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CWG discussion of the October Ji/Euro Blizzard


usedtobe

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http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/how-likely-is-snow-saturday-in-the-dc-metro-region/2011/10/25/gIQAXM6HGM_blog.html#pagebreak

What I didn't say is that even the Euro seems to keep the 500h vort tack a little north of DC. That's usually not good for a big snow even in the suburbs to our west.

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Appreciate the read, Wes.

maybe JI pulls an upset this ttime??whistle.gif

Has that ever happened? Ji vs. Wes?

Last season made clear that the 'general' rules will win out so much more often than not that it's not practical to take what the model consensus is printing out vebatim-

1) 500mb low north of us is bad news

---- and if you're wishing for an 8" event, 850mb low north of us is bad news

2) Being near the southern edge of heavier model-depicted precip doesn't work out

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