TheTrials Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Looks like its snowing in White Plains at 54 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 Early clown maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Hey I just wanted to drop in and see that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Eathlight does well, as usual. Congrats. Here is MMU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 Hey I just wanted to drop in and see that map. how many weenie fantasy inches does it give you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Bring this a bit further west and we'll also see a decent wind event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Still seems like a non-event queens and east...oh well, enjoy boys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Raleigh snow clown maps show 7"-10" of snow for Philly. 2"-4" for NYC and 4"-7" for west of NYC. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/12zgfssnow072.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Still seems like a non-event queens and east...oh well, enjoy boys! What makes you say this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 better dynamics closer to NYC could make a difference but GFS doesn't cool the surface quite enough, almost. Big hit for October 31st earthlight, forky, doug. Picking up where you guys left off last year. Expect lots of pictures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Clown precip maps show the snow line into NYC at hour 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Clown precip maps show the snow line into NYC at hour 54. that's pretty close given the soundings, its def. snowing white plains at 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 Clown precip maps show the snow line into NYC at hour 54. Lol at those video game graphics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Lol at those video game graphics Your twisterdata map that decided that LI has sunk into the Atlantic isn't much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Lol at those video game graphics You pumped? Look at the MMU sounding. Buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Yeah, rain snow line slides east during the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Earthlight, we get 8 fantasy inches. Find your nearest hill and climb a tree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 What makes you say this? Every map almost has the snow line at nyc, being 5 miles or so east of the queens line, im not very optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 Your twisterdata map that decided that LI has sunk into the Atlantic isn't much better. roasted. well played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 You pumped? Look at the MMU sounding. Buried. hey, what about me.. I'm in this dumb snowhole in Rockland since Jan 96. I need some lovin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Anyone think this boundary layer issue is being overplayed on the models? GFS has huge snows in very low elevations but are away from the coast but almost nothing on the island where some spots are between 300 and up to 400 feet high. We see this showing up in storms in the dead of winter too. If the winds are howling out of a northerly or northeasterly direction I don't see how low lying inland areas get any more snow than coastal areas with a similar elevation. That is if it snows at all. With that said this storm has to seriously move out of the day time. It's basically the only thing the models aren't showing perfectly at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Anyone think this boundary layer issue is being overplayed on the models? GFS has huge snows in very low elevations but are away from the coast but almost nothing on the island where some spots are between 300 and up to 400 feet high. We see this showing up in storms in the dead of winter too. If the winds are howling out of a northerly or northeasterly direction I don't see how low lying inland areas get any more snow than coastal areas with a similar elevation. That is if it snows at all. With that said this storm has to seriously move out of the day time. It's basically the only thing the models aren't showing perfectly at this point. Sun angle is pretty low at this time of year..if it snows hard it will accumulate..sun angle is near early Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Anyone think this boundary layer issue is being overplayed on the models? GFS has huge snows in very low elevations but are away from the coast but almost nothing on the island where some spots are between 300 and up to 400 feet high. We see this showing up in storms in the dead of winter too. If the winds are howling out of a northerly or northeasterly direction I don't see how low lying inland areas get any more snow than coastal areas with a similar elevation. That is if it snows at all. With that said this storm has to seriously move out of the day time. It's basically the only thing the models aren't showing perfectly at this point. theres not one spot on the island at 400, the highest is jayne's hill in south huntington at like 399, but there are maybe 3-4 hills over 300, the majority of the north shore is between 125 and 225, which makes just about no difference...and a northeast wind blows across the lukewarm long island sound...which in marginal situations, makes a huge difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Anyone think this boundary layer issue is being overplayed on the models? GFS has huge snows in very low elevations but are away from the coast but almost nothing on the island where some spots are between 300 and up to 400 feet high. We see this showing up in storms in the dead of winter too. If the winds are howling out of a northerly or northeasterly direction I don't see how low lying inland areas get any more snow than coastal areas with a similar elevation. That is if it snows at all. With that said this storm has to seriously move out of the day time. It's basically the only thing the models aren't showing perfectly at this point. Yes. 100%. If its heavy snow in Newark under the CCB, 100% its heavy snow for all of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Bill Evans just showed on his "futurecast" on Channel 7 the coastal storm just barely brushing the south shore of LI on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 The GFS forecast sounding shows NYC down to 35 degrees by Saturday evening with snow falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Bill Evans just showed on his "futurecast" on Channel 7 the coastal storm just barely brushing the south shore of LI on Saturday. HAHA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Bill Evans just showed on his "futurecast" on Channel 7 the coastal storm just barely brushing the south shore of LI on Saturday. What a joke--always a day late and a dollar short. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 12z UKIE precip maps still show heavy precip near NYC and on the coastal Jersey shore. Hours 54-60, looks like close to 20mm fell alone. Cant see hours 60-66, but the UKIE is a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 UKIE looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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