mappy Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 cold tropical rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 euro looks a bit more wrapped up than 0z.. similar placement of the low, but more precip with stronger sys.. temps near 40 the low is a good bit west from 0z @ hr. 78 vs. hr90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 .5" moved from about DC to about leesburg.. ne of RIC and everyone east of the bay 1"+ .. maybe some messy flakes in there with that look (temps actually verbatim in the 30s most of the day but probably close to 40) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Aviationdave : (26 October 2011 - 02:13 PM) [/url] <Ian> told you jackasses it wasnt going to snow here <Ian> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 cold tropical rain Vote leader right now Edit: no it ain't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 the low is a good bit west from 0z @ hr. 78 vs. hr90 yes, see post after that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 I'm more excited about that fact that this setup is happening. I don't really care if it snows or not. We need to pray that at least some (if not the majority) of 500mb vorts dig south of DC if we want shots of snow this winter (stating the obvious of course). Another thing I like is a stubborn SE ridge hasn't set up for quite a while during the months that count. We never really had one last year at all. Even once the switch flipped in Feb last year the pattern stayed pretty progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 .5" moved from about DC to about leesburg.. ne of RIC and everyone east of the bay 1"+ .. maybe some messy flakes in there with that look (temps actually verbatim in the 30s most of the day but probably close to 40) I just hope we get a few repeats of this in a month+, with all things staying climatologically (if that's a word!) equal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 .5" moved from about DC to about leesburg.. ne of RIC and everyone east of the bay 1"+ .. maybe some messy flakes in there with that look (temps actually verbatim in the 30s most of the day but probably close to 40) yea 10/29 12z has temps in the 30's I95 west 18z nice pocket of 30's ric -dc-phl still rain, but could be a deformed snowflake if you drive fast hitting the windshield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 I'm more excited about that fact that this setup is happening. I don't really care if it snows or not. Yeah, I think there's something to the idea of storm tracks getting established in the late fall, which I've heard some people refer to as "atmospheric memory". Really we're talking about where the baroclinic zones are being setup in the atmosphere. The Gulf Stream/E. Coast is a natural baroclinic zone, but you want cold air onshore for it to really crank. Hence we want to keep that SE ridge supressed, but not completely gone, while we get polar airmasses established to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 I just hope we get a few repeats of this in a month+, with all things staying climatologically (if that's a word!) equal yeah... a few weeks later and it's more interesting for sure. i wonder if DT has issued a new alert ***OMG MY FAVORITE MODEL IS SO WIN*** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 yea 10/2912z has temps in the 30's I95 west 18z nice pocket of 30's ric -dc-phl still rain, but could be a deformed snowflake if you drive fast hitting the windshield My favorite kind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Road trip? Im gonna spend the night after work there to see the rain and snow mixed at 7am Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Yeah, I think there's something to the idea of storm tracks getting established in the late fall, which I've heard some people refer to as "atmospheric memory". Really we're talking about where the baroclinic zones are being setup in the atmosphere. The Gulf Stream/E. Coast is a natural baroclinic zone, but you want cold air onshore for it to really crank. Hence we want to keep that SE ridge supressed, but not completely gone, while we get polar airmasses established to our north. Very well said and is pretty much spot on to what I'm thinking and/or hoping. Agree about the SE ridge too. We definitely don't want it completely gone or we end up dry and cold. I'll take a progressive UA pattern anyday. Series of troughs, vorts, and ridges works with me. Combine this with some extended -nao/ao stuff and we'll be able to ice skate on the ponds too. Conventional nina thinking would be the presistent trough west and ridge E and potentially a stubborn se ridge. The more time that goes by this fall without that happening keeps me pretty optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 i wonder if DT has issued a new alert ***OMG MY FAVORITE MODEL IS SO WIN*** He must still be fapping over it, because this post has been at the top of his page for the past 30mins: dont com back over tu Henry m. site no more! u flunked out of NEMAS years ago u ass clown! no, big fat cow! I was @ NEMAS an d i know! When your forecast is wron g, yu go and hide and call names!!!! NEMAS kicked u out!! Yo big weather hood ratt!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 If that low tucked in a bit more, I bet there would be some mix or maybe brief flip to snow under the best dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Yes, better figure out another way Crap. Driving is gonna be a pain in the azz...but I get to log the extra hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 If that low tucked in a bit more, I bet there would be some mix or maybe brief flip to snow under the best dynamics. Oh now you did it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 He must still be fapping over it, because this post has been at the top of his page for the past 30mins: lolz If that low tucked in a bit more, I bet there would be some mix or maybe brief flip to snow under the best dynamics. maybe.. it's still pretty far east as far as good tracks go here. plus if it comes west it might be a bit warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 26, 2011 Author Share Posted October 26, 2011 DT wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 26, 2011 Author Share Posted October 26, 2011 too bad its not dec..the entire event is 850 temps of -2 to -3...this would of been a nice clean 4-6 inch event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 DT wins How so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 26, 2011 Author Share Posted October 26, 2011 How so? he got us both banned and the euro is showing qualify precip again:)..i was being a bit sarcastic too you escort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 he got us both banned and the euro is showing qualify precip again:)..i was being a bit sarcastic too you escort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 he got us both banned and the euro is showing qualify precip again:)..i was being a bit sarcastic too you escort :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 DT wins im waiting for the time where he says the euro is wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 im waiting for the time where he says the euro is wrong Hell will freeze over first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 lol.. they link to wes's post.. he got national hype going--and didnt even say it would snow in dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 lol.. they link to wes's post.. he got national hype going--and didnt even say it would snow in dc. Wes is so hype he hypes without even trying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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