Mr Torchey Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 ^^^^^12z says just that, congrats ski country, lets hope the GFS is correct, Pete will be making first runs next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 37/35 Nice day on tap. Finally get some yard work done. So Irene wiped out the Greenfield public golf course in August and I just heard that yesterday the Greenfield Country Club burned to the ground. Total loss and many members had their equipment stored there. Yeah--I had read that. Do they know what caused the fire? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 ^^^^^12z says just that, congrats ski country, lets hope the GFS is correct, Pete will be making first runs next weekend. Because a cold rain is so much better than an early wet snow. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Holy Fook at GFS!... rain to snow N of NH/MA border???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 ^^^^^12z says just that, congrats ski country, lets hope the GFS is correct, Pete will be making first runs next weekend. If any of the past 4-5 GFS runs are correct I am skiing next weekend. 12Z is another solid hit with advisory snow even down in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Because a cold rain is so much better than an early wet snow. lol huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Holy Fook at GFS!... rain to snow N of NH/MA border???? Taken literally...A little snow here after a flip from rain. Maybe ending as some flakes at MHT. The higher els of VT/NH get a solid thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 If any of the past 4-5 GFS runs are correct I am skiing next weekend. 12Z is another solid hit with advisory snow even down in town. Yea man! Congrats, you guys must be itching up there big time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 huh? I think I interpreted your post wrong. Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Taken literally... A little snow here after a flip from rain. Maybe ending as some flakes at MHT. The higher els of VT/NH get a solid thump. Yep... may be interesting if for us if it shifts 100 miles or so southward... I'm interested to see what the GFS does with that second vortmax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Yea man! Congrats, you guys must be itching up there big time Haha no congrats needed. I still think this has a better shot of winding up west than out to sea. Troughs have been ending up west come verification time but maybe we will get lucky. I find it hard to believe that after all this time being warm the cold is magically just going to push right through with the front ending up in the mid-Atlantic like GGEM and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Holy Fook at GFS!... rain to snow N of NH/MA border???? Yeah--108 to 114 look pretty tasty from Litcthfield County-FIT and points NW of that.. So much for sun today. Hating the fact I need to drive to Geneva, NY this afternoon for an a.m. meeting. Oh, well. Will be back home tomorrow nighit. 49.0/34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Boy the GFS is cold around day 7, however, it shoves that second vortmax SE and never undergoes any development. If it does trend the other way, there is plenty of cold air to support snows depending on how close the low gets. Will's post after the Euro pretty much described the situation. More Snow Showers for MTNS day 7-8 on GFS... Might be an early start to ski season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Yeah--108 to 114 look pretty tasty from Litcthfield County-FIT and points NW of that.. So much for sun today. Hating the fact I need to drive to Geneva, NY this afternoon for an a.m. meeting. Oh, well. Will be back home tomorrow nighit. 49.0/34 Looks like a big hit for my old stomping grounds, Middlebury. Champlain Valley gets smoked, although the warm lakeshore could present problems. Storm is still a bit too much of a coast hugger for SW NH on the 12z GFS; it looks like rain to snow for the Monadnocks. Definitely just a coating type of event as currently modeled however, although a shift further off the coast would put us in a solid advisory snowfall. I tend to agree with Powderfreak, nonetheless, that the storm probably ends up further west given the lack of blocking downstream (+NAO) and the seasonal tendency which has been for troughs to verify further west than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 I'm posting from my iPod, otherwise I'd post the image ... but the snow depth map at Twisterdata for the 12z GFS run is pure porn from Mass north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Looks like a big hit for my old stomping grounds, Middlebury. Champlain Valley gets smoked, although the warm lakeshore could present problems. Storm is still a bit too much of a coast hugger for SW NH on the 12z GFS; it looks like rain to snow for the Monadnocks. Definitely just a coating type of event as currently modeled however, although a shift further off the coast would put us in a solid advisory snowfall. I tend to agree with Powderfreak, nonetheless, that the storm probably ends up further west given the lack of blocking downstream (+NAO) and the seasonal tendency which has been for troughs to verify further west than expected. It is enjoyable to follow something in the final week of October--even if it's way too soon to get excited/expectant about anythinng. IF (big if) snow does become a signifcant player in p-type, I think ground temps will preclude much in the way of accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Looks like a big hit for my old stomping grounds, Middlebury. Champlain Valley gets smoked, although the warm lakeshore could present problems. Storm is still a bit too much of a coast hugger for SW NH on the 12z GFS; it looks like rain to snow for the Monadnocks. Definitely just a coating type of event as currently modeled however, although a shift further off the coast would put us in a solid advisory snowfall. I tend to agree with Powderfreak, nonetheless, that the storm probably ends up further west given the lack of blocking downstream (+NAO) and the seasonal tendency which has been for troughs to verify further west than expected. That first storm around day 5 isn't really a coastal storm though as it passes through NE... its more of an overrunning event. The coastal low doesn't really get going until its past Maine where then NS gets smoked. It wouldn't take much to slide that thing a little more South giving us some Flakes/Coating to look at next weekend. Probably the last week of golf up here but that yields Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 I'm posting from my iPod, otherwise I'd post the image ... but the snow depth map at Twisterdata for the 12z GFS run is pure porn from Mass north. Gradient Winter begins now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 This (as of recent model runs ) reminds me of a storm a couple years back that occured around this time that was heavily impacted by dynamic cooling...all the mets were calling for a few flakes mixing in at the end, but instead, hvy precip rates cooled the BL from Portland to ORH to PYM (east of that line), and we got some decent snows out of that....this might be the case further north for this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 I'm posting from my iPod, otherwise I'd post the image ... but the snow depth map at Twisterdata for the 12z GFS run is pure porn from Mass north. It really is--boy, only 8 miles away. lol Again, I think ground temps will present a big issue for accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 I'm posting from my iPod, otherwise I'd post the image ... but the snow depth map at Twisterdata for the 12z GFS run is pure porn from Mass north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 This (as of recent model runs ) reminds me of a storm a couple years back that occured around this time that was heavily impacted by dynamic cooling...all the mets were calling for a few flakes mixing in at the end, but instead, hvy precip rates cooled the BL from Portland to ORH to PYM (east of that line), and we got some decent snows out of that....this might be the case further north for this event October 18 2009? That was when Foxboro got that freak 3" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 This (as of recent model runs ) reminds me of a storm a couple years back that occured around this time that was heavily impacted by dynamic cooling...all the mets were calling for a few flakes mixing in at the end, but instead, hvy precip rates cooled the BL from Portland to ORH to PYM (east of that line), and we got some decent snows out of that....this might be the case further north for this event Yeah, this will be 10 days later then that, though. 10 days is huge when we are talking about late October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Other than a possible snow event for some people on here... The snow pack should really strengthen over Canada over the next couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 October 18 2009? That was when Foxboro got that freak 3" or so. yeh that makes sense i remember looking at the radar and it was a giant hole of blue over eastern MA while springfield (for example) was stuck with a 34F drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Those twisterdata snow depth algorithms are the weenieist thing until we get a CTblizz/snowNH love child. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Those twisterdata snow depth algorithms are the weenieist thing until we get a CTblizz/snowNH love child. I don't know about that... I'm really thinking BC could get 50" of snow this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 For that second system, GFS keeps the nrn stream energy progressing east and doesn't link up with all that s/w energy over Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Those twisterdata snow depth algorithms are the weenieist thing until we get a CTblizz/snowNH love child. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Those twisterdata snow depth algorithms are the weenieist thing until we get a CTblizz/snowNH love child. I (heart) them. Clearly they're wack, but it feels good to slam the weenie into the wall hard once in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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