NEOH Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yeah, that sunshine felt great yesterday afternoon, even if it was only short lived. Good bye snow! Though it does look like there are still patches on the ground in the snow belt, but doubtful any place can really claim true snow cover anymore. My yard was still covered with 1-3" this morning. What's left of the snow should vanish quickly today with the rain. There was that "Spring smell" to the air when I walked outside this morning. Skunks must have come out their winter hibernation as my neighborhood has been ridden with skunk spray the past week. Long range modeling now takes us into March. Not much time left for the one big synoptic storm we've been waiting for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shsg Falls Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Perhaps this event will verify for you lake effect lovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The ground is still about 50% covered in Highland Hills, so it's officially a snowcover but is hanging on by a thread. Fog is dense here, visibility around a quarter mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The ground is still about 50% covered in Highland Hills, so it's officially a snowcover but is hanging on by a thread. Fog is dense here, visibility around a quarter mile. Wow. I'm surprised, I figured the really high dewpoints would have torched those last few inches by now. Impressive fog here as well, but very variable visibilities as winds shift onshore/offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Wow. I'm surprised, I figured the really high dewpoints would have torched those last few inches by now. Impressive fog here as well, but very variable visibilities as winds shift onshore/offshore. The snow has dwindled significantly and bare ground is king now even a couple hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Not a bad day today...some sun peaking through and temperatures sneaking into the lower 40s, snow just about gone outside of piles. We are going to see some amplification over the Pacific over the next week which means shortwaves tracking to our north and grazing us, as the cold will be aimed to our west and there will be no blocking on the Atlantic side of the continent. The GFS, Euro and their ensembles are all hinting at a more major weather maker for the end of the month. We still have a ton of time for things to change, but early indications are a moist system and potentially quite a strong one if we see as deep of a trough moving out of the western US as currently is depicted by some modeling: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Sundays storm is sooo close, but I doubt I will see anything. 50 miles further north is all I need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 So disgusting missing a storm to the SOUTH by just 50-75 miles when everything else went north this year. Truley a snow hole in Ohio this winter after this storm happen. Might have been our one last shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 So disgusting missing a storm to the SOUTH by just 50-75 miles when everything else went north this year. Truley a snow hole in Ohio this winter after this storm happen. Might have been our one last shot Could move north still, chances are slowly dwindling though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Currently at the airport, CLE ranks at 6th warmest met winter. With just 13 days left in met winter and no prolonged arctic blast in site, safe to say that ranking won't fall. We are currently at 33.7, but will probably rise to 34.6, or 4th place. Record is 97/98 at 35.3. Unless we get some nights where we keep lows near 40, I think the record is safe. Still, a top 5 warmest winter is impressive given the outlooks last fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Currently at the airport, CLE ranks at 6th warmest met winter. With just 13 days left in met winter and no prolonged arctic blast in site, safe to say that ranking won't fall. We are currently at 33.7, but will probably rise to 34.6, or 4th place. Record is 97/98 at 35.3.Unless we get some nights where we keep lows near 40, I think the record is safe. Still, a top 5 warmest winter is impressive given the outlooks last fall. It just means we don't have a shred of a clue as to what causes long term patterns to form. We also have no idea when it will end. Hopefully summer will reset whatever caused it to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 Any guesses on the final CLE total this winter? I'm thinking 42". I give it a 2% chance it goes over 50". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 Any guesses on the final CLE total this winter? I'm thinking 42". I give it a 2% chance it goes over 50". Somewhere around 40" should do it. 50" seems out of reach at this point... but you never know with LES. The clock is running out on this Winter thankfully. We've had clunkers in the past but this has been ridiculous. I just hope we don't flip to a colder pattern in March and April. Bring on the warm and sunny weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 Somewhere around 40" should do it. 50" seems out of reach at this point... but you never know with LES. The clock is running out on this Winter thankfully. We've had clunkers in the past but this has been ridiculous. I just hope we don't flip to a colder pattern in March and April. Bring on the warm and sunny weather. It doesn't take much to get a wet 3 or 4 inches in march or april. So adding another 10 inches is realistic. I'm ready to close the book on this one though. At this point, sustained winter weather is a rarity. Unless it's a significant event, it could just as well be snow free from here on out. The lake should continue to warm much earlier than usual, which could make the marginal spring time snow events rain here and at CLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 It doesn't take much to get a wet 3 or 4 inches in march or april. So adding another 10 inches is realistic. I'm ready to close the book on this one though. At this point, sustained winter weather is a rarity. Unless it's a significant event, it could just as well be snow free from here on out. The lake should continue to warm much earlier than usual, which could make the marginal spring time snow events rain here and at CLE. That is the wild card with a late season slush storm. Instead of an ice covered lake, air would be modified by 34-37 water temps. I'm with you... if its not a significant event just forget about it. Maybe I'm getting older... but late season/early Spring snows are annoying, especially when you've had very few in the true winter months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 Great day to sit on the hood of your car waiting for a tow truck. This February sun makes 40 feel like 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shsg Falls Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 Great day to sit on the hood of your car waiting for a tow truck. This February sun makes 40 feel like 50. Off topic, but GM product (just a guess)? It is a wonderful day. Don't forget the light winds and not a cloud in the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 Off topic, but GM product (just a guess)? It is a wonderful day. Don't forget the light winds and not a cloud in the sky. Yes, it's a 99 Lumina, probably the fuel pump as it has been acting like it's going the past few weeks. Active pattern looks to set up for at least the next 7-10 days. We will see several systems come through in that timeframe. We will be on the warm side of a few of these systems, but there will also be some snow chances, especially Saturday when it appears that some lake effect snow may develop. There will be a tight gradient over the northern US and we will be close to that gradient. Euro hinting we may see a severe threat in the Plains Monday and in the Ohio Valley/lower Lakes Tuesday with a broad warm sector and good moisture return, while the GFS sets up said gradient farther south and shows a light snow event over the upper OV/lower Lakes in that same time frame. Will be fun to watch things play out over the next several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shsg Falls Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 It will be interesting to see if the temperature does make it to the upper 40s this afternoon. There is a "light" dusting of snow (<0.1") here in Chagrin Falls this morning although it is slowly melting as it falls. The numerical model output from the GFS and the NWS public forecasts didn't accurately predict the intensity and persistence of the snow this morning, so perhaps the atmosphere is a bit colder than forecast. Dewpoints were in the teens this morning so there was certainly a lot of evaporational cooling. I see KLUK (Cincinnati-Lunken) is up to 48 degrees at 11 a.m., but that warm air has a long way to advect before it gets to northeast Ohio. Also, this morning's evaporational cooling must be counteracted. It's 34° in Chagrin at 11 a.m., hard to believe the temperature will rise 14° this afternoon with cloudy skies. Looks like the snow will stick around till at least noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 It will be interesting to see if the temperature does make it to the upper 40s this afternoon. There is a "light" dusting of snow (<0.1") here in Chagrin Falls this morning although it is slowly melting as it falls. The numerical model output from the GFS and the NWS public forecasts didn't accurately predict the intensity and persistence of the snow this morning, so perhaps the atmosphere is a bit colder than forecast. Dewpoints were in the teens this morning so there was certainly a lot of evaporational cooling. I see KLUK (Cincinnati-Lunken) is up to 48 degrees at 11 a.m., but that warm air has a long way to advect before it gets to northeast Ohio. Also, this morning's evaporational cooling must be counteracted. It's 34° in Chagrin at 11 a.m., hard to believe the temperature will rise 14° this afternoon with cloudy skies. Looks like the snow will stick around till at least noon. It's looking doubtful the temps climp into the upper 40's as forecasted. Temp dropped from 40 to 34 after the snow started earlier this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 0.3" of snowfall today out here. All gone now, seeing some spits of drizzle. BKL is reporting 45 with light snow this hour, I'd imagine that's melting on contact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 0.3" of snowfall today out here. All gone now, seeing some spits of drizzle. BKL is reporting 45 with light snow this hour, I'd imagine that's melting on contact. I spoke too soon about the temps. Never underestimate the ease in which warm air floods Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 Interesting story on Fox in Indy tonight, talking about businesses hurt by the lack of winter. The Greenfield INDOT district has a $22M surplus because of no snow removal OT. Sent from my ADR6400L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 0.3" of snowfall today out here. All gone now, seeing some spits of drizzle. BKL is reporting 45 with light snow this hour, I'd imagine that's melting on contact. I wasn't working downtown today, so I have no idea if there was a brief accumulation, so I'll just mark a trace. Down by 480/77 the snow literally coated the ground for maybe 20 minutes and melted as soon as it stopped snowing. I see CLE picked up a tenth. Exciting stuff this winter. Temps always surge. We should be able to rack up a bit of temperature surplus the next few days, but I still think we land at 4th warmest winter for CLE. One thing that makes temps kind of screwy is that roughly a third of all days in winter have either a midnight high temperature or a 11:59 pm low temp. The daily average temp isn't necessarily indicative of that day's weather. It only takes a single arctic cold front that hits at 11:40 pm versus 12:10am to move an entire month's temperature anomaly a degree in either direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shsg Falls Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 43° in Chagrin Falls was our max, 5° below the forecast. I was in Burton today where there was still a dusting on some surfaces at dusk, and everyone was complaining about today's busted forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 43° in Chagrin Falls was our max, 5° below the forecast. I was in Burton today where there was still a dusting on some surfaces at dusk, and everyone was complaining about today's busted forecast. Instead of a cold rain it was a slightly colder coating of slop. The temps busted a few degrees but I really don't see why anyone would complain, was going to be a raw day anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shsg Falls Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Instead of a cold rain it was a slightly colder coating of slop. The temps busted a few degrees but I really don't see why anyone would complain, was going to be a raw day anyways. 48° with scattered showers (forecast) turned into about 5 hours of snow with temperatures mostly in the 30s. But then again, sometimes it's fun just to complain...takes the pressure off my work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 48° with scattered showers (forecast) turned into about 5 hours of snow with temperatures mostly in the 30s. But then again, sometimes it's fun just to complain...takes the pressure off my work! True Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Not a lot of certainy in the CLE AFD... except high bust potential with temps. No mention of the "storm" over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Low to mid 50s anyone? Chalk up another 50 degree day this winter. It's actually been a while officially, but sad to see 50s outnumbering 20s 2 to 1 this season. I swear when I checked the forecast this morning it said a high of 44, which seemed odd considering it didn't dip below 40 overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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