HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Those aren't too bad at all. I'd like to be Pete right now. I think if I had to pick one spot for 3"+, it would be there. Maybe near socks as well. SW NH Seems like even a better bet than Pete for this system the way it looks right now. Looks to me like the Monads have the best shot at heavy precip and cold enough temps aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Should have been there 2 yrs ago! Lol we got 2" here but yeah, my brother was rubbing it in during the Pats game. Do the srefs move a lot from this point on? Not a bad start. Can only get worsd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Taking the bait. You obviously know nothing about me. LOL, you da man Brian, you should have your first entry of the 11-12 season by this W/E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Lol we got 2" here but yeah, my brother was rubbing it in during the Pats game. Do the srefs move a lot from this point on? Not a bad start. Can only get worsd They can shift within 72 hrs for sure, but they aren't totally useless right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Forgot Tip, going as a Met with a shirt that says trust me.... Pretty sure it's a lock someone in our core group sees snow. Good stuff. Good shat right there ginx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 They can shift within 72 hrs for sure, but they aren't totally useless right now. For QPF, they have the 2nd best score behind the OP Euro in this time range at 72h. So where you see the cutoff on these, it might be fairly accurate. It doesn't tell us much about temps obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Rindge has both latitude and elevation on MPM...he loses a slight bit on longititude, but I don't think that will make up for the other two. They could be close. It might just come down to who gets luckier on a little mesoband of heavier precip which always helps in October. They also seem to do better in both coastal bombs and swfe with the heavier preicip and qpf. Is that just because of the topography? The Ct Valley gets much tighter up this way and then the SW NH mountains give good upsloping to towns like Rindge, Fitzwilliam, Sullivan etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Rindge has both latitude and elevation on MPM...he loses a slight bit on longititude, but I don't think that will make up for the other two. They could be close. It might just come down to who gets luckier on a little mesoband of heavier precip which always helps in October. Ahh you are wise, haha. The slight latitude would definitely beat out the longitude. Forgot he was slightly further north. I figured you'd want to be just a bit back to the west towards southern VT (the cold just seems to get into that northeast slope area quickly and easily)... but the extra 300-400ft (1-2F) would trump that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 They also seem to do better in both coastal bombs and swfe with the heavier preicip and qpf. Is that just because of the topography? The Ct Valley gets much tighter up this way and then the SW NH mountains give good upsloping to towns like Rindge, Fitzwilliam, Sullivan etc. I know this isn't on topic for this storm... but with 35 pages or so of posts, I figure another 1 or 2 can't hurt... Who averages more snow? MPM or Rindge or Pete? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 NAM already warmer through 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 They also seem to do better in both coastal bombs and swfe with the heavier preicip and qpf. Is that just because of the topography? The Ct Valley gets much tighter up this way and then the SW NH mountains give good upsloping to towns like Rindge, Fitzwilliam, Sullivan etc. I wish we had more posters from that area. Swanzey, NH, Troy etc we have 1 from Templeton Ma, 1 from Royalston, 1 from Ashburnham, 1 fro Winchendon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I know this isn't on topic for this storm... but with 35 pages or so of posts, I figure another 1 or 2 can't hurt... Who averages more snow? MPM or Rindge or Pete? You had to ask? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I know this isn't on topic for this storm... but with 35 pages or so of posts, I figure another 1 or 2 can't hurt... Who averages more snow? MPM or Rindge or Pete? Without co-op stats etc to reference my best educated/ experienced guess is Pete, Rindge, MPM in descending order. That's from only 5 years of living out here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I think the Monadnocks are in decent shape, but we don't have a real arctic airmass with the relatively neutral EPO pattern and a vortex over the Canadian Archipelago. The storm needs to bring a sufficient amount of CAA, and to slow down with the deeper phasing so it occurs at night, as Will and I were discussing. I could see this basically being a slush event although I'm starting to think we're near guaranteed a coating at 1300' on the campus of Hampshire Country School. The second storm/weekend storm might have better potential in terms of cold air because we do get somewhat of a feed from the PV over the Northwest Territories. I am exhausted from working with special needs kids all day...don't think I can stay up. I was on homework duty tonight so after teaching a full day of school, I went into the dorms for 2 hours in order to help with assignments, and I also ran 5 miles before dinner. My body needs a nice long sleep, although I can barely rationalize going to bed at 10pm when I don't have to awake until 8:15am, seems sort of silly. I do realize though that my job requires a lot of rest. Welcome to the rest of your life.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I know this isn't on topic for this storm... but with 35 pages or so of posts, I figure another 1 or 2 can't hurt... Who averages more snow? MPM or Rindge or Pete? Rindge (1300+ feet), Pete, MPM...Rindge and Pete are close, but above 1300' at Rindge averages like 81" and I think Pete is more like 78". MPM is likely in the mid 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Rindge (1300+ feet), Pete, MPM...Rindge and Pete are close, but above 1300' at Rindge averages like 81" and I think Pete is more like 78". MPM is likely in the mid 70s. Really? I would seriously think more. My area is like 75-76" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 00z NAM will be interesting here in a few minutes. Thanks for the snowfall stats, guys. Does Pete beat MPM just based on elevation? I would've thought the one and a half counties northward would bring MPM over Pete. But Pete is 350ft higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I wish we had more posters from that area. Swanzey, NH, Troy etc we have 1 from Templeton Ma, 1 from Royalston, 1 from Ashburnham, 1 fro Winchendon I like modern day technology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Really? I would seriously think more. My area is like 75-76" It is. Pete could be closer to 80"...its hard to say for sure. The old Chesterfield coop had an average of 73" but I think it was a bit low. Worthington was similar, but I know they come in low. Anyways, this is OT, we shouldn't be going OT in the storm thread. I'm breaking my own rules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Rindge (1300+ feet), Pete, MPM...Rindge and Pete are close, but above 1300' at Rindge averages like 81" and I think Pete is more like 78". MPM is likely in the mid 70s. Pete's area does seem to make out with frequent 1-2" type fluff events. Sometimes the beneficiary of those little trains of moisture that somehow make it all the way from the NY Lake effect snows to the E. Slope of the Berks. I watch in amazement all winter long on the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Pete's area does seem to make out with frequent 1-2" type fluff events. Sometimes the beneficiary of those little trains of moisture that somehow make it all the way from the NY Lake effect snows to the E. Slope of the Berks. I watch in amazement all winter long on the radar. Those are cool to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Pete's area does seem to make out with frequent 1-2" type fluff events. Sometimes the beneficiary of those little trains of moisture that somehow make it all the way from the NY Lake effect snows to the E. Slope of the Berks. I watch in amazement all winter long on the radar. He is probably lined up perfectly with the Mohawk Valley in New York... bands like to set up down that valley and the moisture can make it to Pete because its not crossing and significant mountain barriers before the Berkshires. Anyway, my on-topic post... 00z NAM through 57 hours. H85s are a bit warmer: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Dat Nam is gonna be juicy tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 NAM has a ton of vorticity engulfed from the southern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Damn is the NAM warm through 60hr. Nice rainstorm for just about everyone at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 NAM is quite a bit warmer and a little more amped up. H85s that were near 0C over the Pike are now up from ALB to southern VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 NAM seems to have shifted the frozen stuff a bit further north, SNH/SVT, Albany North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 NAM has a ton of vorticity engulfed from the southern stream. Yeah look how strong that piece is. That will really pump up heights to the east, but the low might explode later on...wherever that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Oh well My toaster is ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Yeah Scott, it shoul dhave some good action on the back end because this setup will actually want to promote more CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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