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the October snowstorm Ian Disaster its going to be a long winter thread


Ji

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i dunno... that map shows that the thicknesses are cold enough for it to LOOK LIKE snow. Even the 850-700 thickness hovers around 152 at 90. Yes, its October. yes 2M temps are in the 40s. But still, looks kinda cool.

You are falling into that trap of if you stare at it long enough you will also see unicorns and glitter too.

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lol in other news this morning, I made a comment to DT about how the Euro missed last night, he proceeded to call me an escort, moron and a cow.

Facebook is a good home for DT. A bunch if sycophants and hr can silence whoever he wants.

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DT sayz 0z EURO is GLITCh,s hifted east a bit, going to be SOEM variance, folks.

I donated, HAVE YOU?? I know things are tough for everyone, believe..I KNOW..but if you follow DT, and this site as I have and count on it, you should give alittle or ALOT...Thanks
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And the euro went back to the GFS from yesterday. All we have is a coastal rain. If any higher elev. squeeze out a flake then it is a bonus.

Yep that's pretty much it, the euro went to the GFS and the latter went towards the old Euro but not as amped or as cold. I'm not sure where the Releigh maps get their snow as the soundings for DC show the temps in the lowest 5000 ft above freezing. that's not a good snow profile and certainly not one that would give you an accumulation.

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btw Ian, Elliot in the Morning was talking about the CWG this morning and how you are calling for snow this weekend. He was getting excited, even referencing the Euro, until Diane corrected him that it was mainly a threat for the mountains west of the city.

Mention snow and everyone just focuses on that. I blame Wes!!

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It may be worth the drive to skyline depending on timing. I was planning on hiking on Sat with my son but that looks to be off the table. If I wake up early and there is snow on the webcams then it's probably worth it. Put on the ski gear and hike stoney man in the snow? Sounds like a good idea to me.

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but I get paid to hype, I'm just not good at it like mets (no names given)

Ha. Most tame hype ever. ;)

PostLocal was advertising it like "the s word is in the forecast!" ... People who read on were probably disappointed. :P

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Why do we want it to snow now? It won't stick unless we got a tremendously heavy snow rate. Then all the trees would be damaged. It won't last. I'd rather get the leaves down, get the ground cold, then bring on the snow.

Anyway, looks like the GFS is coming around. This reminds me of the Christmas snow. Seems like we are heading back toward the early Euro solutions (Midlo posted a snow map on Oct. 21 - 180 hours). I wonder if we end up back at that solution.

Whatever. I hope this is a good sign for the winter. I remember distictly that Halloween weekend was cold and snowy (at least on the west side of the Apps) in 1995.

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Why do we want it to snow now? It won't stick unless we got a tremendously heavy snow rate. Then all the trees would be damaged. It won't last. I'd rather get the leaves down, get the ground cold, then bring on the snow.

Anyway, looks like the GFS is coming around. This reminds me of the Christmas snow. Seems like we are heading back toward the early Euro solutions (Midlo posted a snow map on Oct. 21 - 180 hours). I wonder if we end up back at that solution.

Whatever. I hope this is a good sign for the winter. I remember distictly that Halloween weekend was cold and snowy (at least on the west side of the Apps) in 1995.

The GFS could easily be wrong. It bounces like any other model. It tricked us on boxing day after the euro finally bailed.

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Whatever. I hope this is a good sign for the winter. I remember distictly that Halloween weekend was cold and snowy (at least on the west side of the Apps) in 1995.

Halloween itself was actually above normal, but there was a strong cold snap following what appears to be a highly dynamic system in the Nov 4-10 range.

Looking at the temp anomaly maps... wow that was a highly-amplified (and progressive) pattern.

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Halloween itself was actually above normal, but there was a strong cold snap following what appears to be a highly dynamic system in the Nov 4-10 range.

Looking at the temp anomaly maps... wow that was a highly-amplified (and progressive) pattern.

I was in SW VA then, on the other side of the mountains. I don't know about the DC area. Probably about a day delay in the weather.

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