Thundersnow12 Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 tomorrow is going to be quite windy around here from LOT WEAK UPPER WAVE LOOKS TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING BRINGING MODEST MID LEVEL COOL ADVECTION FOR A SHORT TIME AND MAY SERVE AS A CATALYST FOR MIXING TO RE-DEVELOP LEADING TO A RETURN OF WIND GUSTS. THE CONCERN IS THAT THE LOW LEVEL JET RAMPS UP SIGNIFICANTLY THIS EVENING WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATING 30+ KT WINDS STARTING AROUND 600 FT AGL AND 40+ KT WINDS AT 1000 FT WITH A PEAK AT AROUND 60 KT UP AROUND 2500 FT. ITS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT 30 KT GUSTS COULD OCCUR OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER WARM FRONT LOOKS TO QUICKLY CROSS THE AREA EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH A LOW LEVEL THERMAL AXIS CRESTING THE AREA. WINDS BECOME A BIGGER ISSUE SUNDAY AS MIXING COMMENCES. THE LOW WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS SOUTHERN HUDSON BAY AND LIKELY BE SOMEWHERE AROUND 980 MB. PEAK LOW LEVEL WINDS DO SUBSIDE BUT A DEEP LAYER OF 40-50 KT WINDS CONTINUES INTO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MIXING SUPPORTS GUSTS TO NEAR 40 KT DURING THE DAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGHER GUSTS OF 45 KT OR POSSIBLY HIGHER AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES AROUND MIDDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 Looks warm for foreseeable future. Brown Christmas? Still got snow on the ground in the shade? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 I was just catching up on my reading here and was about to post thoughts similar to Josh's. I wouldn't mind if we have a cromartie torch until mid December as long as the rest of the winter is cold and snowy. People wouldn't even remember that the first 2 weeks of met winter was warm. I guess that my personal preference is to have a shorter, more intense winter over a longer drawn-out, crap mix of winter/torch. In the menatime, I am going to enjoy my sunny and 60 today! There's always 1993-94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 lol. 31-32 was about the worst winter since 1900. Even 01-02 wasn't that bad. Maybe we can throw in 1877-78 as well. fwiw, it is warming here tonight. Don't see that very often, through the night. That winter was awful (actually for people without central heating, it must have seemed great!). Take a look at December 1877 in Toronto. http://www.climate.weatheroffice.gc.ca/climateData/dailydata_e.html?timeframe=2&Prov=ONT&StationID=5051&dlyRange=1840-03-01|2011-04-17&Year=1877&Month=12&Day=1 Less than an inch of snow and blowtorch warm! December 1889 was almost as bad - worse in fact in terms of temperature. http://www.climate.weatheroffice.gc.ca/climateData/dailydata_e.html?timeframe=2&Prov=ONT&StationID=5051&dlyRange=1840-03-01|2011-04-17&Month=12&Year=1889&cmdB1=Go&Day=11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 Looks warm for foreseeable future. Brown Christmas? No, this week looks seasonable, maybe a tad above average, and Thanksgiving Week will likely start out turning cooler and then warm up by the time Thanksgiving Day comes. Nothing too out of the ordinary, especially considering past warm Novembers before tough winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 No, this week looks seasonable, maybe a tad above average, and Thanksgiving Week will likely start out turning cooler and then warm up by the time Thanksgiving Day comes. Nothing too out of the ordinary, especially considering past warm Novembers before tough winters. Let the warminista trolls have their fun these last few weeks. Come Dec they will for the most part be MIA.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 Looks warm for foreseeable future. Brown Christmas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 tomorrow is going to be quite windy around here from LOT WEAK UPPER WAVE LOOKS TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING BRINGING MODEST MID LEVEL COOL ADVECTION FOR A SHORT TIME AND MAY SERVE AS A CATALYST FOR MIXING TO RE-DEVELOP LEADING TO A RETURN OF WIND GUSTS. THE CONCERN IS THAT THE LOW LEVEL JET RAMPS UP SIGNIFICANTLY THIS EVENING WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATING 30+ KT WINDS STARTING AROUND 600 FT AGL AND 40+ KT WINDS AT 1000 FT WITH A PEAK AT AROUND 60 KT UP AROUND 2500 FT. ITS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT 30 KT GUSTS COULD OCCUR OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER WARM FRONT LOOKS TO QUICKLY CROSS THE AREA EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH A LOW LEVEL THERMAL AXIS CRESTING THE AREA. WINDS BECOME A BIGGER ISSUE SUNDAY AS MIXING COMMENCES. THE LOW WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS SOUTHERN HUDSON BAY AND LIKELY BE SOMEWHERE AROUND 980 MB. PEAK LOW LEVEL WINDS DO SUBSIDE BUT A DEEP LAYER OF 40-50 KT WINDS CONTINUES INTO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MIXING SUPPORTS GUSTS TO NEAR 40 KT DURING THE DAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGHER GUSTS OF 45 KT OR POSSIBLY HIGHER AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES AROUND MIDDAY. Yeah I think we will be seeing some wind advisories going up. Not out of the question that some spots could approach high wind warning criteria if mixing to 900 mb occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 12z GFS has 900 mb winds over 60 kts here at 18z tomorrow while 18z NAM is a little weaker. This will need to be watched closely as any breaks in the clouds would yield better low level lapse rates and a better chance of very strong gusts making it to the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 12z GFS has 900 mb winds over 60 kts here at 18z tomorrow while 18z NAM is a little weaker. This will need to be watched closely as any breaks in the clouds would yield better low level lapse rates and a better chance of very strong gusts making it to the ground. Long range RUC shows some pockets of 40kt gusts over parts of Illinois and Indiana. I agree about breaks in the clouds. This looks like one of those setups where isolated 50mph+ wind gusts occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 November sure has been an odd month, one of the windiest months in quite awhile lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 It'll be interesting watching the Bears game tomorrow with 40+ mph winds lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Wind is the new cool. Anyways, wind advisory up...gusts to 45 MPH tomorrow in the text. Hopefully we can get some cloud breaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 It'll be interesting watching the Bears game tomorrow with 40+ mph winds lol. Who's the woman in your avatar? Yeah, the Bears game will be fun. Can't remember the exact year, but I recall a Bears-49ers game where the wind was completely out of control. Field goals and punts were interesting to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 13, 2011 Author Share Posted November 13, 2011 David Phillips once said that November is the stormiest month in the Great Lakes. The first 12 days of November 2011 sure haven't lived up to that standard. Looks like we're finally gonna turn the page during the next week or so and I should fully emerge from my coma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Winds are starting to pick up... ORD is gusting to 37mph and we're at about 25-30mph here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Who's the woman in your avatar? Amy Lee from Evanescence. Winds are starting to pick up... ORD is gusting to 37mph and we're at about 25-30mph here. Been getting gusts over 30 here for quite awhile as well. If it's this windy already I suspect tomorrow will really be rockin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 David Phillips once said that November is the stormiest month in the Great Lakes. The first 12 days of November 2011 sure haven't lived up to that standard. Looks like we're finally gonna turn the page during the next week or so and I should fully emerge from my coma. It looks like another warmup the following week though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 The wind tomorrow afternoon is going to help the Bears ALOT...lions have no run game with Best injured and can't stop the run. And well, we have Forte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 The wind tomorrow afternoon is going to help the Bears ALOT...lions have no run game with Best injured and can't stop the run. And well, we have Forte. dec 23rd 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 dec 23rd 2007 haha I remember that game. Last game good ole #4 played against the Bears as a Packer. I believer Urlacher had a huge game. SPECI KMDW 232001Z 26020G39KT 3SM R31C/5000VP6000FT -SN BKN019 BKN024 OVC034 M09/M14 A2972 RMK AO2 PK WND 26039/1958 P0000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Plenty of wind to be had for tomorrow, especially across Indiana & Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Amy Lee from Evanescence. Thanks. It looks like another warmup the following week though Your views towards this winter are fatalistic. It's only mid-November...patience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 13, 2011 Author Share Posted November 13, 2011 It looks like another warmup the following week though Winter's cold and snow is a longs way off. I'm talking just about increased storminess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 The Bears-49ers game I referenced earlier about being really windy, oddly enough, November 13, 2005. Here's the obs from MDW and ORD that day... http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KMDW/2005/11/13/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KORD/2005/11/13/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Maybe a modest damaging wind threat shaping up for Monday. 00z NAM has CAPE of about 500 here. Winds aloft are very strong with 500 mb winds over 80 kts and 300 mb winds over 130 kts. Whatever does occur will probably be fairly low topped so no real danger of tapping into the higher level winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 925mb winds are near 65kts across parts of northern IL/northwest IN currently via mesoanalysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 925mb winds are near 65kts across parts of northern IL/northwest IN currently via mesoanalysis. Good thing it's not daytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Amy Lee from Evanescence. Yup, she's got hypnotizing eyes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 got shear? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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