MaineJayhawk Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Hopefully the 12z gfs latches on to the second storm today...otherwise if the euro shows it again and the gfs doesn't we toss the GFS in favor of the snowier and usually more reliable Euro.... They've been teaching you well down there in Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I''ll move it further than the 400' it already is. Kevin insists my readings are low--lol lol, Yeah, Thats funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I''ll move it further than the 400' it already is. Kevin insists my readings are low--lol Too close to a volcano caldera?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 That brings a smile to my face. Of course, 40% probabiliyy is a 60% likelihood that it will be less than 4". I'd say that 'coin-flip' (with a little weight to the lower) approach is fair enough at this point in time when small adjustments will have great impacts. With regard to the weekend, there will be some significant adjustments from the GFS to show any love. Are there specific elements we should look to wrt how Thursday/night play out that should impact the storm/no-storm situation for Saturday? TIA. 45.8/40 nope....it says "greater than 40% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 They've been teaching you well down there in Mass. I think it would work the same if the GFS had it and the Euro did not, We would still toss the GFS......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 They've been teaching you well down there in Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Too close to a volcano caldera?? On top of a methane gas source, (Leaf Pile) this am.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I should have had another option in my "leaf clearing practices poll" that said "I wait for the October snows to hide them". 46.2/40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I should have had another option in my "leaf clearing practices poll" that said "I wait for the October snows to hide them". 46.2/40 Actually, They should remove easier with the snowblower... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 nope....it says "greater than 40% Nope. It reads: "MDT: AT LEAST 40% PROB" Lower right corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 What a weenie solution on the euro op for this weekend. I just don't buy it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 What a weenie solution on the euro op for this weekend. I just don't buy it yet. SnowNH ran the Euro in his basement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 What a weenie solution on the euro op for this weekend. I just don't buy it yet. Thing about the euro is that its not like its HR 168 were only 4.5 days away right now.. I think people aren't honking yet is because it's 10/25/11 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Bob started a new thread....Part 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Again don't agree..and I think some of the other hilltown CT posters would agree with me I'm not one to chime in on internal quarrels, but I can say that along the Rte 190 from Union eastward to the valley floor in Somers is definately just past peak. If you were to draw a bell curve of color, we're on the downward slide. In fact, there are some areas (not swamps or bogs) that pretty close to being bare. I can't speak for Tolland as I have only travelled through the northern portion of the NE Hills recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I'm not one to chime in on internal quarrels, but I can say that along the Rte 190 from Union eastward to the valley floor in Somers is definately just past peak. If you were to draw a bell curve of color, we're on the downward slide. In fact, there are some areas (not swamps or bogs) that pretty close to being bare. I can't speak for Tolland as I have only travelled through the northern portion of the NE Hills recently. Only a select few know where Tolland is, and fewer still have been able to traverse its rugged terrain. Oh, wait a minute--that's on the road from Hartford to Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Ahem--lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Ahem--lol. Hvy hvy QPF, Mike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Hvy hvy QPF, Mike. Yup. Unfortuatnley, my left nut the flip brings us 3". I think Scot fell asleep typing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I'm not one to chime in on internal quarrels, but I can say that along the Rte 190 from Union eastward to the valley floor in Somers is definately just past peak. If you were to draw a bell curve of color, we're on the downward slide. In fact, there are some areas (not swamps or bogs) that pretty close to being bare. There are certain areas around here that are well past peak and others that have peaked recently but like you said it is all on the downward side of it for sure. I can't speak for Tolland as I have only travelled through the northern portion of the NE Hills recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Thing about the euro is that its not like its HR 168 were only 4.5 days away right now.. I think people aren't honking yet is because it's 10/25/11 lol Even if it showed a low like that last month, I don't know if I buy it actually occurring. That's all I meant. It's good to have the euro op and ensembles (ensembles are east of the op) so it certainly is possible. Those are decent tools to have 5 days out, but the pattern is very fluid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 GFS actually flips to snow right to the 95 corridor on Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 GFS actually flips to snow right to the 95 corridor on Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 MPM might also be one of our SNE people that do well too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 If nothing else, I want to see SOS on the beaches of Westerly filling sandbags, this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 GFS actually flips to snow right to the 95 corridor on Thursday night. Yeah GFS looks better in E Mass than it does in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 GFS actually flips to snow right to the 95 corridor on Thursday night. There seems very little doubt that most places are going to flip to snow. The questions remain around how early and how much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 There seems very little doubt that most places are going to flip to snow. The questions remain around how early and how much GFS BUFKIT soundings show little if any snow for us. NAM also has big time snow growth concerns south of the Pike even once the column cools below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 GFS BUFKIT soundings show little if any snow for us. NAM also has big time snow growth concerns south of the Pike even once the column cools below freezing. I just think you're looking a bit too deep into this. As of right now the GFS really shouldn't be used for anything. Maybe we just get a slushy dusting..Still will be fun I'm just hoping the Sunday storm is for real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.