dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 That is quite a shift south on the 18z Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I guess i don't understand you always rooting against me getting snow...I mean I'm psyched and pulling for as many of us on here as possible to pull some accumulating snow out of these 2 events. as much as most of us love snow..I would think that would be how peoplereact...You always look for ways for me not to get any I sense a breakdown like yesterday coming on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 18z NAM is going to be really good for at least MA...possibly even a chunk of CT too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Indeed, much better than 09z Intresting, looks like the qpf output from those and the ETA you posted make this pretty meh for VT/NH. Anymore shifting and I'm going to be starting to b**ch about my qpf! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I guess i don't understand you always rooting against me getting snow...I mean I'm psyched and pulling for as many of us on here as possible to pull some accumulating snow out of these 2 events. as much as most of us love snow..I would think that would be how peoplereact...You always look for ways for me not to get any Too bad Thursday wasn't your birthday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I guess i don't understand you always rooting against me getting snow...I mean I'm psyched and pulling for as many of us on here as possible to pull some accumulating snow out of these 2 events. as much as most of us love snow..I would think that would be how peoplereact...You always look for ways for me not to get any Most people are, Kevin. Except for those meanies who are suggesting that Ray might get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Kevin may get his wish on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Closed 850 low over SW CT at 54 hours...this is really juiced up...going to put out a lot of snow for some. Too bad its the NAM, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 WOW! NAM is much slower. Bulk of precip still to the west at 00z. Getting closer to a nighttime event Also, 700mb trough is much sharper ... closer to closing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Closed 850 low over SW CT at 54 hours...this is really juiced up...going to put out a lot of snow for some. Too bad its the NAM, lol It goes nuts at hr 57. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 This NAM run really elongates and delays the surface low back toward the approaching mid-level wave. This produces more precip - probably snow - back to the west into Pa, NY, and finally CT. Thus enabling the frontal boundary to sag south before all the moisture has left. Possibly good for lower elevations further south, not so good for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Lol leaves swept off driveway, snow blower oil changed, siliconed, and tested. All systems go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Intresting, looks like the qpf output from those and the ETA you posted make this pretty meh for VT/NH. Anymore shifting and I'm going to be starting to b**ch about my qpf! Mike I think you will do quite well on the 1st system. I am a bit more confident in who will get and where the snow will accumulate. In general AOA 1200 feet areas Catskills, Bergs, Cntl Taconics and Berkshires in the running for 2-4 " lollies 6-8 highest peaks these locations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 It goes nuts at hr 57. Good grief. That is going to end up dumping like 10" of snow here on this run. It seems the 18z NAM always has way more weenie runs than any other model or time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Kevin not tOssing the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Socksageddon cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 This NAM run really elongates and delays the surface low back toward the approaching mid-level wave. This produces more precip - probably snow - back to the west into Pa, NY, and finally CT. Thus enabling the frontal boundary to sag south before all the moisture has left. Possibly good for lower elevations further south, not so good for NNE. 100% correct, I get a cirrus deck to look at.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Socksageddon cancel El no congrato this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 This NAM run really elongates and delays the surface low back toward the approaching mid-level wave. This produces more precip - probably snow - back to the west into Pa, NY, and finally CT. Thus enabling the frontal boundary to sag south before all the moisture has left. Possibly good for lower elevations further south, not so good for NNE. Looks similar to today's EC 48 hour prog. I don't like when the lows stretch; with these scenarios UVM is not strong and often times the NWP's OVER predict the UVM in these type scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Kevin not tOssing the NAM? I'm taking middle of all the models ground solution..1-2 inches 3 if things break right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Schweet! Thursday Night Snow Likely Lo 26 °F We'll need to see that icon shift into Thursday daytime in order to exceed expectations. 51.8/34 There it is. 50.7/33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Socksageddon cancel He still probably gets the most this run since he doesn't have to waste time cooling the column...It probably gives our areas 6-8 (you near the higher end) and he probably gets 10, lol. But there is a pretty good cutoff to his north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Only issue (for me anyway), is that the slower the low, the more separation between the departing storm, with higher pressures to the northeast, suppressing the northern edge of the precip. Actually would probably be decent deformation enhancement across S NH and N MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Pretty nice run for almost all of SNE. Looks like even the surface gets pretty cold well down into CT with significant precip still falling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 It goes nuts at hr 57. Its because it is nuts....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Well, that was interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Its because it is nuts....lol Silly really... Every now and then a squirrel finds a nut though This will not be one of those times. Kevin is actually right on about this I think. Middle of the road 1-2" of slop We skipped autumn this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 100% correct, I get a cirrus deck to look at.. Did anyone see wbz bostons forecast??NNE gets 6-12"...wtfff are they on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Lol leaves swept off driveway, snow blower oil changed, siliconed, and tested. All systems go. Ha, I just got a cord of wood delivered yesterday, sitting in the driveway; guess I am going to have some long evenings this week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 He still probably gets the most this run since he doesn't have to waste time cooling the column...It probably gives our areas 6-8 (you near the higher end) and he probably gets 10, lol. But there is a pretty good cutoff to his north. Uncomfortably close...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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