Parsley Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 someone better fire up the amateur weenie snow map thread don't forget everyone we have tombo's awesome map! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Yeah it's not in -12 to -18. But I am not expecting very good ratios lol. i agree, what can you expect though for october...your region should do well with my work with an elev around 500 ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Its to early in the season to go bonkers about snow for me, I'm still in off season mode didn't even hit training camp yet! So i will just enjoy this, whatever happens, as it comes and goes. I'll save my energy for later in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 HM on his facebook page: "Also, during the snowstorm, expect thundersnows to occur with snow rates of 1-3 inches per hour across Se PA into Southern New England." Oh **** I am glad my camera's are primed, thundersnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 just saw the 18z nam soundings...by hr 48 philly begins the change over with a surface temp around 38 with the whole column below except from 960 mb to surface... between hr 48 to 51 philly gets .67 qpf, with hr 51 temp of 32..so atleast half that or a quarter would be snow...between hr 51-54 they get .69 frozen...then hr 54-57 another .24 frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 i agree, what can you expect though for october...your region should do well with my work with an elev around 500 ft Yeah, I used to live in Chesterbrook down in the valley, which was only 200 ft. It makes a HUGE difference going up just a couple hundred feet. In many storms, the snow would melt and not stick to trees down in the valley but if you went up a little bit it's like a whole different world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 stormvista snow map for gfs has camden to bensalem to pottsville to carlisle to elkton in 8-12 inches...then 12-18 from west chester to western berks to mdt to along mason dixon line...everyone else besides 20-30 miles from shore 2-8 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 stormvista snow map for gfs has camden to bensalem to pottsville to carlisle to elkton in 8-12 inches...then 12-18 from west chester to western berks to mdt to along mason dixon line...everyone else besides 20-30 miles from shore 2-8 inches It would be insane if even a quarter of that verified. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowisgood Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 stormvista snow map for gfs has camden to bensalem to pottsville to carlisle to elkton in 8-12 inches...then 12-18 from west chester to western berks to mdt to along mason dixon line...everyone else besides 20-30 miles from shore 2-8 inches Now are the odds quiet good for this to happen? Im pretty shocked considering the last time I checked this was going to be only a cold rain event with maybe flakes at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Now are the odds quiet good for this to happen? Im pretty shocked considering the last time I checked this was going to be only a cold rain event with maybe flakes at the end. id be shocked if anyone outside the pocs gets a foot...remember the ratios are going to be piss poor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowisgood Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 id be shocked if anyone outside the pocs gets a foot...remember the ratios are going to be piss poor Good point, even 7:1 with 1.5" qpf is pretty hefty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Good point, even 7:1 with 1.5" qpf is pretty hefty. not all of that is snow, atleast for philly...maybe half is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowisgood Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 not all of that is snow, atleast for philly...maybe half is Looked at the soundings and they look pretty decent temperature wise for NW of Philly, temperatures hover 0-3˚C from 45-60 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Looked at the soundings and they look pretty decent for NW of Philly, temperatures hover 0-3˚C from 45-60 hrs. i thought we wre going off philly...yea north and west are going to do well, esp with elev. they may waste a little on the front end, but as soon as the precip gets going good they should go over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Wow, 18z Nam bufkit has 20.2 inches of snow for ABE. I'll take even 1/4th of that. Of course this shows ratios between 11:1 and 18:1 which is not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 this will look even better saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Wow, 18z Nam bufkit has 20.2 inches of snow for ABE. I'll take even 1/4th of that. forgot about buffkit kabe 21.2 phl 34.8 ilg 25.2 ttn 33.9 rdg 20.1 kacy 9.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 18z GFS ensembles are way west, jackpot from Susquehanna Valley to the Poconos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 oh come on, 32 inches of snow in philly in october, that isnt far fetched! forgot about buffkit kabe 21.2 phl 34.8 ilg 25.2 ttn 33.9 rdg 20.1 kacy 9.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 18z GFS ensembles are way west, jackpot from Susquehanna Valley to the Poconos. their could be a couple of wound up members that are throwing it off...the baginess in the isobars to the east suggest a good amount of the members are east...won't know till i see the idiv members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 forgot about buffkit kabe 21.2 phl 34.8 ilg 25.2 ttn 33.9 rdg 20.1 kacy 9.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 what, you don't believe that ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 if we get a paste job here of more than 4 inches, limbs, trees, and lines coming down are going to be a big time issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 if we get a paste job here of more than 4 inches, limbs, trees, and lines coming down are going to be a big time issue Hi Tom, whats your take on areas out our way where there isn't much elevation? Not really a weenie question. Thanks, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 if we get a paste job here of more than 4 inches, limbs, trees, and lines coming down are going to be a big time issue Yep, that would definitely be the worst impact of the storm with the leaves still on a lot of trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Hi Tom, whats your take on areas out our way where there isn't much elevation? Not really a weenie question. Thanks, bank on atleast a couple of inches, could be more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 It has been snowing here in the Poconos the past hour. Temp is around 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 their could be a couple of wound up members that are throwing it off...the baginess in the isobars to the east suggest a good amount of the members are east...won't know till i see the idiv members Not necessarily, that is actually a fairly classic pressure plot from a nor'easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 bank on atleast a couple of inches, could be more. Thanks Tom, my son has his last football game on Sat afternoon, told him he maybe playing in snow, he was all excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Look what happened in Denver with power outages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.