be liquid on the coast...so just cut me some slack, bro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'm trying to figure out why the models aren't driving it way inland. Looking at the Euro maps they make perfect sense in this situation. It's a classic late November early December snowstorm...but for some reason before Halloween? Crashing heights, look at the thicknesses, mid Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 were you in N VT last year? you guys got absolutely crushed while i was watching over the border waving (ahhh, 2007-08 LOL) Yep! March 6-7 we got nailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 OT has made you bitter just like Pete and Steve, turn that frown upside down and understand a weenies heart is aching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Thanks and I agree. I do like the accumulation maps the models are spitting out because it mostly shows what you're talking about with the SST's. If it played out as modeled I see a situation where you and I are in the proverbial wet boat while an area just to my west a mile is mainly non-accumulating mush, back by 195/495 they see accumulations just back from the marine air. Water temps are 55-56 in Boston Harbor and all the way east. Any marine influence off that water is going to roast the BL. Amazing though, it is so cold aloft on these models it could conceivably be overcome in some incredible precip rates. that's the one thing that gives me pause is just how cold it is from about 925 mb on up. -4 to -6C at 850 is pretty darn cold for out here - we have plenty of coastals where we sit at like -1 to -2C at 850 for a good while during the event - it's just that the surface is nowhere near as warm... it's sort of uncharted territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'm trying to figure out why the models aren't driving it way inland. Looking at the Euro maps they make perfect sense in this situation. It's a classic late November early December snowstorm...but for some reason before Halloween? Coastal fronts are only driven inland during events where storms come closer. A bombing low would help keep winds more nrly I think. We don't have a true arctic air mass like in the winter to help keep the flow more northerly, but warmer SST's will help enhance the boundary too. Like how a seabreeze develops in the summer.....colder air will always want to vector in towards warmer air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'm trying to figure out why the models aren't driving it way inland. Looking at the Euro maps they make perfect sense in this situation. It's a classic late November early December snowstorm...but for some reason before Halloween? could be because the low is over the benchmark as opposed to January 12th which tracked over MVY. idk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 that's the one thing that gives me pause is just how cold it is from about 925 mb on up. -4 to -6C at 850 is pretty darn cold for out here - we have plenty of coastals where we sit at like -1 to -2C at 850 for a good while during the event - it's just that the surface is nowhere near as warm... it's sort of uncharted territory. Very unstable I would think. Could picture a great loud crack of thunder with a rush of downward spiraling wind instantly changing the mix to snow, ala Dec 05 for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Torch saving system on the Euro D8-9. Epic and extraordinarily early beginning this year. I'm spooked given my forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 It's not. It sucks for snow. Getting blue balled really brings back the memories of seeing hartford rip and it all be liquid on the coast...so just cut me some slack, bro. Check your calendar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Scooter or Ryan..what time does snow break out Saturday? We have the hood halloweenie party on Sat at the neighbors..Kids dress up..we drink etc. Snowing by then? Same here although it's next door Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Check your calendar Calm down, bud. I know it's October, but when you see places where you lived getting nailed in OCTOBER, it's spooky and almost unheard of..therefore I wish I could experience it, thats all.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Torch saving system on the Euro D8-9. Epic and extraordinarily early beginning this year. I'm spooked given my forecast. Play it loud Old man Winter Play it Loud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Can't see 925mb on the Euro but 850's stay -4c throughtout for sat-sun event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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