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First Winter Storm Threat (Oct 27/28) for New England 2011/12 - III

Baroclinic Zone

By Baroclinic Zone,
in New England

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

I'm sure neither are right lol

Which one is more right means the difference between flurries and a slushy inch

Well the euro gave him about 0.15 or so of potentially liquid equivalent after 00z (He may change at like 23Z), so it's possible I guess. I suppose if it were gun to head..I may say something like 0.8"...but I wouldn't have high confidence. It could just be ending as flurries too, but I think he'll see measurable. Eh, we'll see.

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

Posted
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It would have tons of competition. OT but I was in the upscale Summit Shopping Center in Birmingham last night. Naturally went to the Apple store. Gotta get an iMac.

Prospects up to this run have been exceedingly solid for October. At some point climo has to reat it's head I'd think or is this going to be last year x 2 starting even earlier?

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
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It would have tons of competition. OT but I was in the upscale Summit Shopping Center in Birmingham last night. Naturally went to the Apple store. Gotta get an iMac.

Jerry you will like this App, good for IPAD too. Just type in Davis Weather Link in app store free.

http://www.davisnet.com/weather/products/weather_product.asp?pnum=06556

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted

Yeah, I never really got that "biggest run of our lives" saying.

Unless there were models converging on blizzard - ice storm - 2nd blizzard solutions it is probably not the biggest run of my life.

The biggest run of my life was the run after the 84hr ETA showed the Jan 2005 blizzard.

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weatherMA

weatherMA

Posted
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Well, as of now my xc meet is still on tomorrow. With the earlier change over time, there is a chance that snow could be mixing in for some of the later races...if it happens. Part of me wants it to happen because it would make things interesting....but the other part of me wants it postponed. If its postponed, I can be home at 3pm to weenie out over my 1" of snow... ;)

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
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The biggest run of my life was the run after the 84hr ETA showed the Jan 2005 blizzard.

I won't forget comparing H5 on the current run from the previous run and watching that s/w trend sharper and sharper as we got closer to that storm. The 48 hrs before that storm were a blur to me. I've never been so pumped.

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HIPPYVALLEY

HIPPYVALLEY

Posted
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The biggest run of my life was the run after the 84hr ETA showed the Jan 2005 blizzard.

That does not surprise me. I was not following models run to run back then but that storm overproduced and was the most snow I've ever seen. I was living outside Inman Sq in Cambridge and we had 30"+.

One of the few times I was intimidated by how much snow we were getting.

Dr Joe on Accuweather kept referring to the "absolutely prodigious snow fall" in Ma.

possible my all time favorite storm.

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
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I won't forget comparing H5 on the current run from the previous run and watching that s/w trend sharper and sharper as we got closer to that storm. The 48 hrs before that storm were a blur to me. I've never been so pumped.

The reason it was so big, was because about 84h out is when the Euro kind of lost the storm a bit to the right. For like two runs it did...so when the ETA went bonkers with it, the next run was huge to see if other guidance would start bringing it up to us.

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

Posted
Posted

SREFs are a touch warmer than 15z. But overall not too different.

Where are you seeing the SREF? I can't find it.....have to check my temps and qpf. :)

Somewhere in Northern CT, a bald man sleeps fittfuly

"Noooooo! Cold rain!!!" He cries in his slumber, haunted by visions of Ray getting more

I'm thinking of one of the earlier scenes from the Manchurian Candidate when the guy wakes up from a nightmare screaming.

Last years Jan 10 Euro at 2am with 125 people online or Boxing day Christmas morning, what a bunch of idiots we are.

And many of us in SNH and C/W Mass curiously looking at the wedge of lower qpf that consistently appeared on the GFS maps. Tip saying in his succint way how it might actually be onto somehting......

41.6//41

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