snowNH Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Unconfirmed sources confirm 12z ukie for Saturday storm is like the gfs only a Tad south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 What is a SWFE and what do you mean we stay SW? If you don't have time to answer since we are tracking a storm, no big deal but figured I would ask...thanks. Southwest flow event.. storms travels to our NW but develops a boundary low to keep cold air in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 The ensembles go over the BM as somewhat of a weaker version of the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Yeah I think that is fair to say. I feel pretty good for at least flakes from you on north and could very well be some accumulation.I think we should have an idea one way or another with the euro coming in. I guess I would just like to see that first system a little more to the south, but verbatim you would still flip to snow at the end. If the euro nudges north, then it might be just more flakes instead of some sort of an accumulation for your area. I'm about 50/50 on measurable for here...maybe slightly more. Only takes 0.1" for measurable. I'd feel a lot better up where Socks is though up in Rindge, NH. I'm def impressed at how quickly things cool as the storm is trying to exit stage right...the vortmax track argues for good moisture hanging back in the cold sector, so there's def some potential. Even the CP could flip over for a time if it pans out right. The timing does look pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 The ensembles go over the BM as somewhat of a weaker version of the op. For Thurs or sat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Southwest flow event.. storms travels to our NW but develops a boundary low to keep cold air in Cool thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 For Thurs or sat? Thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 For Thurs or sat? Thurs, Saturdays a whiff for the most part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I'm about 50/50 on measurable for here...maybe slightly more. Only takes 0.1" for measurable. I'd feel a lot better up where Socks is though. I'm def impressed at how quickly things cool as the storm is trying to exit stage right...the vortmax track argues for good moisture hanging back in the cold sector, so there's def some potential. Even the CP could flip over for a time if it pans out right. The timing does look pretty good. Socks looks pretty good for sure. Hopefully you do get measurable. I'm just hoping for some flakes, but that's certainly not a given by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 This is a "fantasy" storm. It is a stretch to call it a "real threat." It is irresponsible to be tossing out 7-8 inches of snow...IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Thurs, Saturdays a whiff for the most part For now, but not come Saturday... :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 This is a "fantasy" storm. It is a stretch to call it a "real threat." It is irresponsible to be tossing out 7-8 inches of snow...IMHO. The Thursday storm is 2.5 days out lol.. if your talking about the Saturday storm, its a little better than fantasy now.. No one said 7-8 inches either besides what the NAM gave people verbatim and I hope you were reading Kevin's post for a legit forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 12z NOGAPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 For now, but not come Saturday... :snowman: True, I like it being east right now, Just giving the emsembles verbatium, And it looks a little east of the op.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 12z NOGAPS snowicane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Will this new poster SNO be allowed to continually troll our thread like Kush was allowed to do during Irene? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 This is a "fantasy" storm. It is a stretch to call it a "real threat." It is irresponsible to be tossing out 7-8 inches of snow...IMHO. I'm not sure I follow you. What storm are you talking about, the one on Thursday? Someone will pick up pretty good accumulations from that storm, make no mistake. We just don't know exactly where yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 12z NOGAPS Looks like I would get heavy wet snow at the end... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I think the source I use is typically delayed...does anyone have the 12z GEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Will this new poster SNO be allowed to continually troll our thread like Kush was allowed to do during Irene? Kevin's call yesterday for FTW.. bold call, but it looks like you may be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Unconfirmed sources confirm 12z ukie for Saturday storm is like the gfs only a Tad south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I'd feel pretty good for Socks. He could get both systems...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Kevin's call yesterday for FTW.. bold call, but it looks like you may be right More often than not, it pays to go balls to the wall when forecasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I'd feel pretty good for Socks. He could get both systems...lol. Sorry to go MBY but what about areas like MHT and CON? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I'd feel pretty good for Socks. He could get both systems...lol. Yeah I agree. If I lived in Will's area, Gods Country, into far NW CT I'd be interested in how this unfolds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 More often than not, it pays to go balls to the wall when forecasting I will never doubt your forecasts again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I'm supposed to go to Westminster West, VT on Saturday for my birthday party up at my friends cabin which is up around 1200' or so. The path to the cabin is incredibly step too and it's difficult to drive up there. Solid chance this could get cancelled b/c of snow up there. My friend will be upset as would I but I'd be more upset for missing out on the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Yeah I agree. If I lived in Will's area, Gods Country, into far NW CT I'd be interested in how this unfolds. For sure. Trip to weenie ridge possible Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 More often than not, it pays to go balls to the wall when forecasting So not true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 12z GGEM actually still whiffs us to the south on storm #1 Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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