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GLOV November obs/disco thread


snowstormcanuck

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SHORT TERM FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI

813 AM CST THU NOV 10 2011

WIZ046-047-051-052-057>060-064>066-070>072-101545-

MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-COLUMBIA-DODGE-

WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE- JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-WALWORTH-RACINE-

KENOSHA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU

LAC... SHEBOYGAN...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...WEST

BEND... PORT WASHINGTON...JEFFERSON...LAKE MILLS...WAUKESHA...

BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...ELKHORN...LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...KENOSHA

813 AM CST THU NOV 10 2011

.NOW...

SCATTERED LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING

THROUGH THE WATERTOWN...WEST BEND...AND GERMANTOWN AREAS.

VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS A HALF MILE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF

THE SHOWERS ALONG WITH QUICK ACCUMULATION UP TO AN INCH ON

ROADWAYS. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. PROVIDE EXTRA STOPPING

DISTANCE BETWEEN VEHICLES AND BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING

VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE FORECAST THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

Up to an inch? Pretty nice if you ask me. I heard snow was accumulating as close as Glendale, a northern suburb of Milwaukee.

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I texted Gino and thanked him for the first somewhat tingly winter AFD lol

alot of good nuggets in this one.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL

820 AM CST THU NOV 10 2011

DISCUSSION

803 AM CST

FIRED OFF A QUICK ZFP UPDATE TO HIT SNOW A BIT HARDER IN THE GRIDS

TODAY. VIGOROUS VORT OVER WISCONSIN CONTINUES TO PIVOT

SOUTHEASTWARD WITH REGIONAL WSR-88D MOSAIC ALREADY SHOWING SOME

BANDS OF SCT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS WISCONSIN INTO EXTREME NE IL.

RADAR REFLECTIVITY VALUES ARE OCCASIONALLY POKING OVER 30DBZ WITH

SFC OBS OF VSBY FALLING BELOW 2SM IN -SN...SO HAVE OPTED TO GO

WITH MORE OF AN UNQUALIFIED MENTION OF SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS

TODAY.

THIS MORNINGS SOUNDINGS OUT OF MPX AND DVN SHOW FAIRLY STEEP LOW

AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH COLUMN FAIRLY MOIST BELOW ABOUT 500

OR 600 MB. WOULD ANTICIPATE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF SNOW SHOWERS

TO RAMP UP A BIT AS WE GET SOME HEATING THAT WILL FURTHER STEEPEN

THE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES ALLOWING US TO GROW MORE CONVECTIVELY

UNSTABLE.

VERY SHALLOW ABOVE FREEZING LAYER NEAR THE SURFACE WITH WET BULB

ZERO HEIGHTS NEAR OR BELOW 1500 FT AGL WOULD OFFER LITTLE

OPPORTUNITY FOR RAIN TO MIX WITH SNOW...SO HAVE REMOVED THE

MIXTURE WORDING FOR THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF

THE PRECIP ITS PLAUSIBLE THAT WOULD SEE SOME GRAUPLE MIX IN WITH

THE SNOW SHOWERS.

WITH SURFACE TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING NOT ANTICIPATING ANY ACTUAL

ACCUMS...BUT SNOW COULD FALL RATHER HEAVILY AT TIMES IN BRIEF

BURST TODAY...ESPECIALLY NORTHERN HALF TO TWO THIRDS OF THE CWA.

IZZI

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Looks like ORD missed their first 32º min temp by one. STL and EVV are the other two hold outs, of the first order sites in the Midwest. Should happen for EVV and ORD tomorrow morning, but STL will probably have to wait.

Hard to believe it has taken this long! The record continues...but you're right, I'm sure it will be toast tomorrow 11/11/11. This will break the old record by 5 days.

Even Tulsa and OKC have hit freezing already.

Our patience will be rewarded...:snowman:

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We've been getting heavy bursts of snow throughout the day here in Muskegon along Lake Michigan. It has snowed hard enough to cover even the parking lots (which melts away). However, we have about a 1/2 inch to 1 inch of snow on the ground. (some of it survived the last peak of sunshine) Looking forward to more into tonight!

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