ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Euro is still north and fairly warm like last night's 00z run. Not very good for south of the MA border with VT/NH. It still does have a nice little burst of snow at the end, but its not as long duration as the other guidance thus far at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Euro looks similar to me from 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 lol i miss that show Come on... euro! Big Money, no Whammies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Euro is still north and fairly warm like last night's 00z run. Not very good for south of the MA border with VT/NH. It still does have a nice little burst of snow at the end, but its not as long duration as the other guidance thus far at 12z. Yeah nothing special. Flurries for Mt. Tolland... while Mt Socks gets a slushy 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I tell you what ... as a side note to all this, I am less concerned on October 25th whether snow is confirmed or not; the fact that we can ligitimately discuss a potential at this time of year may just be a good sign. We just did this in '09 in October... That said, it seems since 2000 there have been a few Octobers and Mays that had snow scenarios - regradless of intensity. More so than I recall prior to 2000. Obviously thinking back there are glory bombs in May, ...circa 1977 et al. But by and large, the majority of our transition seasons don't carry with them these very late and very early snows prior to 2000, but has happened enough since that it is no longer shocking ... Seems there is about a 3 year periodicity there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Euro is still north and fairly warm like last night's 00z run. Not very good for south of the MA border with VT/NH. It still does have a nice little burst of snow at the end, but its not as long duration as the other guidance thus far at 12z. how does it look for VT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Yeah nothing special. Flurries for Mt. Tolland... while Mt Socks gets a slushy 1-3 It hardly gets any of that southern vorticity infused into it, so it stays pretty far north...the vortmax tracks N of the PA/NY border...no good for anything big. The other 12z guidance had the vortmax along or south of the NY/PA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Euro might be tough south of the Pike near the CT border for more than flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 how does it look for VT? Its decent for the central/southern greens. Maybe 2-4"..could be a bit more in the higher peaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Euro is still north and fairly warm like last night's 00z run. Not very good for south of the MA border with VT/NH. It still does have a nice little burst of snow at the end, but its not as long duration as the other guidance thus far at 12z. That blows...hopefully storm 2 pans out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I said yesterday, I'd rather have my eggs in storm 1's basket, The Euro pretty much by itself with storm 2 I typically go with the "bird in the hand" approach. Or at least the one that's within 48 hours out rather than the one that's 84 hours out.. 50.8/34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Euro might be tough south of the Pike near the CT border for more than flakes. The Euro type scenario is exactly why I wouldn't forecast more than 1-3" right now for northern hills/GC...and more than an inch here. Obviously it could come in a shade colder before we get to this event,. but there's a lot of ways that we won't see that much from this system...the Euro solution is one of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Looks like its going to go nuclear with storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 The Euro type scenario is exactly why I wouldn't forecast more than 1-3" right now for northern hills/GC...and more than an inch here. Obviously it could come in a shade colder before we get to this event,. but there's a lot of ways that we won't see that much from this system...the Euro solution is one of them. I need a few min for the euro maps, but yeah there is a big DS coming in from the WSW right when the cold air comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 That blows...hopefully storm 2 pans out The 00z Euro wasn't great either. The problem has been for most areas outside of areas that can reasonably expect snow in late October (near 1500 or 2kft in the Berks or srn Greens) is that we're relying on an overrunning event and an open wave with enough lingering frontogenesis and a burst of QG forcing to do the trick. If the low was closing off underneath us and we were talking about a burst of northerly ageostrophic 25 knots in the boundary layer I'd be a lot more excited. Instead as usual we have the NAM developing too much vertical motion and cooling things too fast. So, yeah, Socks and adjacent northern ORH county could get a couple inches of slop but in the grand scheme of things it's not such a rare event. 2 or 3" in Mt Tolland and into the valleys around CT and Mass would be something much more unusual and exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Lol, its going to have another bomb for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Looks like its going to go nuclear with storm 2 go on....hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Looks like its going to go nuclear with storm 2 Indeed. Maybe too nuclear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Looks like its going to go nuclear with storm 2 Radioactive rain? Can't really look at much here at work. I hate our network... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 If the euro screws us im gonna pull the plug on the bow power station and put all u in the dark haha all of me and snow bow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 wow euro looks like its going to bury alot of people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Euro might be tough south of the Pike near the CT border for more than flakes. I'll be happy with some flakes flying around on Oct.27th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Euro is going to be a monster snowstorm for Litchfield County and Berks through ORH Hills and Monadnocks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I typically go with the "bird in the hand" approach. Or at least the one that's within 48 hours out rather than the one that's 84 hours out.. 50.8/34 Wise very wise! I agree totally, too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 LOL, wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Wow... easy foot for BDL lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 biggest snowstorm of the year in october lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 12"+ for interior hills? lol It has 55F near ACK at the sfc and 30-32F over the hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 does the 12z EURO effect central and northern VT or is it too far southeast with storm 2...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 does the 12z EURO effect central and northern VT or is it too far southeast with storm 2...? It fringes C VT with maybe 1-3/2-4"...whiffs N VT except maybe some snow showers/flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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