mappy Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 DT sayz 0z EURO is GLITCh,s hifted east a bit, going to be SOEM variance, folks. Don't tell him he is wrong though! He may call you an escort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 btw Ian, Elliot in the Morning was talking about the CWG this morning and how you are calling for snow this weekend. He was getting excited, even referencing the Euro, until Diane corrected him that it was mainly a threat for the mountains west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 He may call you an escort Sweet! Will he pay for the escort too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 And the euro went back to the GFS from yesterday. All we have is a coastal rain. If any higher elev. squeeze out a flake then it is a bonus. Yep that's pretty much it, the euro went to the GFS and the latter went towards the old Euro but not as amped or as cold. I'm not sure where the Releigh maps get their snow as the soundings for DC show the temps in the lowest 5000 ft above freezing. that's not a good snow profile and certainly not one that would give you an accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Sweet! Will he pay for the escort too? Probably not... I'm a moronic cow, so no one wants that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Anyways, back to the wx I see the GFS moved west, while the Euro shifted east. I'd assume a combo of the two would be a safe bet on what to expect (cold tropical rain) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 btw Ian, Elliot in the Morning was talking about the CWG this morning and how you are calling for snow this weekend. He was getting excited, even referencing the Euro, until Diane corrected him that it was mainly a threat for the mountains west of the city. Mention snow and everyone just focuses on that. I blame Wes!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Mention snow and everyone just focuses on that. I blame Wes!! but I get paid to hype, I'm just not good at it like mets (no names given) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 It may be worth the drive to skyline depending on timing. I was planning on hiking on Sat with my son but that looks to be off the table. If I wake up early and there is snow on the webcams then it's probably worth it. Put on the ski gear and hike stoney man in the snow? Sounds like a good idea to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 but I get paid to hype, I'm just not good at it like mets (no names given) Ha. Most tame hype ever. PostLocal was advertising it like "the s word is in the forecast!" ... People who read on were probably disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 but I get paid to hype, I'm just not good at it like mets (no names given) +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Why do we want it to snow now? It won't stick unless we got a tremendously heavy snow rate. Then all the trees would be damaged. It won't last. I'd rather get the leaves down, get the ground cold, then bring on the snow. Anyway, looks like the GFS is coming around. This reminds me of the Christmas snow. Seems like we are heading back toward the early Euro solutions (Midlo posted a snow map on Oct. 21 - 180 hours). I wonder if we end up back at that solution. Whatever. I hope this is a good sign for the winter. I remember distictly that Halloween weekend was cold and snowy (at least on the west side of the Apps) in 1995. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Why do we want it to snow now? It won't stick unless we got a tremendously heavy snow rate. Then all the trees would be damaged. It won't last. I'd rather get the leaves down, get the ground cold, then bring on the snow. Anyway, looks like the GFS is coming around. This reminds me of the Christmas snow. Seems like we are heading back toward the early Euro solutions (Midlo posted a snow map on Oct. 21 - 180 hours). I wonder if we end up back at that solution. Whatever. I hope this is a good sign for the winter. I remember distictly that Halloween weekend was cold and snowy (at least on the west side of the Apps) in 1995. The GFS could easily be wrong. It bounces like any other model. It tricked us on boxing day after the euro finally bailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Whatever. I hope this is a good sign for the winter. I remember distictly that Halloween weekend was cold and snowy (at least on the west side of the Apps) in 1995. Halloween itself was actually above normal, but there was a strong cold snap following what appears to be a highly dynamic system in the Nov 4-10 range. Looking at the temp anomaly maps... wow that was a highly-amplified (and progressive) pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Dec 26 Your call for the next snow threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 The GFS could easily be wrong. It bounces like any other model. It tricked us on boxing day after the euro finally bailed. And the euro sort of bailed this time which is what made Katie a cow or so I've heard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 The GFS could easily be wrong. It bounces like any other model. It tricked us on boxing day after the euro finally bailed. I don't doubt that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Halloween itself was actually above normal, but there was a strong cold snap following what appears to be a highly dynamic system in the Nov 4-10 range. Looking at the temp anomaly maps... wow that was a highly-amplified (and progressive) pattern. I was in SW VA then, on the other side of the mountains. I don't know about the DC area. Probably about a day delay in the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 I was in SW VA then, on the other side of the mountains. I don't know about the DC area. Probably about a day delay in the weather. Went back and looked... the period before Halloween was cool as well. It was just the 31st-3rd that was warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 And the euro sort of bailed this time which is what made Katie a cow or so I've heard. Someone should analyze his page and see what percentage of posts mention the Euro. It's gotta be like 80%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Someone should analyze his page and see what percentage of posts mention the Euro. It's gotta be like 80%. He seems to almost always to go with the euro. It is the best model but isn't always right. Even if the new GFS is correct, I don't see snow just light to moderate rain, probably the former. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 He seems to almost always to go with the euro. It is the best model but isn't always right. Even if the new GFS is correct, I don't see snow just light to moderate rain, probably the former. Still 40s and rain in October sucks. Its not going to be a fun Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Still 40s and rain in October sucks. Its not going to be a fun Saturday Speak for yourself. Open bar wedding! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 And the euro sort of bailed this time which is what made Katie a cow or so I've heard. Euro could come back west a bit today, but yeah it bailed last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Speak for yourself. Open bar wedding! The only kind of wedding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Went back and looked... the period before Halloween was cool as well. It was just the 31st-3rd that was warmer. Would you mind sharing "how" you went back and looked. I'd love to be able to do that from time to time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Would you mind sharing "how" you went back and looked. I'd love to be able to do that from time to time. Don't know how Ellinwood does it, but you can find historical data here... http://www.wunderground.com/history/ Just type in the zipcode in question and select the date. Seems to do a pretty good job - at least for temperatures. Precip data is spotty at best going back more than just a couple years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Would you mind sharing "how" you went back and looked. I'd love to be able to do that from time to time. I'm also curious about the coastal (?) from mid-October 2009. I was in CT for my friend's wedding the weekend of that storm, and since their anniversary just passed, I was thinking about it the other day. Nasty storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Henry calling for snow very close: http://www.accuweath...uth-florida.asp My guess it will be sunny and 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Don't know how Ellinwood does it, but you can find historical data here... http://www.wunderground.com/history/ Just type in the zipcode in question and select the date. Seems to do a pretty good job - at least for temperatures. Precip data is spotty at best going back more than just a couple years. I'm also curious about the coastal (?) from mid-October 2009. I was in CT for my friend's wedding the weekend of that storm, and since their anniversary just passed, I was thinking about it the other day. Nasty storm. Thanks guys. Maybe Ellinwood with come in and link me up to the site he's using. I'm sure he will whenever he happens to see our posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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