CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 If anyone is talking about toaster baths in October, there may be serious underlying issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 If anyone is talking about toaster baths in October, there may be serious underlying issues. lol no kidding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 may have been a too generous for NWCT, but they seem to do good in these climo favored situations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 If anyone is talking about toaster baths in October, there may be serious underlying issues. We shouldnt even be discussing snow down here for another month, I'm obviously joking.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 may have been a too generous for NWCT, but they seem to do good in these climo favored situations Nicely done. Maybe go a hair north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Nicely done. Maybe go a hair north? We'll see what the GFS has to say about that. I guess we're getting pretty close to being able to lock in a solution. Also, curious to see what it might say about Saturday. 48.8/36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 If anyone is talking about toaster baths in October, there may be serious underlying issues. Right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 If anyone is talking about toaster baths in October, there may be serious underlying issues. Winter's over already. Everyone got shut-out this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 GFS may be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 12z GFS is much slower than 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 GFS may be good. for storm 1 or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 may have been a too generous for NWCT, but they seem to do good in these climo favored situations I can usually tell where a poster is from based on their snowfall map. And you/yours is no exception. And that's fine, because you rightly focus on your region of interest. But as I've lived in Boston, Albany, and NYC, I have a residual interest in areas that span the entirely of your map. If Poughkeepsie, NY gets more than a dusting of snow, there's a good likelihood that the higher elevations of the Catskills will get a good hit. The 12z NAM prints out 1+ liquid from nearly BGM, NY to southern VT. And it's pretty cold. BGM airport is at 1600ft and the Catskills have a few 4k peaks. The southern Dacks, Saratoga region, and even Capital District could get involved (especially if the NAM is even close to right). At least that's what I would be thinking if I expected widespread accumulating snow in almost all of MA, and southern VT/NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I was thinking the same thing Scott! I like the trend so far today: slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 may have been a too generous for NWCT, but they seem to do good in these climo favored situations They clearly don't forecast for me, but if I get 2-4", there'll be calls to police about some man doing naked handsprings down Rt. 117. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 12z GFS is much slower than 00z. I was thinking the same thing Scott! I like the trend so far today: slower Yeah slower and maybe juiced up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 N MA/Monadnocks/S VT get crushed this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 N MA/Monadnocks/S VT get crushed this run. Wow yeah. CT won't be getting their first flurries from the GFS but boy places north of the Pike especially up toward MPM get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 The only thing is that is still seems to want to dry us out pretty quick as the cold air comes....esp near and south of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Little more precip up this way on the GFS as it tracks the low a little closer by going over the Southern tip of Nova Scotia whereas the Nam takes it further south of there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Rina hits SW FL too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 The only thing is that is still seems to want to dry us out pretty quick as the cold air comes....esp near and south of the Pike. Yeah I was going to say along and south of the Pike get squat this run... maybe a bit better out your way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 The only thing is that is still seems to want to dry us out pretty quick as the cold air comes....esp near and south of the Pike. Tight gradient this run...but man, they get nailed pretty good around Rt 2 and northward. Ashburnham gets 5-6" while I maybe an inch, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 N MA/Monadnocks/S VT get crushed this run. You are walking the line. Weenie ridge could be ripping for a while, as you rain...but you look to change over too to a period of SN. But wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Even up here in the NEK we squeeze out 2-4" on that run...southern VT gets 6-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Yeah I was going to say along and south of the Pike get squat this run... maybe a bit better out your way. Tight gradient this run...but man, they get nailed pretty good around Rt 2 and northward. Ashburnham gets 5-6" while I maybe an inch, lol. Yeah real tight gradient. Look at that 850 low too. Check out that thermal gradient. Someone is having one heck of an isothermal layer..lol. Melting snow actually helps cool the column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Rina hits SW FL too 20th anniversary of the perfect storm coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Tight gradient this run...but man, they get nailed pretty good around Rt 2 and northward. Ashburnham gets 5-6" while I maybe an inch, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Quick look at hr 90 on the GFS, 500mb and 300mb look really interesting for possible storm #2. Much sharper than previous runs. Maybe similar to Euro depictions. Haven't done a side by side to check. Lower elevations have a better chance - in my opinion - with deeper cold pool aloft and more dynamic storm. I'd want to be 1500ft and up with the overrunning scenario of storm #1 - at least in Oct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 At least there is a storm 2 on the 12z GFS even though it is surpressed out to the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Storm #1 kind of reminds me of an early/mid November accumulating snowfall in 2004. Anybody remember that? Got 5" in Dorchester. Mid-levels were cold but most people doubted the boundary level cooling potential. Ended up snowing right to the ocean, 31F, accumulations of all surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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