Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

GLOV November obs/disco thread


snowstormcanuck

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Looking down the road, some nice temperature contrasts (of 2m departures) being modeled for next Sunday and Monday. A true west vs east battle.

I just made a mess in my pants looking at that.

64F here right now with a heavy shower. Was outside until just before and it was mix sun/clouds and gorgeous.

We need one of these maps all winter.

610temp.new.small.gif

Looks like the cold is shoved away as the warmth retrogrades west. I'll take it.

814temp.new.small.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Interesting pocket of extremely dry air over southeast Iowa. Several stations reporting dews in the mid teens. Seem legit as checking back at earlier obs they were near 50 earlier today. Must be some VERY dry air mixing down from above the BL. Our dews have dropped from near 50 earlier today down into the mid 30s.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

DVN concerning the potential next weekend...

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...INTERESTING SITUATION AS MAJOR TROUGH

IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES PUMPS GULF MOISTURE INTO THE MIDWEST ON

A PERSISTENT STRONG LOW LEVEL JET. DEPENDING ON HOW FAST THE

MOISTURE RETURN IS THERE COULD BE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE FRIDAY

NIGHT NORTH OF I-80. THIS WOULD BE OCCURRING WITH STRONG WARM

ADVECTION ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET. CONTINUED FEED OF WARM

MOIST AIR DUE TO A DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD ALLOW FOR

DESTABILIZATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE WITH SHOWALTERS WELL INTO THE

NEGATIVE NUMBERS. WILL MENTION CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS

FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH LIKELY POPS SUNDAY NIGHT AS STRONG COLD FRONT

ARRIVES. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH MAX TEMPS

ON SUNDAY WELL INTO THE 60S IF NOT 70+. GIVEN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN

WITH SUCH STRONG WIND FIELDS PROGGED BY THE ECM A RATHER UNUSUAL

LATE NOVEMBER SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

DVN concerning the potential next weekend...

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...INTERESTING SITUATION AS MAJOR TROUGH

IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES PUMPS GULF MOISTURE INTO THE MIDWEST ON

A PERSISTENT STRONG LOW LEVEL JET. DEPENDING ON HOW FAST THE

MOISTURE RETURN IS THERE COULD BE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE FRIDAY

NIGHT NORTH OF I-80. THIS WOULD BE OCCURRING WITH STRONG WARM

ADVECTION ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET. CONTINUED FEED OF WARM

MOIST AIR DUE TO A DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD ALLOW FOR

DESTABILIZATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE WITH SHOWALTERS WELL INTO THE

NEGATIVE NUMBERS. WILL MENTION CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS

FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH LIKELY POPS SUNDAY NIGHT AS STRONG COLD FRONT

ARRIVES. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH MAX TEMPS

ON SUNDAY WELL INTO THE 60S IF NOT 70+. GIVEN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN

WITH SUCH STRONG WIND FIELDS PROGGED BY THE ECM A RATHER UNUSUAL

LATE NOVEMBER SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED.

Moiature return looks pretty good at this point.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I just made a mess in my pants looking at that.

64F here right now with a heavy shower. Was outside until just before and it was mix sun/clouds and gorgeous.

We need one of these maps all winter.

610temp.new.small.gif

Looks like the cold is shoved away as the warmth retrogrades west. I'll take it.

814temp.new.small.gif

Good! Im nowhere near complete with fall clean up..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looking down the road, some nice temperature contrasts (of 2m departures) being modeled for next Sunday and Monday. A true west vs east battle.

Interesting stuff i found. After viewing that/euro etc i went and looked back at Novembers that featured what we have and may look to have this go around with Nina and amazingly enough the closest i could find to this month was ONLY 1964. I went all the way back to the late 1890s too. Thus i guess what you can say is that what we have is pretty rare. Note the warmest + departures are in the GL/NE and thus north.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Interesting stuff i found. After viewing that/euro etc i went and looked back at Novembers that featured what we have and may look to have this go around with Nina and amazingly enough the closest i could find to this month was ONLY 1964. I went all the way back to the late 1890s too. Thus i guess what you can say is that what we have is pretty rare. Note the warmest + departures are in the GL/NE and thus north.

Well done. I'd take a 1964-65 repeat for what it's worth.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well done. I'd take a 1964-65 repeat for what it's worth.

Thanks. That winter i see featured a pretty cold Feb and March which is also when most of the snow fell around here. Every month ( D-J-F-M ) was below normal temps but yeah Feb and March were well below normal. The holidays ( Christmas/New Years ) kinda sucked ( torchy with 53 on Christmas eve ) but the rest of it was not too bad around here. November started out very torchy with 60s and 70s till the 17th when it finally broke.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Thanks. That winter i see featured a pretty cold Feb and March which is also when most of the snow fell around here. Every month ( D-J-F-M ) was below normal temps but yeah Feb and March were well below normal. The holidays ( Christmas/New Years ) kinda sucked ( torchy with 53 on Christmas eve ) but the rest of it was not too bad around here. November started out very torchy with 60s and 70s till the 17th when it finally broke.

And then during the spring that followed that winter ... :yikes::twister:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00zGFS6-10day850mbTempAnomalyNA.gif

00zGFS11-15day850mbTempAnomalyNA-1.gif

That is just ugly. Very very ugly. I guess it is better to be warm now while temps can routinely get into the 60s and low 70s than have this during good snow fall months. 77F today was so nice and warm, we could see 75F tomorrow here if we can get any sun.

See November 64 which featured alot of this. That November though had a few 70+ days and a slew of 60s around here. Had a brief period ( 5 days ) of below normal temps right before Thanksgiving. It wasn't till the 29th that the cold came in and stuck around for a little while.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Had some thunderstorms wake me up a little early this morning. Very nice. Here's to hoping for the best for later today.

Had quite a bit of street flooding around Lebanon this morning. Did get some storms rolling through around 6am, quite a bit of lightning also.

Should be interesting to see how things play out today..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...