weatherwiz Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 IDK without any blocking, nothing is really preventing this from being a coastal hugger Well the GFS develops a sharper trough with phasing taking place off the coast with the trough continuing to sharpen as the storm evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 White Halloween for some? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 swfe... the nam is always way too wet It also looks way to cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I'd rather just lock up the NAM and Euro...Socks 7-8", me 3-4" and Kevin a trace. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Cape trip for storm 2? Nope it will come west and we will be good to go...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Four words: Not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Four words: Not going to happen. helpful post, thanks for contributing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 White Halloween for some? When I was still in the city I remember snow sticking in Boston Halloween w/e. 2004 or 2005 maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Nope it will come west and we will be good to go...lol Yup, It took a pretty big shift that way at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Four words: Not going to happen. Have a steamer......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 helpful post, thanks for contributing. He's not even in this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Can someone link the WU maps for the Euro from the 2nd storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Seriously...the NAM/Euro combo would be an all-out historic October storm for this area! Even if they are a tad on the cold side...they still suggest highest elevations of of NY & SNE could really cash in. It's October...so gotta keep expectations in check...but still, it's nice to have the NAM & Euro together right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Seriously...the NAM/Euro combo would be an all-out historic October storm for this area! Even if they are a tad on the cold side...they still suggest highest elevations of of NY & SNE could really cash in. It's October...so gotta keep expectations in check...but still, it's nice to have the NAM & Euro together right now. How often have we been able to say that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Seriously...the NAM/Euro combo would be an all-out historic October storm for this area! Even if they are a tad on the cold side...they still suggest highest elevations of of NY & SNE could really cash in. It's October...so gotta keep expectations in check...but still, it's nice to have the NAM & Euro together right now. At least it is later in the month. Things are slightly better being near Halloween than in mid month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 First week of November or so looks quite active potentially with lots of s/w energy diving down from Canada in the active jet stream with some nice troughing here in the Northeast. Maybe we can get some clipper chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Can someone link the WU maps for the Euro from the 2nd storm? http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?zoom=4&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=1&mm.mdl=GFS&mm.type=SURPRE&mm.hour=0&mm.opa=100&mm.clk=0&hur=0&fire=0&tor=0&ndfd=0&pix=0&dir=0&ads=0&tfk=0&fodors=0&ski=0&ls=0&rad2=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Seriously...the NAM/Euro combo would be an all-out historic October storm for this area! Even if they are a tad on the cold side...they still suggest highest elevations of of NY & SNE could really cash in. It's October...so gotta keep expectations in check...but still, it's nice to have the NAM & Euro together right now. Yeah it's pretty remarkable. The timing seems just right for this type of storm in late October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 We need Ray to comment either.... A) I'm all set with a 1000' circle jerk over slop B I don't want to blow my load on two storms in late October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Seriously...the NAM/Euro combo would be an all-out historic October storm for this area! Even if they are a tad on the cold side...they still suggest highest elevations of of NY & SNE could really cash in. It's October...so gotta keep expectations in check...but still, it's nice to have the NAM & Euro together right now. Did you move from Clinton? If so, thats sad...Im going to miss your expertise, neighbor! (Im from Westbrook, but am at school in VT) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 At least it is later in the month. Things are slightly better being near Halloween than in mid month Yeah every extra week helps. It will still be tough outside of elevations to get much accumulation I think unless we get a dynamical bomb in the 2nd storm (which is a long shot at this juncture anyway). The first system is definitely interesting for the high terrain in north-central MA/NW MA and Monadnocks of SW NH for SNE locations...we'll have to see if the Euro sticks with the 00z track or even slightly south. I'm getting pretty confident that most of the interior high terrain will at least see some snow out of this, but not very confident if it will accumulate or just be a cold rain that ends as flakes if we end up with a slightly too far north track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 swfe... the nam is always way too wet Not quite. We begin to close off a mid level low as the thing slides underneath us so you're able to crank frontogenesis on the NW side. The NAM gets cold once the northerly ageostrophic flow cranks in the boundary layer with a sfc low developing south of Long Island. Definitely different from a classic SWFE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Yeah every extra week helps. It will still be tough outside of elevations to get much accumulation I think unless we get a dynamical bomb in the 2nd storm (which is a long shot at this juncture anyway). The first system is definitely interesting for the high terrain in north-central MA/NW MA and Monadnocks of SW NH for SNE locations...we'll have to see if the Euro sticks with the 00z track or even slightly south. I'm getting pretty confident that most of the interior high terrain will at least see some snow out of this, but not very confident if it will accumulate or just be a cold rain that ends as flakes if we end up with a slightly too far north track. Yeah I think that is fair to say. I feel pretty good for at least flakes from you on north and could very well be some accumulation.I think we should have an idea one way or another with the euro coming in. I guess I would just like to see that first system a little more to the south, but verbatim you would still flip to snow at the end. If the euro nudges north, then it might be just more flakes instead of some sort of an accumulation for your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Didn't 1989-1990 feature some late October and November snowfall events? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Not quite. We begin to close off a mid level low as the thing slides underneath us so you're able to crank frontogenesis on the NW side. The NAM gets cold once the northerly ageostrophic flow cranks in the boundary layer with a sfc low developing south of Long Island. Definitely different from a classic SWFE. Yeah sort of a SWFE/Anafrontal storm hybrid...we stay SW at 5h but we close off the mid-levels and 5h keeps crashing SE despite the SW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Not quite. We begin to close off a mid level low as the thing slides underneath us so you're able to crank frontogenesis on the NW side. The NAM gets cold once the northerly ageostrophic flow cranks in the boundary layer with a sfc low developing south of Long Island. Definitely different from a classic SWFE. Great post, hardly a SWFE with that strong ageo flow crashing the boundary. Looks like a high elevation above 1125 feet event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Yeah sort of a SWFE/Anafrontal storm hybrid...we stay SW at 5h but we close off the mid-levels and 5h keeps crashing SE despite the SW flow. Yeah it starts off SWFE with a thump of warm advection but when things start to cool we flip from a SWFE to a cold conveyorbelt type of setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Did you move from Clinton? If so, thats sad...Im going to miss your expertise, neighbor! (Im from Westbrook, but am at school in VT) Yeah...moved over the summer. Still have a house to sell though, so that aspect sucks But on the plus side...if I were still in Clinton I could already write this storm off...so it's nice to still have a legitimate shot at first flakes this week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Yeah...moved over the summer. Still have a house to sell though, so that aspect sucks But on the plus side...if I were still in Clinton I could already write this storm off...so it's nice to still have a legitimate shot at first flakes this week! True! Did you get a private sector job up there?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Yeah sort of a SWFE/Anafrontal storm hybrid...we stay SW at 5h but we close off the mid-levels and 5h keeps crashing SE despite the SW flow. What is a SWFE and what do you mean we stay SW? If you don't have time to answer since we are tracking a storm, no big deal but figured I would ask...thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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