H2O Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 HOLY EURO BATMAN! 4-8" ON SATURDAY, IN OCTOBER?!!!!!!!!!! WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT Thanks for the update, mapjeb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Thanks for the update, mapjeb. You're welcome waterboi, I will be sure to rub it in your face when I see some flakes on Saturday and you do not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Gfs is decent but it's catching up. As usual jma has led the way LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 HOLY EURO BATMAN! 4-8" ON SATURDAY, IN OCTOBER?!!!!!!!!!! WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT Best post you've had in months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Best post you've had in months I try Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 It's not going to snow anywhere near the cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 i got blasted in the new England board for lamenting about how i wish this storm had happened a month from now and how we rarely get setups/tracks like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'd just like to say that reading the overnight discussion between ORH and Ian was really educationamable. It reinforced some of the stuff I think I've learned in the past couple years on the boards, and gave me some insight into other things I hadn't thought about/recognized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 It's not going to snow anywhere near the cities. I don't buy the accumulations yet but if it snows hard enough it will. Saying its not going to snow is a little bit close minded I have realized (just from looking at the current system looking to drop a couple inches on SNE). That UK frame certainly appears to be a CCB to me. It would no doubt be a freak occurrence but it appears we are in a pattern featuring abnormal cold storms for October. Last year in Maine it did not snow to any significance at my prep school until at least December. Looking at the EURO, it is the ultimate type of needle thread. But if it wraps up like that run, it can happen. I think its too early to dismiss the storm in this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Looks like the off run of the GFS has moved even more towards the Euro. For what it's worth, the 06 GFS Ensemble mean has critical thicknesses with heavy precip that would argue for snow in the air all the way into DC and Baltimore. I guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 i got blasted in the new England board for lamenting about how i wish this storm had happened a month from now and how we rarely get setups/tracks like this Probably because you were talking about the Mid-Atlantic in a New England thread. Multiple times. New Englanders would receive the same treatment if someone came into our region and started complaining about Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 The models certainly are looking better for snow, especially the Euro which really bombs out the low but even the 06Z GFS looks lik eit would give some snow especially to the northern Suburbs and Baltimore if taken verbatim. It's freezing level drops enough even the district might see flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 Probably because you were talking about the Mid-Atlantic in a New England thread. Multiple times. New Englanders would receive the same treatment if someone came into our region and started complaining about Boston. our thread was dead overnight but the new england board is active 24/7. Thats where the action was baby. Maybe if you stay up 24/7 like Will...i wouldnt have to post there:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Probably because you were talking about the Mid-Atlantic in a New England thread. Multiple times. New Englanders would receive the same treatment if someone came into our region and started complaining about Boston. But they don't have anything to complain about. We do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 The models certainly are looking better for snow, especially the Euro which really bombs out the low but even the 06Z GFS looks lik eit would give some snow especially to the northern Suburbs and Baltimore if taken verbatim. It's freezing level drops enough even the district might see flakes. Music to my ears - I know the Euro snowfall was well over done. Even if nothing sticks, I would be perfectly happy with just seeing flakes fall. I'm going to assume timing is early Saturday before it warms up and it is all rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 The models certainly are looking better for snow, especially the Euro which really bombs out the low but even the 06Z GFS looks lik eit would give some snow especially to the northern Suburbs and Baltimore if taken verbatim. It's freezing level drops enough even the district might see flakes. I'm looking at the maps on the euro and it looked like DC could flip at the end, but you go n&w to areas like Leesburg and it looked like a changeover could happen for maybe a few hours anyways. after 18z. They are in a good deformation area and the 925mb temps were near -1C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'm looking at the maps on the euro and it looked like DC could flip at the end, but you go n&w to areas like Leesburg and it looked like a changeover could happen for maybe a few hours anyways. after 18z. They are in a good deformation area and the 925mb temps were near -1C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I don't buy the accumulations yet but if it snows hard enough it will. Saying its not going to snow is a little bit close minded I have realized (just from looking at the current system looking to drop a couple inches on SNE). That UK frame certainly appears to be a CCB to me. It would no doubt be a freak occurrence but it appears we are in a pattern featuring abnormal cold storms for October. Last year in Maine it did not snow to any significance at my prep school until at least December. Looking at the EURO, it is the ultimate type of needle thread. But if it wraps up like that run, it can happen. I think its too early to dismiss the storm in this pattern. You are in the MA now and not New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Starting from 12z. Temps are 925mb. Green is 850-500mb RH. Black are 500mb height lines. Red line is 1000-850mb critical thickness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 The 500mb on the GFS Mean is looking a lot better for dc and north. It drops the trough just south of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Nobody but me from the region has posted tonight. That's telling in so many ways;( But the destruction of Ian is fun to watch lol.. Now I know how DT felt with you. I didn't say there would be no storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Starting from 12z. Temps are 925mb. Green is 850-500mb RH. Black are 500mb height lines. Red line is 1000-850mb critical thickness. 15-18z has Leesburg solidly inside the red lines with plenty of green Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 You are in the MA now and not New England. One of the mid atlantic's most respected mets is saying some models are looking better for snow prospects a couple posts back.. But... you suggest runs should simply be completely disregarded because it would be anomalous... Give it a chance.. It's not impossible for it to snow this time of year in the MID ATLANTIC.. but it is very improbable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'm looking at the maps on the euro and it looked like DC could flip at the end, but you go n&w to areas like Leesburg and it looked like a changeover could happen for maybe a few hours anyways. after 18z. They are in a good deformation area and the 925mb temps were near -1C I wonder why the Euro clown maps on undergorund show so much snow given what you are showing. I only see the underground map or other free sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 fluffies in the sky vs. accumulations are different conversations....I hope people know that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I wonder why the Euro clown maps on undergorund show so much snow given what you are showing. I only see the underground map or other free sites. Will and I commented on how they look very weenie-ish. Maybe they are just run on a simple algorithm for snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 15-18z has Leesburg solidly inside the red lines with plenty of green Well the 1000-850 thickness line is a guidance. We are in late October so some really special set of circumstances needs to come together to get snow. But, I could see a mix or brief flip..esp above 500'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Will and I commented on how they look very weenie-ish. Maybe they are just run on a simple algorithm for snow? Too bad there is nothing published on the algorithm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 our thread was dead overnight but the new england board is active 24/7. Thats where the action was baby. Maybe if you stay up 24/7 like Will...i wouldnt have to post there:) Some of us have lives and need to sleep/work during certain hours. A rain/snow mix with some accumulation possible outside of the main cities is not something that requires 24/7 attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 i just want to see flakes...i dont care about accumulation right now. Its october..but seeing heavy snow fall would be really cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.