WxUSAF Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 18z GFS ensemble mean is TOO wound up for us. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/18zgfsensemblep12048.gif Probably would end as snow. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/18zgfsensemblep12060.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 18z GFS ensemble mean is TOO wound up for us. http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12048.gif Probably would end as snow. http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12060.gif fwiw, they were always too far west last year (remember they were always our savior?) we have an early shot at seeing whether the same thing happens this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 18z GFS ensemble mean is TOO wound up for us. http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12048.gif Probably would end as snow. http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12060.gif I dunno if its too wound up... looks like snow at least to the BR and west at 48... changing over as you get to I-95. Too bad we can't see 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 18z GFS ensemble mean is TOO wound up for us. http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12048.gif Probably would end as snow. http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12060.gif we probably wanted to see today's runs tomorrow evening most likely. it would be fitting if the nw trend wins too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 18z GFS ensemble mean is TOO wound up for us. http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12048.gif Probably would end as snow. http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12060.gif Being objective to the situation, if you're someone who wants snow you take the positive that the storm is going to really deepen and bring its own cold air in, now all you want is a bit of a "re-correct" back to the east. Just for fun, I'll be staying up for the 00z's since the Caps-Oil game starts after 9:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I dunno if its too wound up... looks like snow at least to the BR and west at 48... changing over as you get to I-95. Too bad we can't see 54 Those maps are difficult to gauge since they are 12 hr precip. The 0c line does back up pretty far though it seems and of course that's not the rain snow line unless you're a few thousand feet in the air. For the lower elevations we really need perfection. So pray to the NAM god all evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Man oh man, can't wait until 0z. Hate these lulls in between runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Man oh man, can't wait until 0z. Hate these lulls in between runs. SREFs are still another hour away.... I am waiting for the 18z UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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