famartin Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Timing was helpful too if I remember correctly very late afternoon into evening. I thought most of it fell earlier, but I don't recall clearly. I know at TTN it only snowed near noon and then changed back to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 I thought most of it fell earlier, but I don't recall clearly. I know at TTN it only snowed near noon and then changed back to rain. Hmmm...........I remember taking a walk around my block while the snow was just about ending and it was dark. Unless I have the wrong October snow.....I've only lived here since 05' though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 You didn't circle the area 75 miles either side of that line, Quakertown... you get an F for the day i left the bar scale in lower left corner so scale it yourself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted October 26, 2011 Author Share Posted October 26, 2011 Timing was helpful too if I remember correctly very late afternoon into evening. I thought most of it fell earlier, but I don't recall clearly. I know at TTN it only snowed near noon and then changed back to rain. late morning/midday. I had to drive through the concrete...I mean snow going from Philly to Lansdale. I remember calling 1060 to tell them how bad 309 was and the traffic person couldn't believe it was snowing (cameras were out on 309 since road work was underway at the time). Not a fun commute...the snow was "fun" though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 late morning/midday. I had to drive through the concrete...I mean snow going from Philly to Lansdale. I remember calling 1060 to tell them how bad 309 was and the traffic person couldn't believe it was snowing (cameras were out on 309 since road work was underway at the time). Not a fun commute...the snow was "fun" though. Any idea of the snow I am thinking of? It was an evening event sometime when pumpkins were still out in my yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 i left the bar scale in lower left corner so scale it yourself That scale only goes to 20... so D- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Funny you put the line right over brookhaven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 1319659953[/url]' post='1062045']Any idea of the snow I am thinking of? It was an evening event sometime when pumpkins were still out in my yard. Might have ended in the evening but most of it fell during the midday IIRC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I thought most of it fell earlier, but I don't recall clearly. I know at TTN it only snowed near noon and then changed back to rain. Might have ended in the evening but most of it fell during the midday IIRC I specifically remember that it began around 10:45am, got heavy from 11am - 1:15pm-ish, then tapered off, and when the intensity went down it went back to rain, leaving a slushy 1/2" at school, but a little more than an 1" at my house on the northern side of Bensalem. I think Warrington or somewhere out along 611 reported 3" from that event. And if I recall correctly, that was the biggest event that season until 1/28/09 when we got 2" imby from an over-running event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I think the coating end of that area looks good. Seriously is the ground even cool enough to end up with more than a coating with this amount of snow? (if it is snow) If it is snowing heavily, all bets are off...Some places in that C-3" Henry M swath received 12-20" of snow on October 28th, 2008... And 1.5" in New Brunswick NJ http://good-times.we...044275375oFrzEM It did occur right through the day by the way...For new Brunswick it flipped to heavy wet snow in the mid 30s by late morning and continued for several hours into the aftn before lightening up and changing back to rain...it stuck to everything, even major highways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Any idea of the snow I am thinking of? It was an evening event sometime when pumpkins were still out in my yard. Well you could be thinking of the right event here. Certain areas saw their periods of snow at different parts of that day, especially in the marginal areas like Philly and where i was in new brunswick. I recall I had changed back to light rain while some of the heavy bands swung south into the philly/s jersey area flipping them to snow later that afternoon. Toms River NJ got a trace! Heres the radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Well you could be thinking of the right event here. Certain areas saw their periods of snow at different parts of that day, especially in the marginal areas like Philly and where i was in new brunswick. I recall I had changed back to light rain while some of the heavy bands swung south into the philly/s jersey area flipping them to snow later that afternoon. Toms River NJ got a trace! Heres the radar Thanks for posting that. I'm pretty sure it was that event. I remember getting home from work around 5pm, and it snowing til about an hour or so after sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 10-28-08 up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Based on all the latest guidance, it seems like we're converging on a solution which brings some moderate rain east of I-95 and light rain west. Snow isn't out of the question, but seems unlikely IMO given the lightness of the precip and lack of dynamical cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 muahahaah!!! here's the skew -t for hr 66... timing is a bitc* here.... I suppose its a nice shift west on the GFS, as you get some moderate precip into the area. that red ">" looking line is a bit toasty.. Don't take that Twister data map seriously*** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 stolen from the NYC thread. I only subscribe SV Nov-March... this is a beauty.. 534 thickness...996 low over the BM.... 850's crashing offshore... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 NOw, the EUro wunderground maps while totally awesome, i believe its try to use a 10:1 ratio here.. dont see it happening.. id say cut everything in half pa west, and ignore anything in jersey.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Good convo i got going on with myself here.. Thanks irishbri, you're a good man.. yeah, i know, you too ! thats 2m rh maps,slp.. dark orange is 100%humidity.. Just trying to show the SLP placement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Recently released by HPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 Here are the thicknesses as the storm is at its closest approach at hour 66 (2 PM Sat). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 I think a good chunk of this is elevation and intensity dependent -- if you get under a heavier band and have some elevation on your side you could end up with 3" or more out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I think a good chunk of this is elevation and intensity dependent -- if you get under a heavier band and have some elevation on your side you could end up with 3" or more out of this. Agree completely. I'm not buying the raw output from the Euro (BL temps are still pretty warm and saturated), but if you get some good dynamic cooling and you're a few hundred feet up, I could see 6+" (someone's precip rates are going to be awesome with that much deepening). On the coastal plain, I'd bet most everyone sees flakes, but sees little accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 P.S. RDG and ABE are within my 3-6" isohyet, but PHL and TTN are <1" on my map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 At 700' ASL and with 1000' within a mile, I'm interested! Would be rough on the still leaf bearing trees though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 6z gfs abe 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 P.S. RDG and ABE are within my 3-6" isohyet, but PHL and TTN are <1" on my map You are thinking 3-6 of snow for Berks county? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 You are thinking 3-6 of snow for Berks county? Yeah, obviously completely dependent on when/where the def banding sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Mt. Holly hates us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 JB honking for the most destructive snow of the winter with effects similar to Itrene in the I-95 area. 3-6" locally 10" 75 miles either side of a line for north central MD to Boston. He's really hanging it out there this time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 If that 12 to 18 inches came to fruition, it would be almost as damaging as Irene. Many leaves have not fallen off the trees and the tree felling problem and down power lines would be incredible suffice to say even with the snow plowing issues with municipalities and PADOT not be ready for this type of storm. I really hope they are not pushing these totals as gospel to the public and private businesses as this would be very irresponsible. I sound like a broken record. At least JB and I agree on the damage aspect and thats scary. To say that the snowfall would even be that heavy at this time juncture is really going out on a limb. If this was true, then Mt. Holly would be issuing winter storm watches tomorrow and I saw nothing in their discussion that points in that direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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